Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

GROUPER (4) was impressive on debut on a deteriorating surface, sitting on the speed and missing by 0.5L as a $13 chance. James McDonald rides now in a big push for his chances and he draws a better gate. Expected to have come on from the debut effort and can go one better. RIDING HIGH (12) is racing in good order, holding his own in C4 since his last win here on New Years Day in easier company. He'll carry no weight after the claim of Nichola Yuen and he has enough speed to get across from the draw. Appears the main danger. CONRAD PATCH (1) will need some luck from the barrier, but he should appreciate getting back on top of the ground can see him turn in an improved effort. Still has upside and can raise the bar. PRESTIGE HALL (9) gets Ethan Brown on board now and can flash home from back in the pack.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	At debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at this track on May 9 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Real Gentleman carrying 126lbs at $13. Sure to play a major role. 1st Pick 4 Grouper Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Danny Shum J: James Mcdonald T: Danny Shum	176	-	-	-	39%	8/5
Analysis At debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at this track on May 9 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Real Gentleman carrying 126lbs at $13. Sure to play a major role.
12	Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at this track on May 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Incredible Moment carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at this track on April 6 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Thousand Spirit with 119lbs at $10. Genuine type who is sure to run well. 2nd Pick 12 Riding High Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: D Whyte J: Nichola Yuen T: D Whyte	114	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at this track on May 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Incredible Moment carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at this track on April 6 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Thousand Spirit with 119lbs at $10. Genuine type who is sure to run well.
1	At the latest run 6th of 12 at this track on May 9 over 6f, 2 len behind Real Gentleman carrying 128lbs at $7.60. Before that 5th of 12 at this track on April 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Flashing Fighter with 134lbs at $4.50. Not far away last time. Worth consideration. 3rd Pick 1 Conrad Patch Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: W K Mo J: Craig Williams T: W K Mo	147	-	-	-	5%	19/1
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 12 at this track on May 9 over 6f, 2 len behind Real Gentleman carrying 128lbs at $7.60. Before that 5th of 12 at this track on April 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Flashing Fighter with 134lbs at $4.50. Not far away last time. Worth consideration.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.