Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Synthetic

GOOD

111.5K

VIEW

Verdict

DAILY TROPHY (5) is showing promising signs early this campaign after a fourth placing, beaten just over a length at this track after finishing strongly, following on from a solid third place first-up. Drawn out again, but with some luck up front, he can storm over the top to score. COLOURFUL WINNER (11) is the main danger after a sound fourth two back and a fifth on the turf course when caught wide at 7f. Back to 6f now, but he has placed at this track and trip prior. Can get the job done. SO MY FOLKS (6) has been close enough in two runs at this venue to stay in the argument, though his maiden record keeps the confidence measured. BULLISH PRIDE (4) resumes off a final-run fifth at this track, beaten just over two lengths. Can resume on a positive note.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Built well into this campaign, finishing third behind Wave Garden before a strong fourth at this track last start, beaten just over a length by Shinyu Kokoroe after being bumped early. He has four wins and seven places from 25 starts at this track and distance, and the synthetic record is equally solid. Brings the best overall profile and is the one to beat. 1st Pick 5 Daily Trophy Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Karis Teetan T: Caspar Fownes	115	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Built well into this campaign, finishing third behind Wave Garden before a strong fourth at this track last start, beaten just over a length by Shinyu Kokoroe after being bumped early. He has four wins and seven places from 25 starts at this track and distance, and the synthetic record is equally solid. Brings the best overall profile and is the one to beat.
11	Has put together two competitive Sha Tin runs this campaign, finishing fourth behind Draco then fifth to Team Happy when tracking the speed in a wide position and fading late. That recent form rates strongly for this field, and he should be fitter third-up. Winless record is the knock, but recent form puts him right in this. 2nd Pick 11 Colourful Winner Jockey: James Orman Trainer: W Y So J: James Orman T: W Y So	108	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Has put together two competitive Sha Tin runs this campaign, finishing fourth behind Draco then fifth to Team Happy when tracking the speed in a wide position and fading late. That recent form rates strongly for this field, and he should be fitter third-up. Winless record is the knock, but recent form puts him right in this.
6	Was well found in an open market last start and finished seventh at this track, beaten two and a half lengths by Shinyu Kokoroe after making some ground early in the straight. His prior sixth behind Wave Garden was similar, so the form is honest without quite landing. The maiden record tempers it, but he is a genuine threat. 3rd Pick 6 So My Folks Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: Danny Shum J: Derek Leung T: Danny Shum	74	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Was well found in an open market last start and finished seventh at this track, beaten two and a half lengths by Shinyu Kokoroe after making some ground early in the straight. His prior sixth behind Wave Garden was similar, so the form is honest without quite landing. The maiden record tempers it, but he is a genuine threat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.