Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.6K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

GOLD PATCH (3) sat close to the speed on debut over 5f and was very game, winning in a photo finish, though there was a big gap to the rest of them. The draw makes things a little tricky, though McDonald sticks with him and he's turned in a nice trial since. Can repeat the dose. FIND MY LOVE (2) finished off strongly at Happy Valley last time out to be 1.3L off the winner in a race that rated well. Now DMB hops on board and he returns to the more spacious Sha Tin circuit. May get back in the run again but should be finishing strongly late in the race. ALWAYS FLUKE (14) finished 1L away over 7f last time out after a strong performance at this track and trip off a long break first-up. Blinkers go back on today and another forward showing is on the cards. GLACIATED (8) bounced back last start on the All Weather and has claims if he can transfer that form onto the turf.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose at this track January 25 over 5f defeating Sparkling Fellow with 127lbs at $1.50. Has upside and can make it two on the trot. 1st Pick 3 Gold Patch Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: K W Lui J: James Mcdonald T: K W Lui	162	-	-	-	46%	6/5
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose at this track January 25 over 5f defeating Sparkling Fellow with 127lbs at $1.50. Has upside and can make it two on the trot.
2	Most recently 4th of 11 at Happy Valley on February 11 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Master Resolute carrying 133lbs at $4.20. The start before that eased back early on 6th of 12 at this track on January 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Loyal Bright carrying 120lbs at $9. Can improve again. Can turn things around. 2nd Pick 2 Find My Love Jockey: Dylan Browne Mcmonagle Trainer: D Whyte J: Dylan Browne Mcmonagle T: D Whyte	150	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Most recently 4th of 11 at Happy Valley on February 11 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Master Resolute carrying 133lbs at $4.20. The start before that eased back early on 6th of 12 at this track on January 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Loyal Bright carrying 120lbs at $9. Can improve again. Can turn things around.
14	Third-up today. Resuming made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on February 1 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Shotgun carrying 134lbs at $25. Second-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on February 14 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Run Run Smart with 115lbs at $15. Impressed last start. One of the chances. 3rd Pick 14 Always Fluke Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: W Y So J: Harry Bentley T: W Y So	105	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on February 1 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Shotgun carrying 134lbs at $25. Second-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on February 14 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Run Run Smart with 115lbs at $15. Impressed last start. One of the chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.