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6:15 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DANCING BLAZE (5) sat handy but was no match for the winner on debut on wet deck here a fortnight ago. He jumped a $4.80 there with some good trials coming in and Moreira remains in the irons. He'll be better for the debut performance and with improvement on the cards, he can get the job done. THE CONCENTRATION (13) has dipped his past couple over 7f and drops back to 6f today. He may be looking for a drop in grade, but his form three and four starts ago was very strong and he's starting in the market his past couple. Can feature with no weight on his back. MALPENSA (2) sat handy and got the job done by a head at this track and trip 28 days ago. Suspect they'll adopt similar tactics today for Orman and the form out of his last start has worked out well. Can go back-to-back. SPEEDY SMARTIE (1) can roll across from out wide and turn in a bold sight from the front.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Dancing Blaze silk

Was well in the market at debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on May 17 over 6f, 5 len behind Superb Spirit with 127lbs at $4.80. Expect a bold showing.

1st Pick
5

Dancing Blaze

Jockey: Joao Moreira

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: Joao Moreira

T: Caspar Fownes

95---34%2/1

Analysis

Was well in the market at debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on May 17 over 6f, 5 len behind Superb Spirit with 127lbs at $4.80. Expect a bold showing.

13
The Concentration silk

At the latest run did the work up front then tired 7th of 14 at this track on May 9 over 7f, 4 len behind Invictus Dragon with 111lbs at $10. Before that 7th of 14 at this track on April 12 over 7f, 4 len behind Happy Boss carrying 117lbs at $12. One of the leading chances.

2nd Pick
13

The Concentration

Jockey: Nichola Yuen

Trainer: P F Yiu

J: Nichola Yuen

T: P F Yiu

87---19%9/2

Analysis

At the latest run did the work up front then tired 7th of 14 at this track on May 9 over 7f, 4 len behind Invictus Dragon with 111lbs at $10. Before that 7th of 14 at this track on April 12 over 7f, 4 len behind Happy Boss carrying 117lbs at $12. One of the leading chances.

2
Malpensa silk

At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at this track May 3 over 6f defeating Top Throne with 129lbs at $9.60. The run before that 10th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on April 1 over 6f, 4 len behind Igor Stravinsky with 127lbs at $10. Can make it back-to-back wins.

3rd Pick
2

Malpensa

Jockey: James Orman

Trainer: W Y So

J: James Orman

T: W Y So

158---13%7/1

Analysis

At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at this track May 3 over 6f defeating Top Throne with 129lbs at $9.60. The run before that 10th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on April 1 over 6f, 4 len behind Igor Stravinsky with 127lbs at $10. Can make it back-to-back wins.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.