Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 11

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

262.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

Nothing went right for DAZZLING FIT (4) last time out but he did close off well from the back as the race favourite. Out to 1 ?m for the first time today looks a good move however and Purton hops in the irons. Can sit closer with a cleaner getaway this time and he can bounce back to winning ways. SMART AVENUE (9) has been impressive his past few and drops in weight today despite finishing 0.3L off the winner last time out. Likely to get back from the gate but that is his natural racing pattern. Watch for him coming home with a wet sail. STUNNING PEACH (1) flew home to just miss last time out at this track and trip and Bowman remains in the saddle. Can go one better with an opportunity to sit closer. FORTUNE BOY (8) missed in a blanket go last time out and back out in trip should suit better.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Last start 6th of 14 at this track on January 25 over 1m, 2 len behind Flying Luck carrying 133lbs at $2.70. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on December 20 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Invincible Ibis carrying 131lbs at $2.30. Rates highly and can improve sharply. 1st Pick 4 Dazzling Fit Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David Eustace J: Zac Purton T: David Eustace	138	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start 6th of 14 at this track on January 25 over 1m, 2 len behind Flying Luck carrying 133lbs at $2.70. The race before that 5th of 14 at this track on December 20 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Invincible Ibis carrying 131lbs at $2.30. Rates highly and can improve sharply.
9	Racing well recently. Returns from a 35-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 14 at this track on January 4 over 1m, neck behind Lovero with 122lbs at $6.70. The start before that won by a nose at this track December 14 over 7f defeating Everyone's Star carrying 115lbs at $14. Will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 9 Smart Avenue Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: C H Yip J: Karis Teetan T: C H Yip	79	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Returns from a 35-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 14 at this track on January 4 over 1m, neck behind Lovero with 122lbs at $6.70. The start before that won by a nose at this track December 14 over 7f defeating Everyone's Star carrying 115lbs at $14. Will take plenty of beating.
1	Last start settled towards the rear 2nd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, neck behind Money Catcher with 133lbs at $10. The race before that struggled in the run home, 11th of 14 at this track on November 23 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Winning Wing with 134lbs at $5.30. Shapes as a key runner. 3rd Pick 1 Stunning Peach Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: A S Cruz J: Hugh Bowman T: A S Cruz	132	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start settled towards the rear 2nd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, neck behind Money Catcher with 133lbs at $10. The race before that struggled in the run home, 11th of 14 at this track on November 23 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Winning Wing with 134lbs at $5.30. Shapes as a key runner.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.