Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

11.9f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD

3340.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

The first of the G1's today and GIAVELLOTTO (3) looks to retain his crown after bolting in to win this 12 months ago. He was solid in the Arc after winning the September Stakes at Kempton and is coming in just as well as he was 12 months ago. Would've won by further 12 months ago with even luck and he can go back-to-back. SOSIE (5) hit the line alongside Giavellotto in the Arc after a bold effort in the Prix Foy at Lonchamp. Guyon hops back in the saddle today and her form reads brilliantly for a race like this. He looks the maps danger on his recent efforts. URBAN CHIC (6) finished strongly in the Tenno Sho and has performed well out to 1 ½m previously. Can build on his latest effort and with a good draw, he can make his presence felt. AL RIFFA (2) was in top order before a solid run in the Melbourne Cup. Right in this on his best form. LOS ANGELES (1) is right in this race if he can bring his best form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fourth of 17 at Longchamp in the G1 Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe October 5 over 1 ½m, soft track, 6 len behind Daryz carrying 131lbs at $38. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.5 len Kempton Park All Weather G3 September Stks September 6 over 1 ½m defeating Kalpana with 133lbs at $3.30. Bolted in to win this race last year and is going just as well this time aro 1st Pick 3 Giavellotto Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: Marco Botti J: Andrea Atzeni T: Marco Botti	98	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fourth of 17 at Longchamp in the G1 Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe October 5 over 1 ½m, soft track, 6 len behind Daryz carrying 131lbs at $38. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.5 len Kempton Park All Weather G3 September Stks September 6 over 1 ½m defeating Kalpana with 133lbs at $3.30. Bolted in to win this race last year and is going just as well this time aro
5	Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign third of 17 at Longchamp in the G1 Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe October 5 over 1 ½m, soft track, 5.5 len behind Daryz with 131lbs at $13. First up last campaign second of 9 at Longchamp in the G2 Prix Foy September 7 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Byzantine Dream with 129lbs at $2.60. Finished alongside Giavellotto in the Arc and looks the main danger. 2nd Pick 5 Sosie Jockey: Maxime Guyon Trainer: Andre Fabre J: Maxime Guyon T: Andre Fabre	132	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign third of 17 at Longchamp in the G1 Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe October 5 over 1 ½m, soft track, 5.5 len behind Daryz with 131lbs at $13. First up last campaign second of 9 at Longchamp in the G2 Prix Foy September 7 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Byzantine Dream with 129lbs at $2.60. Finished alongside Giavellotto in the Arc and looks the main danger.
6	Racing second-up today. Not raced for 42 days. Last outing 5th of 14 at Tokyo in the G1 Tenno Sho (Autumn) on November 2 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Masquerade Ball carrying 128lbs at $28.20. At only start last preparation 14th of 17 at Hanshin in the G1 Takarazuka Kine on June 15 over 1m, 14 len behind Meisho Tabaru carrying 128lbs at $10.60. Big run in the Tenno Sho last start and he can make his presence felt. 3rd Pick 6 Urban Chic Jockey: Christophe Lemaire Trainer: Ryo Takei J: Christophe Lemaire T: Ryo Takei	138	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Racing second-up today. Not raced for 42 days. Last outing 5th of 14 at Tokyo in the G1 Tenno Sho (Autumn) on November 2 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Masquerade Ball carrying 128lbs at $28.20. At only start last preparation 14th of 17 at Hanshin in the G1 Takarazuka Kine on June 15 over 1m, 14 len behind Meisho Tabaru carrying 128lbs at $10.60. Big run in the Tenno Sho last start and he can make his presence felt.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

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