Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 11

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

263.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

INVINCIBLE IBIS (5) continued his rise through the ranks with an impressive 1L victory over the 7f journey last time out when jumping a $1.50 chance. He's had an easy trial since and now steps out to the mile which looks ideal. Purton remains in the saddle and if he can raise the bar again, the hat-trick is imminent. DAZZLING FIT (4) got the job done in a photo finish over this track and trip 20 days ago. McDonald remains in the saddle today and he's drawn slightly better. Likely to end up in the second half of the field, but he can repeat the dose. FORTUNE BOY (8) has won a trial since an eye-catching effort at this track and trip 35 days ago. He finally draws a good barrier today and may be able to sit a touch closer under Teetan. Racing well and can take luck out of the equation today. TIN FOOK (10) is building into the campaign nicely and steps out to this trip for the first time. Winkers go on and he's not to be discounted.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track November 23 over 7f defeating Eighty Light Years with 121lbs at $1.50. Before that favourite, won by 2 len at this track October 1 over 7f defeating Strange Alert carrying 132lbs at $2.80. Rates highly here and can go on with it. 1st Pick 5 Invincible Ibis Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Zac Purton T: Mark Newnham	130	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track November 23 over 7f defeating Eighty Light Years with 121lbs at $1.50. Before that favourite, won by 2 len at this track October 1 over 7f defeating Strange Alert carrying 132lbs at $2.80. Rates highly here and can go on with it.
4	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 13 at this track on October 26 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Top Dragon with 126lbs at $2.50. Second-up ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track November 30 over 1m defeating Beauty Bolt with 123lbs at $4.40. Racing well. Key runner in this line-up. 2nd Pick 4 Dazzling Fit Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: David Eustace J: James Mcdonald T: David Eustace	147	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 6th of 13 at this track on October 26 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Top Dragon with 126lbs at $2.50. Second-up ran on from midfield and won by a nose at this track November 30 over 1m defeating Beauty Bolt with 123lbs at $4.40. Racing well. Key runner in this line-up.
8	Racing well recently. Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 14 at this track on November 15 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Beauty Bolt with 123lbs at $10. The race before that won by a neck at this track October 19 over 1m defeating Pope Cody with 116lbs at $12. Hard to beat if he brings his A-game. 3rd Pick 8 Fortune Boy Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: David A Hayes J: Karis Teetan T: David A Hayes	99	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 14 at this track on November 15 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Beauty Bolt with 123lbs at $10. The race before that won by a neck at this track October 19 over 1m defeating Pope Cody with 116lbs at $12. Hard to beat if he brings his A-game.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.