Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

ACE (12) flew home to score impressively over this course and distance last time out in easier company. He jumped the $3.40 fav there and the form out of the race has been strong. Likely to get back again but with 10lbs less on his back, he can repeat the dose. NYX GLUCK (4) stuck on well late in the race here last time out, finishing 2.8L off the winner. He gets the winkers on for the firs time today and Brown takes the ride. Can be in the finish yet again. ROBOT STAR (3) was no match for the winner last start, but he was best of the rest when coming from behind. This shapes similarly and his record at this track and trip is very strong. Can go one better without surprising. CALIFORNIA BAY (13) was eased out of the race last start when finding trouble in the straight. A much better effort is anticipated.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at this track March 29 over 7f defeating Bling Bling Genius with 133lbs at $3.40. The race before that eased back early on 8th of 14 at this track on March 1 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Conrad Patch with 117lbs at $27. Fitter and is worth following up. 1st Pick 12 Ace Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Jerry Chau T: Mark Newnham	114	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at this track March 29 over 7f defeating Bling Bling Genius with 133lbs at $3.40. The race before that eased back early on 8th of 14 at this track on March 1 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Conrad Patch with 117lbs at $27. Fitter and is worth following up.
4	Most recently came from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on March 29 over 7f, 2.75 len behind King Dance carrying 130lbs at $6.40. The run before that 10th of 12 at this track on March 15 over 6f, 5 len behind Mr Incredible carrying 134lbs at $10. One of the major players. 2nd Pick 4 Nyx Gluck Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: W K Mo J: Ethan Brown T: W K Mo	135	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently came from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on March 29 over 7f, 2.75 len behind King Dance carrying 130lbs at $6.40. The run before that 10th of 12 at this track on March 15 over 6f, 5 len behind Mr Incredible carrying 134lbs at $10. One of the major players.
3	At the latest run 2nd of 14 at this track on April 6 over 7f, 3 len behind Lucky Man carrying 134lbs at $13. The run before that 5th of 14 at this track on March 22 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Mega Mastermind carrying 134lbs at $2.80. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time. 3rd Pick 3 Robot Star Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: Manfred Man J: Hugh Bowman T: Manfred Man	120	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 14 at this track on April 6 over 7f, 3 len behind Lucky Man carrying 134lbs at $13. The run before that 5th of 14 at this track on March 22 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Mega Mastermind carrying 134lbs at $2.80. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.