Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.4K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

MAPOGO (6) couldn't hold on when leading over this track and trip fresh but did jump a $1.80 chance there. He's bolted in at the trials since and now gets the tongue tie on for the first time. Has the speed to work across to the grandstand rail and he'll be tough to hold out. MASTER PAYMENT (7) has trialled well in readiness for his debut and draws nicely out wide for the straight course. Avdulla has partnered him at the trials and he hops on board for his race debut. Can make an immediate impact. RUN RUN SUNRISE (1) won well two back before a 0.5L defeat most recently when in the second half of the field. He can be a touch closer today from a wider alley and he still has plenty of upside. Can continue his strong run of form. PERFECT TRIUMPH (10) surprised at big odds last start when not far away at the finish. Moreira and Fownes combine again and he can prove last start wasn't a fluke.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Was well-supported at debut, 4th of 13 at this track on March 8 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Run Run Sunrise carrying 127lbs at $1.80. Likely improver who makes plenty of appeal. 1st Pick 6 Mapogo Jockey: Matthew Poon Trainer: Manfred Man J: Matthew Poon T: Manfred Man	58	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 4th of 13 at this track on March 8 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Run Run Sunrise carrying 127lbs at $1.80. Likely improver who makes plenty of appeal.
7	Three-year-old gelding making debut by Hanseatic out of Ragazze. Purchased for AUD $ 60,000 (Inglis 2024 Premier Yearling Sale). Can play a leading role on debut. 2nd Pick 7 Master Payment Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: C H Yip J: Brenton Avdulla T: C H Yip	38	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Three-year-old gelding making debut by Hanseatic out of Ragazze. Purchased for AUD $ 60,000 (Inglis 2024 Premier Yearling Sale). Can play a leading role on debut.
1	Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 14 at this track on March 29 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Ever Luck with 133lbs at $5.40. Before that won by 0.5 len at this track March 8 over 5f defeating Comet Radiance with 127lbs at $5.20. Drawn ideally for the straight course and can go one better. 3rd Pick 1 Run Run Sunrise Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: F C Lor J: Jerry Chau T: F C Lor	144	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 14 at this track on March 29 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Ever Luck with 133lbs at $5.40. Before that won by 0.5 len at this track March 8 over 5f defeating Comet Radiance with 127lbs at $5.20. Drawn ideally for the straight course and can go one better.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.