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6:35 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VOYAGE BOSS (10) resumes as the horse to beat after consecutive thirds here before the end of last season, jumping favourite most recently. The inside draw should see him up on the speed yet again and the weight relief of Yuen's claim is a big tick. Will take plenty of catching. SOLID CAR (7) is the main danger on current form, having run third at his past two and been beaten 1L each time. Drawn better this time around and maps to get a lovely run in transit. Wouldn't surprise to see him break his maiden in what looks a suitable event. ALABAMA SONG (11) may be looking for a drop in class, but is among friends in what looks a suitable event. Atzeni's booking is a positive and an improved performance wouldn't surprise. NOBLE PATCH (5) is next best in a race with a long tail.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Voyage Boss silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 12 weeks. Finished off last preparation third of 14 at this track July 12 over 7f, a neck behind Grand Patch carrying 114lbs at $3.60. When resuming last campaign fourth of 12 at this track October 12 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Oldtown carrying 134lbs at $34. Looks the one to beat for the in-form Yuen.

1st Pick
10

Voyage Boss

Jockey: Nichola Yuen

Trainer: F C Lor

J: Nichola Yuen

T: F C Lor

102---23%7/2

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 12 weeks. Finished off last preparation third of 14 at this track July 12 over 7f, a neck behind Grand Patch carrying 114lbs at $3.60. When resuming last campaign fourth of 12 at this track October 12 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Oldtown carrying 134lbs at $34. Looks the one to beat for the in-form Yuen.

7
Solid Car silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 3rd of 14 at this track on September 6 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Joyful Joy carrying 123lbs at $8.80. The race before that 3rd of 14 at this track on July 12 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Prestige Always carrying 127lbs at $3.60. An inside barrier is a big advantage. Can break through now.

2nd Pick
7

Solid Car

Jockey: James Orman

Trainer: David Hall

J: James Orman

T: David Hall

171---34%2/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 3rd of 14 at this track on September 6 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Joyful Joy carrying 123lbs at $8.80. The race before that 3rd of 14 at this track on July 12 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Prestige Always carrying 127lbs at $3.60. An inside barrier is a big advantage. Can break through now.

11
Alabama Song silk

Resuming after a spell of 12 weeks. Finished off last campaign second last of 14 at this track July 12 over 7f, 6 len behind Rising Phoenix with 123lbs at $19. When resuming last campaign fifth of 14 at this track October 26 over 6f, 4 len behind Ever Luck carrying 134lbs at $11. Could prove too smart for these.

3rd Pick
11

Alabama Song

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: John Size

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: John Size

97---12%8/1

Analysis

Resuming after a spell of 12 weeks. Finished off last campaign second last of 14 at this track July 12 over 7f, 6 len behind Rising Phoenix with 123lbs at $19. When resuming last campaign fifth of 14 at this track October 26 over 6f, 4 len behind Ever Luck carrying 134lbs at $11. Could prove too smart for these.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.