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7:00 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BABY SAKURA (1) won on debut before a 1.5L defeat most recently when beaten as an odds-on favourite. He got a long way back there after being slowly away. Thinking he can sit much closer this time around with Ho on board and if he can take closer order, he can return to winning ways. ELITE GOLF (2) won well two back before a 1.8L defeat last time out when beaten by Baby Sakura. He's been to the trials since which helps and he meets Baby Sakura better at the weights. Can sit handy in the run and give himself every chance to return to winning ways. LUCKY BID (7) has shown plenty of ability at the trials recently and looks ready to fire on debut. Avdulla has been with him the past three trials and remains with him. Can feature in the finish. FLYING SNIPER (5) disappointed on debut but can improve today with Purton remaining in the saddle.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Baby Sakura silk

Third race start today. At debut, favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at this track February 19 over 6f defeating Elite Golf carrying 128lbs at $6. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 13 at this track on March 22 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Absolute Heart carrying 134lbs at $1.70. Sure to go close.

1st Pick
1

Baby Sakura

Jockey: Vincent Ho

Trainer: K W Lui

J: Vincent Ho

T: K W Lui

152---46%6/5

Analysis

Third race start today. At debut, favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at this track February 19 over 6f defeating Elite Golf carrying 128lbs at $6. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 13 at this track on March 22 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Absolute Heart carrying 134lbs at $1.70. Sure to go close.

2
Elite Golf silk

Since last run he has trialed at Sha Tin AW over 6f on 31/3/2026, Last run led but faded 2nd of 14 at this track on February 19 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Baby Sakura carrying 134lbs at $6.50. The run before won by 0.8 len this track January 11 over 6f defeating Happy Shooter with 127lbs at $15. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
2

Elite Golf

Jockey: Harry Bentley

Trainer: W Y So

J: Harry Bentley

T: W Y So

108---20%4/1

Analysis

Since last run he has trialed at Sha Tin AW over 6f on 31/3/2026, Last run led but faded 2nd of 14 at this track on February 19 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Baby Sakura carrying 134lbs at $6.50. The run before won by 0.8 len this track January 11 over 6f defeating Happy Shooter with 127lbs at $15. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

7
Lucky Bid silk

Gelding by Lucky Vega facing the starter for the first time. Runner-up in a Sha Tin AW trial over 6f on April 2. Trained on the course and looks a top chance at first outing.

3rd Pick
7

Lucky Bid

Jockey: Brenton Avdulla

Trainer: Jamie Richards

J: Brenton Avdulla

T: Jamie Richards

40---6%16/1

Analysis

Gelding by Lucky Vega facing the starter for the first time. Runner-up in a Sha Tin AW trial over 6f on April 2. Trained on the course and looks a top chance at first outing.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.