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5:30 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Restricted
Synthetic
GOOD
149.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PEJIBAYE (1) resumes as the horse to beat, with his Happy Valley third before the break reading well after he was well-supported and beaten just over a length by Winning Champion. Carries the top weight, but his two trials this time in were superb and he looks poised to strike first-up. JUICY DRAGON (3) is the main danger after a third at this track, beaten a length and a half behind Armour War Eagle, and his two wins and three places from nine starts at this track and distance give him a reliable profile. HAYDAY (7) is a seasoned 6f performer with four wins at the trip and gets a 7lbs claim after a fair first-up sixth at Happy Valley. KING'S ARROW (11) is still building a race record, but his fifth at this venue was close enough to keep him in play and barrier 1 gives him a genuine chance to close the gap.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Pejibaye silk

Returns from a lengthy spell after finishing third at Happy Valley, beaten just over a length by Winning Champion as a well-supported favourite. He was bumped early there but still made ground, and his broader record of one win and four placings from nine tries at 6f gives him a solid base. The claim helps and he looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
1

Pejibaye

Jockey: E C W Wong

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: E C W Wong

T: Caspar Fownes

89---20%4/1

Analysis

Returns from a lengthy spell after finishing third at Happy Valley, beaten just over a length by Winning Champion as a well-supported favourite. He was bumped early there but still made ground, and his broader record of one win and four placings from nine tries at 6f gives him a solid base. The claim helps and he looks the one to beat.

3
Juicy Dragon silk

Produced a much better third at this track last start, beaten a length and a half by Armour War Eagle after being bumped early and responding well in the straight. That followed a plain Happy Valley run when wide throughout, so the return to this surface clearly suited. Andrea Atzeni's record on him adds confidence.

2nd Pick
3

Juicy Dragon

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: Manfred Man

120---15%6/1

Analysis

Produced a much better third at this track last start, beaten a length and a half by Armour War Eagle after being bumped early and responding well in the straight. That followed a plain Happy Valley run when wide throughout, so the return to this surface clearly suited. Andrea Atzeni's record on him adds confidence.

7
Hayday silk

Returns from a five-week freshening after a fair first-up sixth at Happy Valley, beaten three lengths behind New Power when an outside chance in the betting. He did not threaten, but his 6f record is far stronger than that single run suggests, with four wins and six placings from 27 starts at the trip. Proven at 6f and helped by the 7lbs claim.

3rd Pick
7

Hayday

Jockey: Nichola Yuen

Trainer: P F Yiu

J: Nichola Yuen

T: P F Yiu

108---10%10/1

Analysis

Returns from a five-week freshening after a fair first-up sixth at Happy Valley, beaten three lengths behind New Power when an outside chance in the betting. He did not threaten, but his 6f record is far stronger than that single run suggests, with four wins and six placings from 27 starts at the trip. Proven at 6f and helped by the 7lbs claim.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.