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Resulted

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Restricted
Synthetic
GOOD
237.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BUSTLING CITY (2) is the one to beat after a dominant win at this track two weeks ago, when he drew right away from Speedy Smartie as a short odds-on favourite. He is unbeaten in two starts on this surface and with things to suit once again, he can extend his winning streak. LUCY IN THE SKY (1) is the main danger on current form, backing up quickly after a third at Sha Tin and bringing a solid 6f record. Only raced on the All Weather once, but his racing pattern suggests it's not an issue and he can give a bold sight. KEMPES (8) rises from a C4 win but gets meaningful weight relief as he rises in grade. Needs a touch of luck from the draw, but he's good enough if the breaks come. TOGETHER WE VALUE (7) resumes with honest enough recent margins from last campaign and can be competitive for a minor end if he returns in order.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Bustling City silk

Dominant first-up at this track, winning by seven lengths as a short odds-on favourite after putting the race away before the straight. He had also won a Class 4 at this venue by four and a half lengths the start prior, so his all-weather form is compelling. An exciting gelding on the rise and there's no reason why he can't keep the ball rolling.

1st Pick
2

Bustling City

Jockey: Brenton Avdulla

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Brenton Avdulla

T: David A Hayes

165---72%

Analysis

Dominant first-up at this track, winning by seven lengths as a short odds-on favourite after putting the race away before the straight. He had also won a Class 4 at this venue by four and a half lengths the start prior, so his all-weather form is compelling. An exciting gelding on the rise and there's no reason why he can't keep the ball rolling.

1
Lucy In The Sky silk

Backs up after finishing third at Sha Tin last week, beaten a length by Bunta Baby despite starting among the outsiders. That followed a well-supported win over Chill Buddy, where he quickened early in the straight and put the race away decisively. Proven at 6f and the claim keeps him firmly in the winning mix.

2nd Pick
1

Lucy In The Sky

Jockey: Britney Wong

Trainer: Y S Tsui

J: Britney Wong

T: Y S Tsui

155---15%

Analysis

Backs up after finishing third at Sha Tin last week, beaten a length by Bunta Baby despite starting among the outsiders. That followed a well-supported win over Chill Buddy, where he quickened early in the straight and put the race away decisively. Proven at 6f and the claim keeps him firmly in the winning mix.

8
Kempes silk

Finished off strongly to win a Class 4 at Sha Tin last start, scoring by just under a length over Noble Superior after being held up early in the straight. He rises in grade now, but drops from 134lbs to 121lbs and his 6f record is a major asset. Strong 6f record makes him a live winning chance.

3rd Pick
8

Kempes

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: David Hall

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: David Hall

138---19%

Analysis

Finished off strongly to win a Class 4 at Sha Tin last start, scoring by just under a length over Noble Superior after being held up early in the straight. He rises in grade now, but drops from 134lbs to 121lbs and his 6f record is a major asset. Strong 6f record makes him a live winning chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.