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9:00 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WINNING MACHINE (14) notched up his maiden win last start as the equal fave and looks well placed to repeat the dose here. Up to C4 now, but drops right down in weight with the claim of Wong and his racing pattern makes him very attractive. Can land up front and give them something to chase. FLYING SNIPER (13) is a 3YO who makes some appeal here after closing well over 6f last time out. Now out to 7f for the first time and the stable have booked Purton again for him. Looks suited out in trip now and with his upside, he can make his presence felt. GALLANT EPOCH (1) may not have handled the soggy conditions when out to the mile last time out and returns to his preferred track and trip. He draws the inside and should get every chance for Brown. Prior form rates highly and he can bounce back in a big way. CALL ME SUCCESS (9) is better than he's shown his past couple and getting out to this trip may be what can spark him back to form.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
14
Winning Machine silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at this track June 21 over 7f defeating Double Bingo carrying 134lbs at $4. The race before that 2nd of 14 at this track on June 7 over 7f, nose behind Top To Sky with 132lbs at $2.90. Sure to get all the favours from barrier five.

1st Pick
14

Winning Machine

Jockey: E C W Wong

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: E C W Wong

T: Caspar Fownes

161---15%6/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at this track June 21 over 7f defeating Double Bingo carrying 134lbs at $4. The race before that 2nd of 14 at this track on June 7 over 7f, nose behind Top To Sky with 132lbs at $2.90. Sure to get all the favours from barrier five.

13
Flying Sniper silk

At the latest run came from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on June 21 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Absolute Heart carrying 121lbs at $20. Before that got back early 8th of 11 at this track on June 7 over 6f, 4 len behind Leading Dragon with 123lbs at $8.40. Nice effort last time. Great chance to atone.

2nd Pick
13

Flying Sniper

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: David Hall

J: Zac Purton

T: David Hall

95---23%7/2

Analysis

At the latest run came from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track on June 21 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Absolute Heart carrying 121lbs at $20. Before that got back early 8th of 11 at this track on June 7 over 6f, 4 len behind Leading Dragon with 123lbs at $8.40. Nice effort last time. Great chance to atone.

1
Gallant Epoch silk

Comes off a 53 day let-up. At the latest run ran last of 14 at this track on May 9 over 1m, 16 len behind Bling Bling Genius with 134lbs at $10. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 14 at this track on April 6 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Lucky Man carrying 125lbs at $4.70. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

3rd Pick
1

Gallant Epoch

Jockey: Ethan Brown

Trainer: K W Lui

J: Ethan Brown

T: K W Lui

119---15%6/1

Analysis

Comes off a 53 day let-up. At the latest run ran last of 14 at this track on May 9 over 1m, 16 len behind Bling Bling Genius with 134lbs at $10. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 14 at this track on April 6 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Lucky Man carrying 125lbs at $4.70. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.