Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD FIRM

149.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

RISING PHOENIX (2) has been racing over the mile recently and disappointed on the wet deck most recently. His latest trial was great and Purton hops back on board as he returns to his preferred track and trip. Ticks plenty of boxes from a good draw and he can make a statement. LUCKY MAN (5) pulled up with a few issues last start when well beaten, though his form prior was very good. Drawn to get every chance again today and if he can bounce back to his best form, he'll be in this for a very long way. HAROLD WIN (1) led them up last start to just miss by 0.8L here. The wide draw this time is a query, though he's showing he's up to the mark and with his early speed, he'll be tough to reel in. HAPPY PROMISE (8) is better than he showed last start and can bounce back to his best form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Resumes after a break of nine weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 14 at this track May 9 over 1m, 5 len behind Smart Avenue with 117lbs at $15. Previously first up, second of 14 at this track September 7 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Super Strong Kid with 123lbs at $9.20. Should give a great sight. 1st Pick 2 Rising Phoenix Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David Hall J: Zac Purton T: David Hall	102	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Resumes after a break of nine weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 14 at this track May 9 over 1m, 5 len behind Smart Avenue with 117lbs at $15. Previously first up, second of 14 at this track September 7 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Super Strong Kid with 123lbs at $9.20. Should give a great sight.
5	Comes off a 42 day let-up. At the latest run 11th of 14 at this track on May 31 over 7f, 9 len behind Joyful Joy with 126lbs at $7.90. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 14 at this track on May 9 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Invictus Dragon with 127lbs at $5.10. Finds a suitable race and is expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 5 Lucky Man Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: K H Ting J: Luke Ferraris T: K H Ting	78	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Comes off a 42 day let-up. At the latest run 11th of 14 at this track on May 31 over 7f, 9 len behind Joyful Joy with 126lbs at $7.90. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 14 at this track on May 9 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Invictus Dragon with 127lbs at $5.10. Finds a suitable race and is expected to be in the finish.
1	Recent form sound. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 14 at this track on June 27 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Master Lucky with 132lbs at $10. Before that 4th of 14 at this track on May 24 over 7f, 5 len behind Monarch County with 132lbs at $3.50. Working up to a win. Rates highly and can go on with it. 3rd Pick 1 Harold Win Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: K W Lui J: Ethan Brown T: K W Lui	149	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 14 at this track on June 27 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Master Lucky with 132lbs at $10. Before that 4th of 14 at this track on May 24 over 7f, 5 len behind Monarch County with 132lbs at $3.50. Working up to a win. Rates highly and can go on with it.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.