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Resulted

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FORTUNATE SON (1) jumped an $9.60 chance in tougher company last start and now drops in grade today in what looks a very suitable assignment. He's trialled nicely since his latest run 55 days ago and he's a winner at this trip previously. Purton now hops in the saddle and if he runs up to his recent form, he'll take beating. MIGHTY STEED (4) just missed over this track and trip last time out, beaten 0.3L after sitting close to the speed. His record reads 0/8 here at this trip, but he rates highly off his last start effort and now gets the Winkers on. Maps for a similar run this time and he can return to winning form. LAKESHORE HERO (12) disappointed last start when never getting into the race, but he has shown good signs prior. Winkers go on now and improvement is expected. LUCKY YEAR (8) has looked good at the trials coming into this debut and won't be far away.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Fortunate Son silk

Comes off a 55 day let-up. Last start 7th of 12 at Happy Valley on May 7 over 1 m, 5 len behind Keefy with 116lbs at $9.60. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on April 16 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind A Americ Te Specso with 116lbs at $17. Sure to prove tough to beat.

1st Pick
1

Fortunate Son

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: W K Mo

J: Zac Purton

T: W K Mo

105---34%

Analysis

Comes off a 55 day let-up. Last start 7th of 12 at Happy Valley on May 7 over 1 m, 5 len behind Keefy with 116lbs at $9.60. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on April 16 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind A Americ Te Specso with 116lbs at $17. Sure to prove tough to beat.

4
Mighty Steed silk

Last start 4th of 14 at this track on June 14 over 7f, neck behind Truly Fluke carrying 125lbs at $4.20. The start before that 6th of 14 at this track on May 25 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Shamus Storm with 127lbs at $16. Expected to feature.

2nd Pick
4

Mighty Steed

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: K W Lui

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: K W Lui

128---29%

Analysis

Last start 4th of 14 at this track on June 14 over 7f, neck behind Truly Fluke carrying 125lbs at $4.20. The start before that 6th of 14 at this track on May 25 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Shamus Storm with 127lbs at $16. Expected to feature.

12
Lakeshore Hero silk

Third-up today. Resuming 6th of 14 at this track on May 25 over 6f, 2 len behind Voyage Boss carrying 123lbs at $15. Last start 9th of 14 at this track on June 14 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Harold Win carrying 122lbs at $7.90. Terrific chance to return to form.

3rd Pick
12

Lakeshore Hero

Jockey: Keagan De Melo

Trainer: David Hall

J: Keagan De Melo

T: David Hall

87---10%

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 6th of 14 at this track on May 25 over 6f, 2 len behind Voyage Boss carrying 123lbs at $15. Last start 9th of 14 at this track on June 14 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Harold Win carrying 122lbs at $7.90. Terrific chance to return to form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.