Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

VOLCANIC SPARK (2) rattled home from the back of the pack last start to just miss at this track and trip, beaten in a photo finish. The form out of that race has been solid and Bowman r5ides the gelding again. Loves this track and trip and will be hard to hold out. GOOD GOOD (8) has been racing strongly over further in recent efforts, leading them up over 1 ?m most recently. He's back to 1 ?m today, but he was good over this trip at The Valley three back. Looks the main danger if he can hold his form. YOUTH POWER (11) is another who comes across from Happy Valley following a 3.8L defeat over 1 m. He's turned in a nice trial since that effort and he carries no weight after the claim of Wong. Can put his best foot forward. GOLD MASTER (4) rises to this trip for the first time but it should suit this son of The Autumn Sun. Wouldn't surprise to see him go to another level now.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	At the latest run took up a position near the tail 2nd of 14 at this track on February 16 over 1m, nose behind Billionaire Secret carrying 133lbs at $6.20. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on January 26 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Good Good carrying 134lbs at $7.10. Winning chance. 1st Pick 2 Volcanic Spark Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: P F Yiu J: Hugh Bowman T: P F Yiu	139	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At the latest run took up a position near the tail 2nd of 14 at this track on February 16 over 1m, nose behind Billionaire Secret carrying 133lbs at $6.20. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on January 26 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Good Good carrying 134lbs at $7.10. Winning chance.
8	Going well. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on February 26 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Serangoon carrying 125lbs at $6.90. The race before that won by a nose at this track January 26 over 1 ¼m defeating Billionaire Secret with 120lbs at $6.70. Capable of taking this out. 2nd Pick 8 Good Good Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: John Size J: Brenton Avdulla T: John Size	144	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Going well. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on February 26 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Serangoon carrying 125lbs at $6.90. The race before that won by a nose at this track January 26 over 1 ¼m defeating Billionaire Secret with 120lbs at $6.70. Capable of taking this out.
11	Useful gelding. Most recently 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on February 19 over 1 m, 4 len behind Thesis carrying 122lbs at $9. The run before that 4th of 12 at Happy Valley on January 8 over 1 m, 2 len behind Firefoot carrying 123lbs at $14. Well placed. Can turn things around. 3rd Pick 11 Youth Power Jockey: Britney Wong Trainer: David A Hayes J: Britney Wong T: David A Hayes	86	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Useful gelding. Most recently 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on February 19 over 1 m, 4 len behind Thesis carrying 122lbs at $9. The run before that 4th of 12 at Happy Valley on January 8 over 1 m, 2 len behind Firefoot carrying 123lbs at $14. Well placed. Can turn things around.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.