Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

112.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

CIRCUIT FIERY (1) just missed in his two runs back this season, going under in a photo finish last start as a $3 chance. He's turned in a sound trial since his last run 36 days ago and Purton remains in the saddle. Everything points to a forward showing. DOUBLE SHOW (11) was far too good over this course and distance last start when running away to win by 1.8L. Rises in weight today, but he was very impressive last time out and the form out of that race has been sound. Can repeat the dose without surprising. THE CONCENTRATION (12) was 2.5L off Double Show last start over this track and trip but does meet that horse better at the weights this time around. Has to be included off a solid performance most recently. MY FLYING ANGEL (7) has been back to the trials since his last run where he disappointed. Will get back from the draw but can storm home over the top.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Freshened for 36 days. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at this track on September 14 over 7f, 0.5 len behind My Flying Angel carrying 133lbs at $2.30. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at this track on October 4 over 7f, nose behind Decrelot with 134lbs at $3. Racing well and looks perfectly placed to take this out. 1st Pick 1 Circuit Fiery Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: W Y So J: Zac Purton T: W Y So	162	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Freshened for 36 days. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at this track on September 14 over 7f, 0.5 len behind My Flying Angel carrying 133lbs at $2.30. Second run from a spell raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at this track on October 4 over 7f, nose behind Decrelot with 134lbs at $3. Racing well and looks perfectly placed to take this out.
11	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 12th of 14 at this track on October 1 over 6f, 6 len behind Ragnarr with 122lbs at $7.70. Second-up came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track October 19 over 7f defeating Lucky Blessing with 119lbs at $13. Racing well. Capable enough on his day and is expected to run well. 2nd Pick 11 Double Show Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: B Crawford J: Karis Teetan T: B Crawford	130	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 12th of 14 at this track on October 1 over 6f, 6 len behind Ragnarr with 122lbs at $7.70. Second-up came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track October 19 over 7f defeating Lucky Blessing with 119lbs at $13. Racing well. Capable enough on his day and is expected to run well.
12	Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on October 19 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Double Show carrying 123lbs at $14. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on October 1 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Ragnarr with 126lbs at $55. Expected in the finish. 3rd Pick 12 The Concentration Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: P F Yiu J: Jerry Chau T: P F Yiu	85	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on October 19 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Double Show carrying 123lbs at $14. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on October 1 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Ragnarr with 126lbs at $55. Expected in the finish.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.