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5:30 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MIGHTY PROFIT (4) is the one to beat off a debut that had plenty of merit, finishing fifth at this track when beaten just under two lengths after being bumped and settling rearward before closing strongly. He has trialled strongly coming into this and looks ready to take the next step on resumption. CALL ME SPARKLE (2) dipped at the end of last campaign but his last two trials suggest he's back on song and ready to fire first-up. He'll get a a lovely run from a favourable barrier and with his upside, he appears the main danger. LITTLE MONSTER (8) improved last start to be 1.5L off the winner at this track and distance and gets the winkers on for the first time. Needs some luck from the gate but his latest effort shows he's good enough. CROSSBORDERDUDE (1) has been plain at the trials but tends to be better on raceday. Can return with a forward showing.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Mighty Profit silk

Returns from a three-month break after an encouraging debut at this track, finishing fifth to Green Angel and beaten just under two lengths. He was bumped, settled rearward and still finished strongly, which gave the run more merit than the bare result. Recent trials have been impressive and he looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
4

Mighty Profit

Jockey: Jerry Chau

Trainer: David Eustace

J: Jerry Chau

T: David Eustace

59---39%8/5

Analysis

Returns from a three-month break after an encouraging debut at this track, finishing fifth to Green Angel and beaten just under two lengths. He was bumped, settled rearward and still finished strongly, which gave the run more merit than the bare result. Recent trials have been impressive and he looks the one to beat.

2
Call Me Sparkle silk

Returns from a four-month break after finishing sixth at this track over 7f, where he pressed forward and was briefly second in the straight before fading to be beaten six lengths. His previous third to Prestige Hall was better, beaten just over a length after being held up early in the straight. Recent trial win suggests a forward showing is on the cards.

2nd Pick
2

Call Me Sparkle

Jockey: James Orman

Trainer: K W Lui

J: James Orman

T: K W Lui

106---20%4/1

Analysis

Returns from a four-month break after finishing sixth at this track over 7f, where he pressed forward and was briefly second in the straight before fading to be beaten six lengths. His previous third to Prestige Hall was better, beaten just over a length after being held up early in the straight. Recent trial win suggests a forward showing is on the cards.

8
Little Monster silk

Lifted last start when second to Apex Glory at this track, beaten a length and a half after staying on well without matching the winner. That followed a fifth here where he tracked the pace three wide and was only beaten two and a half lengths. Proven at the course and distance, and the recent form reads strongly.

3rd Pick
8

Little Monster

Jockey: Derek Leung

Trainer: W K Mo

J: Derek Leung

T: W K Mo

152---15%6/1

Analysis

Lifted last start when second to Apex Glory at this track, beaten a length and a half after staying on well without matching the winner. That followed a fifth here where he tracked the pace three wide and was only beaten two and a half lengths. Proven at the course and distance, and the recent form reads strongly.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.