Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Synthetic

GOOD

111.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER (5) earns top billing after converting strong market confidence into a two-length win at this track, having been beaten only a neck at the same venue the start prior. Drawn out this time, but he has some adaptability and although he rises in weight, he can repeat the dose. HAILTOTHEVICTORS (4) is the main danger on established All-Weather credentials, with one win and one placing from six runs at this track and distance, and his latest fifth behind Happydearhappydeer was sound enough to keep him in the contest. GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S (1) drops from C4 after chasing home Yoda's Choice over 1 ?m and first-time blinkers give him another angle, though he is still a maiden. MAZING GRACE (13) has the light weight and improving profile, with last-start third behind Speedy Trident looking competitive after he had to wait for a run turning for home.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Confirmed his rise in form with a two-length win over Superb Guy at this track last start, having been sent out an odds-on favourite and working home evenly from midfield. That followed a narrow second to Double Bingo when he finished off strongly after being slow away. His track-and-distance record is a clear asset and Britney Wong has clicked with him. Proven at the trip, suited by the rider claim and clearly the one to beat. 1st Pick 5 Happydearhappydeer Jockey: Britney Wong Trainer: A S Cruz J: Britney Wong T: A S Cruz	118	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Confirmed his rise in form with a two-length win over Superb Guy at this track last start, having been sent out an odds-on favourite and working home evenly from midfield. That followed a narrow second to Double Bingo when he finished off strongly after being slow away. His track-and-distance record is a clear asset and Britney Wong has clicked with him. Proven at the trip, suited by the rider claim and clearly the one to beat.
4	Worked home fairly when fifth behind Happydearhappydeer at this track last start, beaten just over three lengths after starting among the outsiders. His previous sixth behind Double Bingo was only plain, but the stronger appeal is his proven All-Weather profile, including one win and one placing from six runs at this track and distance. Profiles as one of the strongest dangers. 2nd Pick 4 Hailtothevictors Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: David Eustace J: Jerry Chau T: David Eustace	116	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Worked home fairly when fifth behind Happydearhappydeer at this track last start, beaten just over three lengths after starting among the outsiders. His previous sixth behind Double Bingo was only plain, but the stronger appeal is his proven All-Weather profile, including one win and one placing from six runs at this track and distance. Profiles as one of the strongest dangers.
1	Went close in Class 4 company at this track last start, closing the gap late when second to Yoda's Choice and beaten just under a length at long odds. That was a clear turnaround from his ninth at Happy Valley, where he was beaten ten lengths. He drops to Class 5, is third-up and gets first-time blinkers, though 1 m remains a small query on his record. First-time blinkers add interest, provided the drop back to 1 m is no issue. 3rd Pick 1 Glorious St Paul's Jockey: Matthew Poon Trainer: F C Lor J: Matthew Poon T: F C Lor	86	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Went close in Class 4 company at this track last start, closing the gap late when second to Yoda's Choice and beaten just under a length at long odds. That was a clear turnaround from his ninth at Happy Valley, where he was beaten ten lengths. He drops to Class 5, is third-up and gets first-time blinkers, though 1 m remains a small query on his record. First-time blinkers add interest, provided the drop back to 1 m is no issue.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.