Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

401.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

SUNLIGHT POWER (2) got a long way back from a wide draw last start and couldn't reel in the winner, finishing 0.8L away. Now back to an inside barrier, he should sit much closer and he drops 4lbs despite the good effort last start. Can bounce back to winning ways. VOYAGE SAMURAI (6) should roll across and take up the running and he comes through the same race as Sunlight Power, beaten 1.3L. He meets that runner better at the weights this time and he should get the chance to dictate. Will prove tough to run down. KARMA (5) was a touch disappointing 21 days ago when behind Sunlight Power and Voyage Samurai. He should land in a handy position from the barrier and get a chance to build into the race. Can bounce back to his best. NIMBLE NIMBUS (1) drops back in grade today and has been competitive in much stronger races than this. Can play a major role.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Useful type. Last start 3rd of 14 at this track on February 16 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Johannes Brahms with 130lbs at $4.40. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at this track January 26 over 1m defeating Yellowfin carrying 121lbs at $1.40. Expected to feature. 1st Pick 2 Sunlight Power Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: P F Yiu J: Hugh Bowman T: P F Yiu	135	-	-	-	40%	3/2
Analysis Useful type. Last start 3rd of 14 at this track on February 16 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Johannes Brahms with 130lbs at $4.40. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at this track January 26 over 1m defeating Yellowfin carrying 121lbs at $1.40. Expected to feature.
6	At the latest run 4th of 14 at this track on February 16 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Johannes Brahms carrying 122lbs at $9.70. The start before that faded in the straight second last of 8 at this track on January 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Sunlight Power carrying 120lbs at $4.10. Can turn things around. 2nd Pick 6 Voyage Samurai Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: F C Lor J: Derek Leung T: F C Lor	95	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 14 at this track on February 16 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Johannes Brahms carrying 122lbs at $9.70. The start before that faded in the straight second last of 8 at this track on January 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Sunlight Power carrying 120lbs at $4.10. Can turn things around.
5	Useful type. Last start 6th of 14 at this track on February 16 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Johannes Brahms with 125lbs at $7.60. The race before that 3rd of 8 at this track on January 26 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Sunlight Power carrying 123lbs at $7. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 5 Karma Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Harry Bentley T: Caspar Fownes	112	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Useful type. Last start 6th of 14 at this track on February 16 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Johannes Brahms with 125lbs at $7.60. The race before that 3rd of 8 at this track on January 26 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Sunlight Power carrying 123lbs at $7. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.