Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

PACKING PHOENIX (3) won impressively first-up and looked like a nice horse on the rise, though he disappointed last time out when the $1.7 favourite. He's been back to the trials since and Purton remains in the saddle. The tongue tie goes on now and he can bounce back to winning ways from a good draw. MAJESTIC VALOUR (1) settled handy last start before getting the job done over this track and trip last time out, winning by 1.8L. Moore replaces Purton in the irons and he has enough early speed to get across from the draw. Looks to have plenty of upside and can get the job done again. VOYAGE BOSS (4) has won a trial since his latest performance where he didn't have much luck, settling wide and without cover. He looks well suited here from a much better barrier and he can make his presence felt. MABUBU (2) surprised on debut but did it the hard way. Can repeat the dose without surprising.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck at this track September 28 over 6f defeating Spicy Standard carrying 128lbs at $1.50. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at this track on October 19 over 6f, 5 len behind Pejibaye with 134lbs at $1.70. Disappointing last start and can bounce back to winning ways. 1st Pick 3 Packing Phoenix Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: K W Lui J: Zac Purton T: K W Lui	114	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck at this track September 28 over 6f defeating Spicy Standard carrying 128lbs at $1.50. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at this track on October 19 over 6f, 5 len behind Pejibaye with 134lbs at $1.70. Disappointing last start and can bounce back to winning ways.
1	At debut, won tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at this track November 30 over 6f defeating Ever Luck carrying 127lbs at $5.70. Impressive win on debut and he can build on that effort. 2nd Pick 1 Majestic Valour Jockey: Ryan Moore Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Ryan Moore T: Pierre Ng	120	-	-	-	39%	8/5
Analysis At debut, won tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at this track November 30 over 6f defeating Ever Luck carrying 127lbs at $5.70. Impressive win on debut and he can build on that effort.
4	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 12 at this track on October 12 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Oldtown with 134lbs at $34. Second-up crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 12 at this track on November 9 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Szeryng with 134lbs at $11. Looks well placed here and a bold showing is expected. 3rd Pick 4 Voyage Boss Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: F C Lor J: Derek Leung T: F C Lor	63	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 12 at this track on October 12 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Oldtown with 134lbs at $34. Second-up crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 12 at this track on November 9 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Szeryng with 134lbs at $11. Looks well placed here and a bold showing is expected.

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Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.