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6:00 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 4

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Restricted
Synthetic
GOOD
237.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BUSTLING CITY (2) is the one to beat after a dominant win at this track two weeks ago, when he drew right away from Speedy Smartie as a short odds-on favourite. He is unbeaten in two starts on this surface and with things to suit once again, he can extend his winning streak. LUCY IN THE SKY (1) is the main danger on current form, backing up quickly after a third at Sha Tin and bringing a solid 6f record. Only raced on the All Weather once, but his racing pattern suggests it's not an issue and he can give a bold sight. KEMPES (8) rises from a C4 win but gets meaningful weight relief as he rises in grade. Needs a touch of luck from the draw, but he's good enough if the breaks come. TOGETHER WE VALUE (7) resumes with honest enough recent margins from last campaign and can be competitive for a minor end if he returns in order.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Lucy In The Sky silk
2nd Pick
1

Lucy In The Sky

Jockey: Britney Wong

Trainer: Y S Tsui

J: Britney Wong

T: Y S Tsui

155---8%13/1
2
Bustling City silk
1st Pick
2

Bustling City

Jockey: Brenton Avdulla

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Brenton Avdulla

T: David A Hayes

165---72%2/5
3
Mighty Commander silk
3

Mighty Commander

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: Non Runner

T: Caspar Fownes

96---1%

Scratched

4
Sky Cap silk
4

Sky Cap

Jockey: Derek Leung

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: Derek Leung

T: Caspar Fownes

86---5%20/1
5
Must Go silk
5

Must Go

Jockey: Karis Teetan

Trainer: John Size

J: Karis Teetan

T: John Size

84---12%8/1
6
Cala Dei Mori silk
6

Cala Dei Mori

Jockey: E C W Wong

Trainer: Danny Shum

J: E C W Wong

T: Danny Shum

47---3%35/1
7
Together We Value silk
7

Together We Value

Jockey: Harry Bentley

Trainer: C H Yip

J: Harry Bentley

T: C H Yip

69---8%13/1
8
Kempes silk
3rd Pick
8

Kempes

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: David Hall

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: David Hall

138---7%15/1
9
Zhuang Yuan Glory silk
9

Zhuang Yuan Glory

Jockey: Nichola Yuen

Trainer: James Cummings

J: Nichola Yuen

T: James Cummings

74---13%7/1
10
Dragon Joy silk
10

Dragon Joy

Jockey: Matthew Chadwick

Trainer: P F Yiu

J: Matthew Chadwick

T: P F Yiu

59---3%41/1

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.