Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

9.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

STAR BROSE (13) probably hasn't relished the wet tracks his past couple, beaten a long way and never threatening over 1 ?m here last time out. His form prior on top of the ground was much better, including a 0.3L defeat here three starts back. Purton rides now and sharp improvement is expected. ROMANTIC FANTASY (12) finished off strongly from a midfield position to score in a photo finish over Super Goldendragon a fortnight ago. That was over 1 ?m, but he has placed in 3/5 at this trip previously. Likely to get back from the draw but rates highly on his latest efforts and can go close. DOUBLE WIN (4) is racing in good order without winning, missing by 1L behind Super Goldendragon at his last start. he's a winner at this track and trip previously and he should get every chance from the draw. SUPER GOLDENDRAGON (6) is in good form recently and has to be included.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	At the latest run eased back early on 9th of 14 at this track on May 17 over 1m, 6 len behind Romantic Fantasy with 120lbs at $10. The race before that 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on April 29 over 1m, 5 len behind Super Goldendragon carrying 122lbs at $2.60. Looks hard to beat in this line up. 1st Pick 13 Star Brose Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David A Hayes J: Zac Purton T: David A Hayes	110	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run eased back early on 9th of 14 at this track on May 17 over 1m, 6 len behind Romantic Fantasy with 120lbs at $10. The race before that 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on April 29 over 1m, 5 len behind Super Goldendragon carrying 122lbs at $2.60. Looks hard to beat in this line up.
12	At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track May 17 over 1m defeating Super Goldendragon carrying 116lbs at $9.90. The race before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on April 29 over 1m, 3 len behind Super Goldendragon carrying 119lbs at $4.70. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot. 2nd Pick 12 Romantic Fantasy Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: Jamie Richards J: Alex Badel T: Jamie Richards	98	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track May 17 over 1m defeating Super Goldendragon carrying 116lbs at $9.90. The race before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on April 29 over 1m, 3 len behind Super Goldendragon carrying 119lbs at $4.70. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot.
4	Comes off a 32 day let-up. Last start 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on April 29 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Super Goldendragon with 129lbs at $14. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on March 29 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Charity Together with 128lbs at $22. Looks tough to stop again. 3rd Pick 4 Double Win Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Manfred Man J: Vincent Ho T: Manfred Man	93	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Comes off a 32 day let-up. Last start 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on April 29 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Super Goldendragon with 129lbs at $14. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on March 29 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Charity Together with 128lbs at $22. Looks tough to stop again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.