Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.4K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

DECISION LINK (11) jumped favourite last start at this track and trip and flew home from the rear of the field to grab second, though he was beaten 3L. He's bounced back to form his past couple and Moreira sticks with him today. Will get back again but he rates highly and another forward showing is expected. INVICTUS DRAGON (6) is another who is likely to get back in the run, finishing off strongly as favourite last time out to miss by 3.5L. Purton remains in the saddle today and he's knocking on the door of a maiden victory. Can make a statement. LUCKY MAN (7) looks to get every chance from up on the speed after bolting in here last time out by 3L. Bentley remains in the irons now and with this race shaping similarly, he'll go back-to-back. SUPER DRAGON (8) has to be included after closing strongly last time out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at this track on April 19 over 7f, 3 len behind Proud Box carrying 121lbs at $3.80. The start before that favourite, won by 0.5 len at Happy Valley April 8 over 6f defeating Thousand Cups with 132lbs at $5.30. Big chance. 1st Pick 11 Decision Link Jockey: Joao Moreira Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Joao Moreira T: Caspar Fownes	146	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at this track on April 19 over 7f, 3 len behind Proud Box carrying 121lbs at $3.80. The start before that favourite, won by 0.5 len at Happy Valley April 8 over 6f defeating Thousand Cups with 132lbs at $5.30. Big chance.
6	Most recently 5th of 14 at this track on April 12 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Happy Boss with 126lbs at $2.10. The run before that 2nd of 14 at this track on March 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Shotgun carrying 127lbs at $3.80. Can atone. 2nd Pick 6 Invictus Dragon Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: K W Lui J: Zac Purton T: K W Lui	155	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 14 at this track on April 12 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Happy Boss with 126lbs at $2.10. The run before that 2nd of 14 at this track on March 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Shotgun carrying 127lbs at $3.80. Can atone.
7	Comes off a 33 day let-up. Most recently won by 3 len at this track April 6 over 7f defeating Robot Star with 118lbs at $14. The run before that 8th of 11 at Happy Valley on February 11 over 6f, 4 len behind Master Resolute with 120lbs at $7.10. Excellent winning chance with the help of an inside gate. 3rd Pick 7 Lucky Man Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: K H Ting J: Harry Bentley T: K H Ting	142	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Comes off a 33 day let-up. Most recently won by 3 len at this track April 6 over 7f defeating Robot Star with 118lbs at $14. The run before that 8th of 11 at Happy Valley on February 11 over 6f, 4 len behind Master Resolute with 120lbs at $7.10. Excellent winning chance with the help of an inside gate.

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