Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

HAPPY BRETHREN (5) is racing in good order recently and was 2.5L off the winner last time out at Happy Valley. Back to Sha Tin now and the rise to 7f shouldn't be an issue. Vincent Ho remains in the saddle and if he gets some luck from the barrier, he'll be hard to hold out. ALABAMA SONG (11) ran over the top from midfield to score by 0.2L at this track and trip. He rises in weight off that effort, but he's progressing nicely. Likely to get back from the draw once again but can storm home over the top again. CIRCUIT FIERY (1) missed by 1.8L last time out at this track and trip after a good win as an odds-on pop two back. Yuen hops on board now, claiming 4.5kgs and he'll take plenty of catching from the front. LET'S HAVE FUN (7) turned in a much better effort last start and now gets Bowman on board. Can feature in the finish yet again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Most recently 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on April 8 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Sky Cap with 127lbs at $6.30. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at this track on March 15 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Mr Incredible with 129lbs at $5.30. Has good early speed and will take some running down. 1st Pick 5 Happy Brethren Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: K W Lui J: Vincent Ho T: K W Lui	75	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on April 8 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Sky Cap with 127lbs at $6.30. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at this track on March 15 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Mr Incredible with 129lbs at $5.30. Has good early speed and will take some running down.
11	Recent form sound. Most recently won by a head at this track April 12 over 7f defeating Forza Toro with 117lbs at $14. The race before that 4th of 14 at this track on March 29 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Better And Better carrying 122lbs at $5.60. Hard to beat again. 2nd Pick 11 Alabama Song Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: John Size J: Alex Badel T: John Size	128	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently won by a head at this track April 12 over 7f defeating Forza Toro with 117lbs at $14. The race before that 4th of 14 at this track on March 29 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Better And Better carrying 122lbs at $5.60. Hard to beat again.
1	Racing well recently. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at this track on March 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind King Dance with 132lbs at $4.80. Before that won by 1.75 len at this track March 1 over 7f defeating The All Rounder with 123lbs at $1.70. Looks very tough to beat. 3rd Pick 1 Circuit Fiery Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: W Y So J: Nichola Yuen T: W Y So	143	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at this track on March 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind King Dance with 132lbs at $4.80. Before that won by 1.75 len at this track March 1 over 7f defeating The All Rounder with 123lbs at $1.70. Looks very tough to beat.

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