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7:35 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.9f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LUCKY YEAR (7) is the one to beat after resuming with a solid second over 1m at this track, beaten just over a length after being kept safe near the top of an open market. Still a maiden, but the rise to 1 ?m this time looks a good move and it wouldn't surprise to see him go one better. ROMANTIC FANTASY (6) brings winning form after edging out Rosewood Fleetfoot at Happy Valley and has already won at this track and distance, with Zac Purton taking over a major positive. STAR BROSE (13) ties in neatly through that same Happy Valley race and was only a neck from Super Goldendragon here two back, so he has the right recent substance. SUPREME MASTERMIND (8) resumes from a three-month break with a kinder draw and weight relief. Can put his best foot forward.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Lucky Year silk

Second run back. First-up after two months with blinkers first time, 2nd of 14 at this track on September 13 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Luck Is Back with 123lbs at $5.70. Previously second-up 6th of 14 at this track on March 8 over 1m, 1.75 len behind The Golden Knight with 125lbs at $17. Strong first-up run and he can go one better this time.

1st Pick
7

Lucky Year

Jockey: Harry Bentley

Trainer: C H Yip

J: Harry Bentley

T: C H Yip

88---10%9/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after two months with blinkers first time, 2nd of 14 at this track on September 13 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Luck Is Back with 123lbs at $5.70. Previously second-up 6th of 14 at this track on March 8 over 1m, 1.75 len behind The Golden Knight with 125lbs at $17. Strong first-up run and he can go one better this time.

6
Romantic Fantasy silk

Second run back. First-up after three months came from midfield and won by a nose at Happy Valley on September 16 over 1m defeating Rosewood Fleetfoot carrying 122lbs at $12. Previously second-up 12th of 14 in a Rating 60 at this track on October 1 over 1m, 8 len behind Oriental Smoke with 118lbs at $11. Back in great shape and will be tough to beat.

2nd Pick
6

Romantic Fantasy

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: Jamie Richards

J: Zac Purton

T: Jamie Richards

141---9%11/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after three months came from midfield and won by a nose at Happy Valley on September 16 over 1m defeating Rosewood Fleetfoot carrying 122lbs at $12. Previously second-up 12th of 14 in a Rating 60 at this track on October 1 over 1m, 8 len behind Oriental Smoke with 118lbs at $11. Back in great shape and will be tough to beat.

13
Star Brose silk

Second-up. First-up after three months 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on September 16 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Romantic Fantasy carrying 120lbs at $7. Previously second-up 8th of 14 at this track on October 19 over 1m, 5 len behind Special Hedge carrying 121lbs at $36. Watch for him flying late in the race.

3rd Pick
13

Star Brose

Jockey: M Yeung

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: M Yeung

T: David A Hayes

90---13%7/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on September 16 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Romantic Fantasy carrying 120lbs at $7. Previously second-up 8th of 14 at this track on October 19 over 1m, 5 len behind Special Hedge carrying 121lbs at $36. Watch for him flying late in the race.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.