Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.9K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

NOT USUAL DOUBLE (7) made an impression when fourth at this track on debut, beaten just under two lengths by Apex Glory despite being bumped and starting unwanted in the market. He closed strongly, suggesting 7f now is no issue and Purton hopping on board is a big push for his chances. CALIFORNIA WAVES (4) is the established danger after closing to within half a length of Lady's Love last start, with a solid 7f record giving his form more substance than most. JUST FOLLOW ME (12) was well found in betting first-up and gets the first-time visor, while his two placings at this track and distance keep him firmly in play despite still chasing a maiden win. STAR SATYR (14) had excuses when fourth to Solid Car, hit the line strongly late, and brings the track-and-distance win that makes him a genuine threat if he gets clearer room.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Made an encouraging debut at this track, finishing fourth and beaten just under two lengths by Apex Glory after being bumped and starting unwanted in the market. The rise to 7f is the one new question, but that debut reads well against Just Follow Me and Zac Purton going on is a significant push. The 7f is new, but his upside makes him the one to beat. 1st Pick 7 Not Usual Double Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Jamie Richards J: Zac Purton T: Jamie Richards	112	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Made an encouraging debut at this track, finishing fourth and beaten just under two lengths by Apex Glory after being bumped and starting unwanted in the market. The rise to 7f is the one new question, but that debut reads well against Just Follow Me and Zac Purton going on is a significant push. The 7f is new, but his upside makes him the one to beat.
4	Closed off strongly to be nearest at the finish when fourth at this track last start, beaten half a length by Lady's Love over 7f. That followed a sound fifth, beaten just under three lengths by Absolute Awakened, so his form this campaign is building nicely. Clear winning chance. 2nd Pick 4 California Waves Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: W K Mo J: Brenton Avdulla T: W K Mo	159	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Closed off strongly to be nearest at the finish when fourth at this track last start, beaten half a length by Lady's Love over 7f. That followed a sound fifth, beaten just under three lengths by Absolute Awakened, so his form this campaign is building nicely. Clear winning chance.
12	Was near the top of betting first-up and finished fifth behind Apex Glory, beaten three lengths after being bumped but travelling smoothly into the straight. The first-time visor is a positive change, and two placings from six at this track and distance show the set-up is workable. Placed twice at this track and distance and gets another strong chance. 3rd Pick 12 Just Follow Me Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: B Crawford J: Karis Teetan T: B Crawford	82	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Was near the top of betting first-up and finished fifth behind Apex Glory, beaten three lengths after being bumped but travelling smoothly into the straight. The first-time visor is a positive change, and two placings from six at this track and distance show the set-up is workable. Placed twice at this track and distance and gets another strong chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.