Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

364.8K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

CRIMSON FLASH (12) made it a hat-trick last start when a 0.8L victory over this course and distance in easier grade. Tougher here, but he drops 8kgs for the rise in grade and he has the speed to work across from the draw. Ticks plenty of boxes and can continue his winning run. MAGIC CONTROL (2) wasn't far away in the G3 here back in October before a disappointing run over 6f last time out. McDonald rides now on the back of a nice trial and the outside draw is perfect for him. Can bounce back to winning ways without surprising. COLOURFUL KING (4) is knocking on the door of another win, beaten 0.3L at Happy Valley lasty time out. Purton takes the ride now and he's only had one crack down the Sha Tin Straight. Expecting him to be in the finish once again. AURORA LADY (11) is better than we saw last time out and can bounce back down in the weights.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Second-up. First-up after six months won by 0.8 len at this track November 15 over 5f defeating Fast Responder with 132lbs at $6.10. Previously second-up 7th of 14 at this track on February 16 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Horsepower carrying 125lbs at $4.60. Further improvement to come and a bold showing is expected. 1st Pick 12 Crimson Flash Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Andrea Atzeni T: Mark Newnham	119	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months won by 0.8 len at this track November 15 over 5f defeating Fast Responder with 132lbs at $6.10. Previously second-up 7th of 14 at this track on February 16 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Horsepower carrying 125lbs at $4.60. Further improvement to come and a bold showing is expected.
2	Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 14 at this track in the G2 Premier Bowl on October 26 over 6f, 7 len behind Tomodachi Kokoroe carrying 118lbs at $54. Before that 3rd of 8 at this track in the G3 National Day Cup on October 1 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Fast Network with 123lbs at $14. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 2 Magic Control Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: W K Mo J: James Mcdonald T: W K Mo	105	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 14 at this track in the G2 Premier Bowl on October 26 over 6f, 7 len behind Tomodachi Kokoroe carrying 118lbs at $54. Before that 3rd of 8 at this track in the G3 National Day Cup on October 1 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Fast Network with 123lbs at $14. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.
4	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 9 at Happy Valley on October 22 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Youthful Spirits with 128lbs at $2.70. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on November 2 over 6f, neck behind Storm Rider carrying 125lbs at $3.40. Expected to feature prominently again. 3rd Pick 4 Colourful King Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David Eustace J: Zac Purton T: David Eustace	144	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 9 at Happy Valley on October 22 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Youthful Spirits with 128lbs at $2.70. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on November 2 over 6f, neck behind Storm Rider carrying 125lbs at $3.40. Expected to feature prominently again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.