Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 11

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

261.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

JOYFUL JOY (10) is the one to beat after a solid fourth here, finishing just over two lengths back despite a slow start. His previous C4 win carrying 134lbs was impressive, and his record of two wins and a placing from four local starts adds to his appeal. JOLLY BRILLIANT (11) is a close threat, returning after five weeks off post his C4 win at this venue. He moves up in grade but benefits from weight relief and has two wins and a placing in four starts here. SHAMUS STORM (12) is improving with each run, finishing second to Packing Fighter last time, a length ahead of Joyful Joy. While his 1m stats show more placings than wins, he's showing promise. WILLIE OPPA (6) is back after ten months off following two wins in Sydney, the latest as a favourite at Rosehill. Has trialled well a couple of times and while he will be better over further, he can make an impression here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Produced a sound fourth at this track last start, beaten just over two lengths after beginning awkwardly and still making ground through the straight. That followed a strong Class 4 win at this venue over 7f, where he carried 134lbs and beat Master Lucky by just under a length as favourite. Brings the best winning case. 1st Pick 10 Joyful Joy Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Zac Purton T: Mark Newnham	132	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Produced a sound fourth at this track last start, beaten just over two lengths after beginning awkwardly and still making ground through the straight. That followed a strong Class 4 win at this venue over 7f, where he carried 134lbs and beat Master Lucky by just under a length as favourite. Brings the best winning case.
11	Returns from a five-week let-up after winning in Class 4 at this track, beating Flying Boom by half a length after settling midfield and fighting on strongly under 134lbs. He also won here the start prior, so the current form is hard to fault. Rises in grade, but the weight drop and track-distance record are strong. 2nd Pick 11 Jolly Brilliant Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: P F Yiu J: Andrea Atzeni T: P F Yiu	118	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week let-up after winning in Class 4 at this track, beating Flying Boom by half a length after settling midfield and fighting on strongly under 134lbs. He also won here the start prior, so the current form is hard to fault. Rises in grade, but the weight drop and track-distance record are strong.
12	Built on his first-up placing when second at this track last start, beaten a length by Packing Fighter after being bumped and finishing strongly at generous odds. He had also placed behind the same winner the run prior, so the form is holding together. No 1m win here yet, but he is building well. 3rd Pick 12 Shamus Storm Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: David A Hayes J: Harry Bentley T: David A Hayes	71	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Built on his first-up placing when second at this track last start, beaten a length by Packing Fighter after being bumped and finishing strongly at generous odds. He had also placed behind the same winner the run prior, so the form is holding together. No 1m win here yet, but he is building well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.