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5:55 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.2f
Restricted
Synthetic
GOOD
111.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER (5) earns top billing after converting strong market confidence into a two-length win at this track, having been beaten only a neck at the same venue the start prior. Drawn out this time, but he has some adaptability and although he rises in weight, he can repeat the dose. HAILTOTHEVICTORS (4) is the main danger on established All-Weather credentials, with one win and one placing from six runs at this track and distance, and his latest fifth behind Happydearhappydeer was sound enough to keep him in the contest. GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S (1) drops from C4 after chasing home Yoda's Choice over 1 ?m and first-time blinkers give him another angle, though he is still a maiden. MAZING GRACE (13) has the light weight and improving profile, with last-start third behind Speedy Trident looking competitive after he had to wait for a run turning for home.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Happydearhappydeer silk

Confirmed his rise in form with a two-length win over Superb Guy at this track last start, having been sent out an odds-on favourite and working home evenly from midfield. That followed a narrow second to Double Bingo when he finished off strongly after being slow away. His track-and-distance record is a clear asset and Britney Wong has clicked with him. Proven at the trip, suited by the rider claim and clearly the one to beat.

1st Pick
5

Happydearhappydeer

Jockey: Britney Wong

Trainer: A S Cruz

J: Britney Wong

T: A S Cruz

118---20%4/1

Analysis

Confirmed his rise in form with a two-length win over Superb Guy at this track last start, having been sent out an odds-on favourite and working home evenly from midfield. That followed a narrow second to Double Bingo when he finished off strongly after being slow away. His track-and-distance record is a clear asset and Britney Wong has clicked with him. Proven at the trip, suited by the rider claim and clearly the one to beat.

4
Hailtothevictors silk

Worked home fairly when fifth behind Happydearhappydeer at this track last start, beaten just over three lengths after starting among the outsiders. His previous sixth behind Double Bingo was only plain, but the stronger appeal is his proven All-Weather profile, including one win and one placing from six runs at this track and distance. Profiles as one of the strongest dangers.

2nd Pick
4

Hailtothevictors

Jockey: Jerry Chau

Trainer: David Eustace

J: Jerry Chau

T: David Eustace

116---12%8/1

Analysis

Worked home fairly when fifth behind Happydearhappydeer at this track last start, beaten just over three lengths after starting among the outsiders. His previous sixth behind Double Bingo was only plain, but the stronger appeal is his proven All-Weather profile, including one win and one placing from six runs at this track and distance. Profiles as one of the strongest dangers.

1
Glorious St Paul's silk

Went close in Class 4 company at this track last start, closing the gap late when second to Yoda's Choice and beaten just under a length at long odds. That was a clear turnaround from his ninth at Happy Valley, where he was beaten ten lengths. He drops to Class 5, is third-up and gets first-time blinkers, though 1 m remains a small query on his record. First-time blinkers add interest, provided the drop back to 1 m is no issue.

3rd Pick
1

Glorious St Paul's

Jockey: Matthew Poon

Trainer: F C Lor

J: Matthew Poon

T: F C Lor

86---12%8/1

Analysis

Went close in Class 4 company at this track last start, closing the gap late when second to Yoda's Choice and beaten just under a length at long odds. That was a clear turnaround from his ninth at Happy Valley, where he was beaten ten lengths. He drops to Class 5, is third-up and gets first-time blinkers, though 1 m remains a small query on his record. First-time blinkers add interest, provided the drop back to 1 m is no issue.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.