Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

476.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

PATCH OF THETA (1) steps back up to the mile today which is a big tick for his chances. He bolted in at the trials recently under Hugh Bowman and he looks primed for a big run now. He won't be too far off the front with a small field engaged and he can mow his rivals down and end his winning drought. LIGHT YEARS CHARM (3) has disappointed his past couple, beaten 2.8L last start after getting back in the run. McDonald takes over now and getting back up to the mile looks a good move. Can bounce back to form. DROMBEG BANNER (6) may be the thorn in everyone's side in this race as he appears the likely leader with no weight on his back. His best runs have been when leading on his own terms and that's how this looks to set up for him. Will be tough to run down. TOMODACHI KOKOROE (2) is on the quick turnaround and steps out in trip today. He's racing well and is worth including.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Comes off a 31 day let-up. At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at this track in the G3 Chinese Club Challenge Cup on January 1 over 7f, neck behind Storm Rider with 134lbs at $11. Before that 7th of 14 at this track in the G1 Longines Hong Kong Mile on December 14 over 1m, 4 len behind Voyage Bubble carrying 126lbs at $34. Making headway. Can get over the top to return to winning ways. 1st Pick 1 Patch Of Theta Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: K W Lui J: Hugh Bowman T: K W Lui	172	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Comes off a 31 day let-up. At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at this track in the G3 Chinese Club Challenge Cup on January 1 over 7f, neck behind Storm Rider with 134lbs at $11. Before that 7th of 14 at this track in the G1 Longines Hong Kong Mile on December 14 over 1m, 4 len behind Voyage Bubble carrying 126lbs at $34. Making headway. Can get over the top to return to winning ways.
3	Returns from a 31-day let-up. Most recently 8th of 12 at this track in the G3 Chinese Club Challenge Cup on January 1 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Storm Rider with 132lbs at $4.80. The run before that 8th of 13 at this track in the G2 Jockey Club Mile on November 23 over 1m, 4 len behind Galaxy Patch with 123lbs at $11. Can bounce back. 2nd Pick 3 Light Years Charm Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: David Eustace J: James Mcdonald T: David Eustace	129	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Returns from a 31-day let-up. Most recently 8th of 12 at this track in the G3 Chinese Club Challenge Cup on January 1 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Storm Rider with 132lbs at $4.80. The run before that 8th of 13 at this track in the G2 Jockey Club Mile on November 23 over 1m, 4 len behind Galaxy Patch with 123lbs at $11. Can bounce back.
6	Last start 10th of 14 at this track on January 11 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Little Paradise carrying 125lbs at $14. Before that 2nd of 14 at this track on December 14 over 7f, neck behind Aeris Nova carrying 120lbs at $8.90. Can dictate proceedings and he'll be tough to run down. 3rd Pick 6 Drombeg Banner Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Andrea Atzeni T: Pierre Ng	88	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start 10th of 14 at this track on January 11 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Little Paradise carrying 125lbs at $14. Before that 2nd of 14 at this track on December 14 over 7f, neck behind Aeris Nova carrying 120lbs at $8.90. Can dictate proceedings and he'll be tough to run down.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.