Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Synthetic

GOOD

150.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

MEEPMEEP (11) won well over this course and distance last start as the favourite and now rises in trip as he drops in weight. Has gone to a new level since landing on the All Weather surface and the wide draw isn't that big of an issue. Can bring up back-to-back wins. G LINER (1) drops back in grade today and went very close to winning under similar circumstances 4 starts ago. Bowman hops back in the saddle, he has a good record at the track and trip and he's expected to bounce right back to form. FOREVER FOLKS (9) tends to get back in his races which is some niggle off the inside gate, but he's been finishing off strongly in recent efforts. Thompson remains in the saddle and if he can get the breaks in the straight, he'll go close. FASHION LEGEND (8) couldn't bring up back-to-back wins last start but has trialled well since. Can bounce back off the inside barrier.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by a neck at this track April 20 over 1 m defeating Family Fortune with 130lbs at $2.70. The race before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on March 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Yoda's Choice carrying 134lbs at $4.70. Looks suitably placed here and should play a big role again. 1st Pick 11 Meepmeep Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: John Size J: Brenton Avdulla T: John Size	133	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by a neck at this track April 20 over 1 m defeating Family Fortune with 130lbs at $2.70. The race before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on March 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Yoda's Choice carrying 134lbs at $4.70. Looks suitably placed here and should play a big role again.
1	Third-up today. First-up eased back early on 7th of 12 at this track on March 26 over 6f, 7 len behind Must Go carrying 112lbs at $32. Last start 10th of 12 at this track on April 20 over 6f, 7 len behind Must Go with 114lbs at $71. Has the ability and a bold showing is expected. 2nd Pick 1 G Liner Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: Jamie Richards J: Hugh Bowman T: Jamie Richards	89	-	-	-	5%	19/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up eased back early on 7th of 12 at this track on March 26 over 6f, 7 len behind Must Go carrying 112lbs at $32. Last start 10th of 12 at this track on April 20 over 6f, 7 len behind Must Go with 114lbs at $71. Has the ability and a bold showing is expected.
9	Last start 3rd of 14 at this track on April 20 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind Chill Kaka with 126lbs at $8.80. The run before that 7th of 14 at this track on March 26 over 1 m, 5 len behind Fashion Legend carrying 123lbs at $5.60. Making headway. Shapes as a key runner. 3rd Pick 9 Forever Folks Jockey: Ben Thompson Trainer: C W Chang J: Ben Thompson T: C W Chang	92	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start 3rd of 14 at this track on April 20 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind Chill Kaka with 126lbs at $8.80. The run before that 7th of 14 at this track on March 26 over 1 m, 5 len behind Fashion Legend carrying 123lbs at $5.60. Making headway. Shapes as a key runner.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.