Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

9.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

VICTOR SUPREME (1) has been knocking on the door with successive seconds at this track over 1 ?m, beaten a length and a half by Super Goldendragon before going under by half a length to Good Good. First try at 1 ¼m and 134lbs are the qualifications, but the first-time blinkers and Zac Purton booking give him the strongest winning platform. LUCKY BALERION (7) has not fired in two runs back, yet he is lightly raced, third-up and has previous track form around Victor Supreme, so a sharper performance would not surprise. FAST SPEED (11) brings the freshest winning form after beating King Of Selection at Happy Valley as favourite, with the rise to 1 ¼m the obvious question after four unplaced attempts around the trip. SKY DEEP (3) has the consistency to be right in the contest, having chased well when second to Absolute Honour at Happy Valley after an awkward start, though he is also untried around 1 ¼m.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Has put together two strong seconds at this track over 1m, most recently beaten half a length by Good Good after settling midfield and coming under pressure late. He was sent out favourite start prior when chasing Super Goldendragon, and first-time blinkers now go on with Zac Purton booked. The 1 ¼m is new, but he looks ready to win. 1st Pick 1 Victor Supreme Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: P F Yiu J: Zac Purton T: P F Yiu	165	-	-	-	39%	8/5
Analysis Has put together two strong seconds at this track over 1m, most recently beaten half a length by Good Good after settling midfield and coming under pressure late. He was sent out favourite start prior when chasing Super Goldendragon, and first-time blinkers now go on with Zac Purton booked. The 1 ¼m is new, but he looks ready to win.
7	Comes to this third-up after finishing sixth to Good Good at this track over 1m, beaten six lengths, which reads plain at face value. His earlier track placings and a previous result over Victor Supreme show there is more ability than the last two runs suggest. New 1 ¼m trip is the test, but he is in this. 2nd Pick 7 Lucky Balerion Jockey: Matthew Poon Trainer: F C Lor J: Matthew Poon T: F C Lor	70	-	-	-	5%	19/1
Analysis Comes to this third-up after finishing sixth to Good Good at this track over 1m, beaten six lengths, which reads plain at face value. His earlier track placings and a previous result over Victor Supreme show there is more ability than the last two runs suggest. New 1 ¼m trip is the test, but he is in this.
11	Arrives off a genuine Happy Valley win over 1m, beating King Of Selection by half a length after being sent out favourite in an open betting contest. That followed a fair fifth at this track when beaten just under three lengths, so the form has moved the right way. The 1 ¼m record is the query, but winning form makes him a major chance. 3rd Pick 11 Fast Speed Jockey: Matthew Chadwick Trainer: Y S Tsui J: Matthew Chadwick T: Y S Tsui	71	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Arrives off a genuine Happy Valley win over 1m, beating King Of Selection by half a length after being sent out favourite in an open betting contest. That followed a fair fifth at this track when beaten just under three lengths, so the form has moved the right way. The 1 ¼m record is the query, but winning form makes him a major chance.

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