Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Synthetic

GOOD

149.7K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

SPEEDY SMARTIE (3) couldn't have been more impressive last start when leading at this track and trip and putting his rivals to the sword. He'll need some luck from out wide, but the last start stands out as he ran his opponents into the ground. Can repeat the dose. ONE MAN SHOW (1) missed in a photo finish over this track and trip 35 days ago under similar circumstances. He's trialled well since that effort again and he rates highly on that most recent effort here. Can lob close to the speed and go one better this time. NOTTHESILLYONE (7) disappointed here most recently and has been back to the trials since where he moved well. His form prior to that was very strong and he's likely to be close to the speed. Can bounce back to his best. JUICY DRAGON (12) is better than he showed last time out behind Speedy Smartie and can improve with no weight on his back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 5 len at this track January 21 over 6f defeating Herbal Star carrying 121lbs at $4.50. The race before that 2nd of 14 at Sha Tin on January 1 over 6f, 2 len behind Smart Golf carrying 122lbs at $2.90. Will again prove tough to stop at this favoured circuit. 1st Pick 3 Speedy Smartie Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: B Crawford J: Karis Teetan T: B Crawford	132	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 5 len at this track January 21 over 6f defeating Herbal Star carrying 121lbs at $4.50. The race before that 2nd of 14 at Sha Tin on January 1 over 6f, 2 len behind Smart Golf carrying 122lbs at $2.90. Will again prove tough to stop at this favoured circuit.
1	Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at this track on January 4 over 6f, nose behind Bright Mortar with 134lbs at $5.40. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on November 23 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Mabubu carrying 134lbs at $15. Expected to be very competitive. 2nd Pick 1 One Man Show Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: F C Lor J: Derek Leung T: F C Lor	139	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at this track on January 4 over 6f, nose behind Bright Mortar with 134lbs at $5.40. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on November 23 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Mabubu carrying 134lbs at $15. Expected to be very competitive.
7	Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently didn't do much in the run home, 10th of 12 at this track on January 4 over 6f, 7 len behind Bright Mortar with 127lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, won by 0.5 len at this track December 7 over 6f defeating Vulcanus carrying 122lbs at $6.20. Good enough on his day and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 7 Notthesillyone Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Luke Ferraris T: Mark Newnham	96	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently didn't do much in the run home, 10th of 12 at this track on January 4 over 6f, 7 len behind Bright Mortar with 127lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, won by 0.5 len at this track December 7 over 6f defeating Vulcanus carrying 122lbs at $6.20. Good enough on his day and deserves another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.