Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

WET FAST

111.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

SUPERB GUY (13) is the top pick after a first-up third at this track, beaten a neck behind Rattan Galaxy, when he was solid in the market and improved sharply on his 1m failure two runs back. Purton sticks now and while he's a long-time maiden, the fresh run suggests a win is just around the corner. THE ALL ROUNDER (8) was excellent in the same race, charging into second after being short of clear running early in the straight. He too is still a maiden, but he can sit closer this time around and make his presence felt. TURBO JEFFERIES (1) is harder to assess, but the drop to Class 5 gives him scope to improve on two plain eighths. RATTAN GALAXY (4) has already beaten key rivals over this track and distance, winning first-up as favourite after a nose defeat the run before. Can go on with the job.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Returned with an excellent third behind Rattan Galaxy at this track, beaten a neck after showing a response early in the straight and starting near the top of an open market. That was a clear rebound from his 1m 11th behind Frantanck, where he made no impression late. Still a maiden after 18 starts, though he rates highly on his last start and can shed the maiden tag. 1st Pick 13 Superb Guy Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: K W Lui J: Zac Purton T: K W Lui	120	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Returned with an excellent third behind Rattan Galaxy at this track, beaten a neck after showing a response early in the straight and starting near the top of an open market. That was a clear rebound from his 1m 11th behind Frantanck, where he made no impression late. Still a maiden after 18 starts, though he rates highly on his last start and can shed the maiden tag.
8	Made a strong return when second to Rattan Galaxy at this track, beaten a neck after being short of clear running early in the straight and finishing off very strongly. He had earlier run fourth over 6f at this venue after switching wide for clear running, so the form has been building. Still a maiden, but brings a serious winning profile. 2nd Pick 8 The All Rounder Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Vincent Ho T: Pierre Ng	111	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Made a strong return when second to Rattan Galaxy at this track, beaten a neck after being short of clear running early in the straight and finishing off very strongly. He had earlier run fourth over 6f at this venue after switching wide for clear running, so the form has been building. Still a maiden, but brings a serious winning profile.
1	Second-up after finishing eighth in a Class 4 over 5f at Happy Valley, beaten just over six lengths after settling rearward and fading late. The previous run at this track was also in Class 4, where he worked home evenly but was still beaten four and a half lengths. The 7f record is unconvincing, but this is his chance to lift. 3rd Pick 1 Turbo Jefferies Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: David A Hayes J: Harry Bentley T: David A Hayes	55	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Second-up after finishing eighth in a Class 4 over 5f at Happy Valley, beaten just over six lengths after settling rearward and fading late. The previous run at this track was also in Class 4, where he worked home evenly but was still beaten four and a half lengths. The 7f record is unconvincing, but this is his chance to lift.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.