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5:30 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.9f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VICTOR SUPREME (2) gets the nod after a much better second at this track, where he closed off nicely and was beaten a length and a half as a well-supported favourite. He is proven at the distance, has already won at this venue and has a solid record with Vincent Ho, so the profile is strong enough to make him the horse to beat. AMAZING GAZE (5) appears the main danger having won well two runs ago before being held up late when sixth and beaten just over two lengths as favourite. Zac Purton going on adds to the appeal. LUCKY YEAR (9) has been around the mark both runs this campaign, including a second at this track before having no clear run last start, and he remains a serious danger despite still chasing a first win. DREAMING TOGETHER (1) comes back from C3 company after a third here, and that last-start placing gives him a genuine winning platform.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Victor Supreme silk

Closed off nicely for second at this track last start, beaten a length and a half by Super Goldendragon after being sent out a well-supported favourite. He was plain first-up, but his distance record is strong and he has won at this track and trip. Looks the one they have to beat.

1st Pick
2

Victor Supreme

Jockey: Vincent Ho

Trainer: P F Yiu

J: Vincent Ho

T: P F Yiu

109---34%2/1

Analysis

Closed off nicely for second at this track last start, beaten a length and a half by Super Goldendragon after being sent out a well-supported favourite. He was plain first-up, but his distance record is strong and he has won at this track and trip. Looks the one they have to beat.

5
Amazing Gaze silk

Had excuses when sixth at Happy Valley last start, beaten just over two lengths after being held up late as a well-supported favourite. He had led and won there the start prior, beating Sunday's Serenade by two and a half lengths, so the current campaign has real merit. Purton goes on and a clean run puts him right in this.

2nd Pick
5

Amazing Gaze

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Zac Purton

T: David A Hayes

130---9%11/1

Analysis

Had excuses when sixth at Happy Valley last start, beaten just over two lengths after being held up late as a well-supported favourite. He had led and won there the start prior, beating Sunday's Serenade by two and a half lengths, so the current campaign has real merit. Purton goes on and a clean run puts him right in this.

9
Lucky Year silk

Had little room early in the straight before closing off once clear when sixth at this track last start, beaten three lengths by Super Goldendragon. His first-up second here over 1m was also sound, and the market has respected him both runs this campaign. Still a maiden, but his track form makes him a serious danger.

3rd Pick
9

Lucky Year

Jockey: Harry Bentley

Trainer: C H Yip

J: Harry Bentley

T: C H Yip

98---25%3/1

Analysis

Had little room early in the straight before closing off once clear when sixth at this track last start, beaten three lengths by Super Goldendragon. His first-up second here over 1m was also sound, and the market has respected him both runs this campaign. Still a maiden, but his track form makes him a serious danger.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.