Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

HAROLD WIN (2) finished last campaign racing over 7f where he was knocking on the door of a victory. He's trialled nicely coming into this with Bowman on board and he rides him today. Been a while between drinks, though if he can pick up from where he left off, he'll be hard to reel in. KA YING RESILIENCE (4) scored first-up last campaign before a 2L defeat prior to the spell. His two trials this time in have been good and Teetan sticks with him. Looks primed for a big effort on resumption and he can land the knockout blow. SPICY STANDARD (1) was just fair in his latest trial, but he did show glimpses at the end of last campaign. Will need some luck from the barrier, but his best is good enough if he can bring it. GROUPER (7) was trending the right way before the break and can resume on a positive note as he comes here with plenty of upside.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Racing well recently. Returns from a 56-day let-up. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 14 at this track on July 12 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Rising Phoenix carrying 134lbs at $4.10. The race before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 14 at this track on June 27 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Master Lucky carrying 132lbs at $10. In form and is among the winning hopes. 1st Pick 2 Harold Win Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: K W Lui J: Hugh Bowman T: K W Lui	132	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Returns from a 56-day let-up. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 14 at this track on July 12 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Rising Phoenix carrying 134lbs at $4.10. The race before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 14 at this track on June 27 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Master Lucky carrying 132lbs at $10. In form and is among the winning hopes.
4	Third-up today. Comes off a 56 day let-up. First-up won by 0.8 len at this track on June 27 over 6f defeating Grouper carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell 6th of 14 at this track on July 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Green Angel with 129lbs at $4.20. Willing to forgive the last run, can atone. 2nd Pick 4 Ka Ying Resilience Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: David A Hayes J: Karis Teetan T: David A Hayes	104	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today. Comes off a 56 day let-up. First-up won by 0.8 len at this track on June 27 over 6f defeating Grouper carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Second run from a spell 6th of 14 at this track on July 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Green Angel with 129lbs at $4.20. Willing to forgive the last run, can atone.
1	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign third of 12 at this track July 4 over 6f, 6 len behind Solid State with 120lbs at $4. Previously first up, seventh of 13 at this track March 22 over 6f, 3 len behind Absolute Heart carrying 134lbs at $6.80. Top hope. 3rd Pick 1 Spicy Standard Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: John Size J: Andrea Atzeni T: John Size	132	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign third of 12 at this track July 4 over 6f, 6 len behind Solid State with 120lbs at $4. Previously first up, seventh of 13 at this track March 22 over 6f, 3 len behind Absolute Heart carrying 134lbs at $6.80. Top hope.

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An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

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A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.