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1:15 PM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.2f
Restricted
Synthetic
GOOD
149.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HAPPY UNIVERSE (1) makes strong appeal second-up after missing by only a nose at this track, where he was bumped late and still worked home well. He carries 134lbs again, but his record with Derek Leung is a genuine plus and he has enough 1 m All-Weather substance to be the horse to beat. NIGHT PUROSANGUE (5) is the proven specialist of the main hopes, with three wins and three placings from twelve attempts at this track and distance, and his June win over Bull Attitude reads well despite a fading ninth when resuming. JOLTIN (10) brings the late-closing profile, beaten only half a length at long odds last time after a plain 6f run. Flew home to just miss last start and with a better barrier this time, he can land the knockout blow. ANOTHER WORLD (2) has a track-and-distance win on the board and finished strongly when beaten just over a length at this venue last start. Won't be far away.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Happy Universe silk

Came back in good order when third at this track, beaten a nose by Supreme Agility after being bumped late and working home evenly from midfield. The June run behind Night Purosangue was plain, but he is far better judged on that first-up return and has placed in half his attempts at this track and distance. Clearly one of the main winning chances.

1st Pick
1

Happy Universe

Jockey: Derek Leung

Trainer: K H Ting

J: Derek Leung

T: K H Ting

122---19%9/2

Analysis

Came back in good order when third at this track, beaten a nose by Supreme Agility after being bumped late and working home evenly from midfield. The June run behind Night Purosangue was plain, but he is far better judged on that first-up return and has placed in half his attempts at this track and distance. Clearly one of the main winning chances.

5
Night Purosangue silk

Led and faded when ninth first-up at this track, beaten two and a half lengths by Supreme Agility, but that was not a total failure and he should be fitter. His previous run was a strong win at this venue, scoring by two lengths from Bull Attitude, and his record at this track and distance is a clear strength. Fitter second-up and capable of turning the tables.

2nd Pick
5

Night Purosangue

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: Y S Tsui

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: Y S Tsui

115---17%5/1

Analysis

Led and faded when ninth first-up at this track, beaten two and a half lengths by Supreme Agility, but that was not a total failure and he should be fitter. His previous run was a strong win at this venue, scoring by two lengths from Bull Attitude, and his record at this track and distance is a clear strength. Fitter second-up and capable of turning the tables.

10
Joltin silk

Produced his best run of the campaign when fifth at this track, beaten only half a length by Supreme Agility after finishing strongly from long odds. That followed a 6f seventh where he began awkwardly and only worked home evenly. The 1 m record is the query, not the talent.

3rd Pick
10

Joltin

Jockey: Matthew Poon

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Matthew Poon

T: David A Hayes

71---17%5/1

Analysis

Produced his best run of the campaign when fifth at this track, beaten only half a length by Supreme Agility after finishing strongly from long odds. That followed a 6f seventh where he began awkwardly and only worked home evenly. The 1 m record is the query, not the talent.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.