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10:20 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 11

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
237.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HAPPY BOSS (8) got back to winning ways last time out as a $14 chance when carrying the top weight in an easier race last time out. He's shown plenty of talent early in his career and he's trialled nicely since his latest effort. Maps beautifully from a good draw today and can bring up back-to-back wins. AEROVOLANIC (2) couldn't bring up the hat-trick last start as the race favourite when beaten by a good one here 28 days ago. The winner of that race has since won again and Purton sticks with Aerovolanic today. Will need some luck from the draw, but he's good enough to return to winning ways here. EVERYONE'S STAR (1) just missed over this course and distance when behind a subsequent winner, beating Aerovolanic on that occasion. Moreira remains in the saddle and he makes plenty of appeal in this suitable race. ALL'S WELL (7) can't be discounted after a narrow defeat here last time out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Happy Boss silk

Recent form sound. Returns from a 35-day let-up. At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at this track April 12 over 7f defeating Top Time carrying 134lbs at $7. The run before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 14 at this track on March 15 over 7f, nose behind Devas Twelve with 133lbs at $3.50. Rates highly and is sure to run well.

1st Pick
8

Happy Boss

Jockey: Luke Ferraris

Trainer: David Eustace

J: Luke Ferraris

T: David Eustace

107---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Returns from a 35-day let-up. At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at this track April 12 over 7f defeating Top Time carrying 134lbs at $7. The run before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 14 at this track on March 15 over 7f, nose behind Devas Twelve with 133lbs at $3.50. Rates highly and is sure to run well.

2
Aerovolanic silk

Last start 6th of 12 at this track on April 19 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Sky Jewellery carrying 129lbs at $2.40. The race before that favourite, won by 2 len at this track March 22 over 7f defeating Super Express carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Among the top chances.

2nd Pick
2

Aerovolanic

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: Pierre Ng

J: Zac Purton

T: Pierre Ng

132---10%9/1

Analysis

Last start 6th of 12 at this track on April 19 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Sky Jewellery carrying 129lbs at $2.40. The race before that favourite, won by 2 len at this track March 22 over 7f defeating Super Express carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Among the top chances.

1
Everyone's Star silk

Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on April 19 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Sky Jewellery with 130lbs at $4.90. The race before that 7th of 14 at this track on March 8 over 7f, 4 len behind Winning Ovation carrying 132lbs at $12. Rates highly and expected to run well again.

3rd Pick
1

Everyone's Star

Jockey: Joao Moreira

Trainer: F C Lor

J: Joao Moreira

T: F C Lor

128---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on April 19 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Sky Jewellery with 130lbs at $4.90. The race before that 7th of 14 at this track on March 8 over 7f, 4 len behind Winning Ovation carrying 132lbs at $12. Rates highly and expected to run well again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.