Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Synthetic

GOOD

149.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

PEJIBAYE (1) resumes as the horse to beat, with his Happy Valley third before the break reading well after he was well-supported and beaten just over a length by Winning Champion. Carries the top weight, but his two trials this time in were superb and he looks poised to strike first-up. JUICY DRAGON (3) is the main danger after a third at this track, beaten a length and a half behind Armour War Eagle, and his two wins and three places from nine starts at this track and distance give him a reliable profile. HAYDAY (7) is a seasoned 6f performer with four wins at the trip and gets a 7lbs claim after a fair first-up sixth at Happy Valley. KING'S ARROW (11) is still building a race record, but his fifth at this venue was close enough to keep him in play and barrier 1 gives him a genuine chance to close the gap.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Returns from a lengthy spell after finishing third at Happy Valley, beaten just over a length by Winning Champion as a well-supported favourite. He was bumped early there but still made ground, and his broader record of one win and four placings from nine tries at 6f gives him a solid base. The claim helps and he looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 1 Pejibaye Jockey: E C W Wong Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: E C W Wong T: Caspar Fownes	89	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after finishing third at Happy Valley, beaten just over a length by Winning Champion as a well-supported favourite. He was bumped early there but still made ground, and his broader record of one win and four placings from nine tries at 6f gives him a solid base. The claim helps and he looks the one to beat.
3	Produced a much better third at this track last start, beaten a length and a half by Armour War Eagle after being bumped early and responding well in the straight. That followed a plain Happy Valley run when wide throughout, so the return to this surface clearly suited. Andrea Atzeni's record on him adds confidence. 2nd Pick 3 Juicy Dragon Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: Manfred Man J: Andrea Atzeni T: Manfred Man	120	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Produced a much better third at this track last start, beaten a length and a half by Armour War Eagle after being bumped early and responding well in the straight. That followed a plain Happy Valley run when wide throughout, so the return to this surface clearly suited. Andrea Atzeni's record on him adds confidence.
7	Returns from a five-week freshening after a fair first-up sixth at Happy Valley, beaten three lengths behind New Power when an outside chance in the betting. He did not threaten, but his 6f record is far stronger than that single run suggests, with four wins and six placings from 27 starts at the trip. Proven at 6f and helped by the 7lbs claim. 3rd Pick 7 Hayday Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: P F Yiu J: Nichola Yuen T: P F Yiu	108	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week freshening after a fair first-up sixth at Happy Valley, beaten three lengths behind New Power when an outside chance in the betting. He did not threaten, but his 6f record is far stronger than that single run suggests, with four wins and six placings from 27 starts at the trip. Proven at 6f and helped by the 7lbs claim.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.