Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.7K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

LUCKY RANGER (5) was very strong late on debut when the race favourite after trialling well leading in. He was 1.8L off the winner there and he's turned in a nice trial since. The wide draw is a niggle, but he will benefit from the debut experience and he can land the knockout blow this time. ABSOLUTE HONOUR (10) is inching towards a drought breaking win, missing by 0.3L last time out at this track and trip. He's now 585 days between drinks, but this sets up perfectly for him and he can go one better today. TOP TIME (1) was just fair last start at this track and trip and didn't really make any ground late in the race. Likely to get back here but he rates highly on his best form and he's not to be discounted. AEROVOLANIC (3) is better than we saw last time out and can get back to his best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 12 at this track on January 11 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Majestic Valour with 127lbs at $2. Will be there at the business end. 1st Pick 5 Lucky Ranger Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Luke Ferraris T: Mark Newnham	87	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 12 at this track on January 11 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Majestic Valour with 127lbs at $2. Will be there at the business end.
10	At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at this track on January 18 over 7f, neck behind Lucky Twin Stars carrying 119lbs at $4.80. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on January 4 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Gallant Epoch carrying 120lbs at $23. Tough to beat. 2nd Pick 10 Absolute Honour Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: A S Cruz J: Andrea Atzeni T: A S Cruz	128	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at this track on January 18 over 7f, neck behind Lucky Twin Stars carrying 119lbs at $4.80. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on January 4 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Gallant Epoch carrying 120lbs at $23. Tough to beat.
1	Last start 6th of 14 at this track on January 18 over 7f, 2 len behind Amazing Partners carrying 134lbs at $3.80. The run before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind California Moxie carrying 134lbs at $3.10. Rates highly and will be hard to stop. 3rd Pick 1 Top Time Jockey: Dylan Browne Mcmonagle Trainer: W Y So J: Dylan Browne Mcmonagle T: W Y So	124	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 6th of 14 at this track on January 18 over 7f, 2 len behind Amazing Partners carrying 134lbs at $3.80. The run before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind California Moxie carrying 134lbs at $3.10. Rates highly and will be hard to stop.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.