Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

9.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

ENTHRALLED (4) has been flying home in recent efforts, missing by 0.3L two back before going back to 1 ?m last start and finishing 1.3L off the winner. Bowman rides again today and back out to 1 ¼m is a big tick. Been a while between drinks but he's knocking on the door and this presents as a golden opportunity. SUPER GOLDENDRAGON (7) has turned his form around in recent efforts, missing by 2L last start over this track and trip. Things look to work out nicely for him here and if he can hold his form lining up here, he'll be hard to fend off. RELIABLE DAD (9) steps out to 1 ¼m for the first time and this looks an opportunity to go to a new level. He's run to a strong level over a mile previously when flying late, with the extra journey now appearing to suit. Has plenty of upside and can notch up his maiden win. DOUBLE WIN (2) was too good last start at this track and trip and is can do the job again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on June 13 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Forever Folks carrying 134lbs at $5.20. The run before that 2nd of 14 at this track on May 31 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Double Win with 132lbs at $4.90. Must come into consideration over this longer journey. 1st Pick 4 Enthralled Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: John Size J: Hugh Bowman T: John Size	135	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on June 13 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Forever Folks carrying 134lbs at $5.20. The run before that 2nd of 14 at this track on May 31 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Double Win with 132lbs at $4.90. Must come into consideration over this longer journey.
7	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 14 at this track on May 31 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Double Win carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on May 17 over 1m, nose behind Romantic Fantasy with 125lbs at $19. Well placed. Well placed and sure to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 7 Super Goldendragon Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: W K Mo J: Derek Leung T: W K Mo	83	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 14 at this track on May 31 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Double Win carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on May 17 over 1m, nose behind Romantic Fantasy with 125lbs at $19. Well placed. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.
9	Second-up. First-up after three months 7th of 14 at this track on June 7 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Ace carrying 123lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up 5th of 14 at this track on December 7 over 7f, 5 len behind With A Smile with 128lbs at $52. Looks hard to beat in this line up. 3rd Pick 9 Reliable Dad Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: David Hall J: Brenton Avdulla T: David Hall	65	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 7th of 14 at this track on June 7 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Ace carrying 123lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up 5th of 14 at this track on December 7 over 7f, 5 len behind With A Smile with 128lbs at $52. Looks hard to beat in this line up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.