Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 9

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

239.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

AHREN (9) put it all together last start in a dominant win, sitting on the speed before kicking away to score by 2.8L at this track and trip. This looks to shape similarly and he drops 9lbs for the rise in grade. Looks a good horse on the rise and can bring up back-to-back victories. LIFELINE EXPRESS (2) won impressively two back before a 1.3L defeat at this track and trip 34 days ago. He's been given two quiet trials since and Bowman sticks from his latest trial. Hard to knock on recent form and should be flying late in the race again. SUPER LEGENDS (4) was beaten 1.5L last start at this track and trip, but gets some weight relief today with Britney Wong on board. Rates well off his latest effort here on Champions Day and has to be included. AERIS NOVA (3) beat home Super Legends last start and is expected to be in the finish once again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Form hard to fault. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.75 len at this track April 13 over 6f defeating Enjoy Golf with 129lbs at $5.30. Before that 4th of 14 at this track on March 23 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Lucky Planet carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Draws a nice barrier and will be very competitive again. 1st Pick 9 Ahren Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: P F Yiu J: Andrea Atzeni T: P F Yiu	111	-	-	-	39%	8/5
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.75 len at this track April 13 over 6f defeating Enjoy Golf with 129lbs at $5.30. Before that 4th of 14 at this track on March 23 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Lucky Planet carrying 127lbs at $2.80. Draws a nice barrier and will be very competitive again.
2	Racing well. Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 13 at this track on April 6 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Geneva with 132lbs at $3.40. The race before that won by 1.75 len at this track March 15 over 6f defeating Geneva with 127lbs at $3. Current form hard to go past. 2nd Pick 2 Lifeline Express Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: John Size J: Hugh Bowman T: John Size	152	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Racing well. Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 13 at this track on April 6 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Geneva with 132lbs at $3.40. The race before that won by 1.75 len at this track March 15 over 6f defeating Geneva with 127lbs at $3. Current form hard to go past.
4	Useful type. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on April 27 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Masterofmyuniverse with 130lbs at $9.40. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on March 23 over 6f, 3 len behind Invincible Shield with 129lbs at $19. Has ability and should run well. 3rd Pick 4 Super Legends Jockey: Britney Wong Trainer: Danny Shum J: Britney Wong T: Danny Shum	114	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Useful type. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on April 27 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Masterofmyuniverse with 130lbs at $9.40. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on March 23 over 6f, 3 len behind Invincible Shield with 129lbs at $19. Has ability and should run well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.