Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

149.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

GOOD GOOD (8) gets a chance to control the race from the front, and if he gets away with moderate fractions, he could prove extremely difficult to reel in. He has a genuine winning chance. GORGEOUS VICTORY (9) gets Zac Purton back aboard after the jockey partnered him in a couple of encouraging runs late last season. He was disappointing when eighth at Happy Valley last time out, but his earlier form puts him firmly in the mix. Stick with him. VICTOR SUPREME (1) destroyed his rivals by more than 4 lengths over 1 ?m last start and may have more improvement left despite the drop in distance. He has a good gate, and must be respected. BEAUTY MISSILE (7) made clear progress after joining Brett Crawford and finished last season with a brace of wins. Back in class, he has to be among the hardest to beat. LUCK IS BACK (13) was outpaced early but hit the line strongly for fifth at Happy Valley, and the longer trip looks ideal. He is the value top 4 runner

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last campaign 12th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather March 15 over 1 m, 13 len behind Nezha carrying 123lbs at $9. Previous preparation first-up won by neck this track September 21 over 1m slow track defeating Pearl Of Pang's with 126lbs at $14. Among the winning chances. 1st Pick 8 Good Good Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: John Size J: Andrea Atzeni T: John Size	86	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last campaign 12th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather March 15 over 1 m, 13 len behind Nezha carrying 123lbs at $9. Previous preparation first-up won by neck this track September 21 over 1m slow track defeating Pearl Of Pang's with 126lbs at $14. Among the winning chances.
9	Comes off a 60 day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on July 15 over 1 m, 3 len behind Shamz with 123lbs at $2.50. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on June 13 over 7f, nose behind Meaningful Dragon with 120lbs at $1.80. Looks ready to return to form. 2nd Pick 9 Gorgeous Victory Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Danny Shum J: Zac Purton T: Danny Shum	128	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Comes off a 60 day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on July 15 over 1 m, 3 len behind Shamz with 123lbs at $2.50. The run before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on June 13 over 7f, nose behind Meaningful Dragon with 120lbs at $1.80. Looks ready to return to form.
1	Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign winning post a big 4.5 len win. This track July 4 over 1m defeating Firefoot with 125lbs at $3.70. On debut 11th of 14 at this track January 1 over 6f, 7 len behind Smart Golf with 126lbs at $9.90. Can return in winning form. 3rd Pick 1 Victor Supreme Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: P F Yiu J: Vincent Ho T: P F Yiu	109	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign winning post a big 4.5 len win. This track July 4 over 1m defeating Firefoot with 125lbs at $3.70. On debut 11th of 14 at this track January 1 over 6f, 7 len behind Smart Golf with 126lbs at $9.90. Can return in winning form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.