Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

PAPAYA BROSE (1) jumped a $2.70 favourite last time out on the soggy track off a 63-day break, finishing 4.3L off the winner. He's a lightly-raced gelding with plenty of upside, though he makes things hard for himself with his racing pattern. If he can break cleanly and sit closer, he can get back to winning ways. HAPPY BRETHREN (10) disappointed on the yielding track last start but was in good form prior. Back to 6f today is a big tick for him and he has enough speed to get across from the wide draw. Was trending the right way prior to last start and can put his best foot forward now. KA YING RADIANCE (12) will be better for the fresh run were he was caught very wide and never featured. Purton sticks with him though and his recent trial was very good. Can bounce back to his best with more luck this time around. VIEW ALL THINGS (13) can return to his best form after a disappointing effort last time out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. First-up after two months 4th of 12 at this track on May 17 over 6f, 4 len behind Little Monster carrying 134lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 3rd of 14 at this track on March 15 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Endeared carrying 134lbs at $2.70. Rates highly and expected to improve sharply. 1st Pick 1 Papaya Brose Jockey: Joao Moreira Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Joao Moreira T: Caspar Fownes	145	-	-	-	39%	8/5
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months 4th of 12 at this track on May 17 over 6f, 4 len behind Little Monster carrying 134lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 3rd of 14 at this track on March 15 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Endeared carrying 134lbs at $2.70. Rates highly and expected to improve sharply.
10	At the latest run 12th of 14 at this track on May 3 over 7f, 13 len behind Flying Knight with 130lbs at $19. The race before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on April 8 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Sky Cap with 127lbs at $6.30. Right in the mix. 2nd Pick 10 Happy Brethren Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: K W Lui J: Vincent Ho T: K W Lui	66	-	-	-	6%	17/1
Analysis At the latest run 12th of 14 at this track on May 3 over 7f, 13 len behind Flying Knight with 130lbs at $19. The race before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on April 8 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Sky Cap with 127lbs at $6.30. Right in the mix.
12	Second run back. First-up after 10 months 9th of 14 at this track on May 3 over 6f, 8 len behind Incredible Moment carrying 123lbs at $7.60. Previously second-up second last of 14 at this track on July 1 over 7f, 9 len behind Meaningful Dragon carrying 125lbs at $5.70. Rates highly and expected to improve sharply. 3rd Pick 12 Ka Ying Radiance Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David A Hayes J: Zac Purton T: David A Hayes	94	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 10 months 9th of 14 at this track on May 3 over 6f, 8 len behind Incredible Moment carrying 123lbs at $7.60. Previously second-up second last of 14 at this track on July 1 over 7f, 9 len behind Meaningful Dragon carrying 125lbs at $5.70. Rates highly and expected to improve sharply.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

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A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

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