Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

111.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

FOREVER FANCY (1) looks ready to break through after an encouraging first-up third over 6f here 3 weeks ago after being held up at a vital stage in the run home, finishing on strongly late. A recent trial should have him forward enough, and from the pole position, he looks the one to beat. FORTUNE SUPERNOVA (3) did not have many favours fresh up after striking traffic in the straight. Zac Purton takes over and that is always a positive jockey change. He can bounce back sharply. DRACO (11) impressed when scoring by a length over this course and distance first-up and trainer Cody Mo has indicated there could be more improvement to come. Stick with him. SILVER UP (8) has been racing well despite repeatedly drawing awkwardly since joining the Brett Crawford yard. He has continued to slide down the ratings and looks very well placed in this. With the right run, he is capable of a top 3 finish at value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second-up. First-up after two months made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on September 6 over 6f, 3 len behind Good Fortune carrying 134lbs at $9.30. Previously second-up ran second last of 12 at Happy Valley on June 3 over 6f, 6 len behind Brownneedsfurther carrying 123lbs at $124. Top hope. 1st Pick 1 Forever Fancy Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: K W Lui J: Vincent Ho T: K W Lui	63	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track on September 6 over 6f, 3 len behind Good Fortune carrying 134lbs at $9.30. Previously second-up ran second last of 12 at Happy Valley on June 3 over 6f, 6 len behind Brownneedsfurther carrying 123lbs at $124. Top hope.
3	Second run back. First-up after two months eased back early on 9th of 12 at Happy Valley on September 9 over 6f, 4 len behind Team Happy carrying 132lbs at $25. Previously second-up 6th of 12 at this track on July 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Lucrative Eight carrying 119lbs at $35. Expect better with Zac Purton in the irons. 2nd Pick 3 Fortune Supernova Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David Hall J: Zac Purton T: David Hall	100	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months eased back early on 9th of 12 at Happy Valley on September 9 over 6f, 4 len behind Team Happy carrying 132lbs at $25. Previously second-up 6th of 12 at this track on July 4 over 6f, 4 len behind Lucrative Eight carrying 119lbs at $35. Expect better with Zac Purton in the irons.
11	Second-up. First-up after two months favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track on September 13 over 7f defeating Fortune Kingo carrying 120lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at this track on July 12 over 7f, 2 len behind Double Bingo carrying 123lbs at $4.10. Back in great shape and will be tough to beat. 3rd Pick 11 Draco Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: W K Mo J: Derek Leung T: W K Mo	118	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track on September 13 over 7f defeating Fortune Kingo carrying 120lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at this track on July 12 over 7f, 2 len behind Double Bingo carrying 123lbs at $4.10. Back in great shape and will be tough to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.