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8:10 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
400.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STEPS AHEAD (4) narrowly missed over this course and distance two back, going under in a photo finish. He disappointed back to 7f last start, but gets Purton back in the saddle now with the rise to the mile suiting. Maps to get every chance and he can return to winning ways. SKY HEART (12) looks well placed here on the back of a strong performance at Happy Valley last time out. Despite the narrow defeat, he drops 2kgs for today's race and he's a winner over this track and trip previously. Maps for a lovely run under Badel and can go one better now. SAGACIOUS LIFE (3) got the job done narrowly first-up after a long break in his HK debut. He was big odds there but was very good late in the race and he's trialled well again since. McDonald replaces the apprentice hoop and there's no reason why he can't go on with the job. HONG LOK GOLF (2) is better than we saw last time out and can turn in an improved effort.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Steps Ahead silk

Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at this track on November 9 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Light Years Charm with 120lbs at $6.60. Before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 13 at this track on October 26 over 1m, nose behind Sagacious Life carrying 118lbs at $5.60. Not far away last time. One of the prime contenders.

1st Pick
4

Steps Ahead

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: K W Lui

J: Zac Purton

T: K W Lui

154---19%9/2

Analysis

Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at this track on November 9 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Light Years Charm with 120lbs at $6.60. Before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 13 at this track on October 26 over 1m, nose behind Sagacious Life carrying 118lbs at $5.60. Not far away last time. One of the prime contenders.

12
Sky Heart silk

At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on November 12 over 1 m, neck behind Huge Wave with 121lbs at $6.80. Before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 13 at this track on October 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Sagacious Life carrying 115lbs at $6.90. Expected to be very competitive.

2nd Pick
12

Sky Heart

Jockey: Alex Badel

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: Alex Badel

T: Caspar Fownes

85---9%11/1

Analysis

At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on November 12 over 1 m, neck behind Huge Wave with 121lbs at $6.80. Before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 13 at this track on October 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Sagacious Life carrying 115lbs at $6.90. Expected to be very competitive.

3
Sagacious Life silk

Second-up. First-up after a year came from midfield and won by a nose at this track October 26 over 1m defeating Steps Ahead with 108lbs at $33. Previously second-up scored a big 3 len win at Cidade Jardim June 29 2024 over 7 ½f defeating Osten carrying 123lbs at $2.80. No reason he cannot get the job done again.

3rd Pick
3

Sagacious Life

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Pierre Ng

J: James Mcdonald

T: Pierre Ng

80---29%5/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after a year came from midfield and won by a nose at this track October 26 over 1m defeating Steps Ahead with 108lbs at $33. Previously second-up scored a big 3 len win at Cidade Jardim June 29 2024 over 7 ½f defeating Osten carrying 123lbs at $2.80. No reason he cannot get the job done again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.