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4:30 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.9f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
111.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STAR BROSE (2) gets the nod after going under by just under a length as favourite at this track, when held up early in the straight before closing strongly to be nearest on the line. Purton goes on, and he looks well placed under this scenario. KINGLY DEMEANOR (5) has been close at both runs this campaign, following a Happy Valley second to Golden Fortune with a half-length fourth at this venue, and his two wins at this track and distance make him a genuine danger. GOLDEN FORTUNE (3) has already beaten Kingly Demeanor and Ocean Impact at Happy Valley and was only beaten just under two lengths last start, with one win and one place from four starts at the distance. OCEAN IMPACT (9) returns from a five-week let-up after making ground for fifth at Happy Valley, and his third-up profile gives him enough scope to improve into the winning mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Star Brose silk

Closed off strongly after lacking clear running early in the straight when fifth at this track last start, beaten just under a length as favourite. His Class 4 run prior was sound enough when seventh, and Zac Purton taking the ride is a clear positive. Purton goes on and his recent form gives him the strongest winning case.

1st Pick
2

Star Brose

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Zac Purton

T: David A Hayes

142---17%5/1

Analysis

Closed off strongly after lacking clear running early in the straight when fifth at this track last start, beaten just under a length as favourite. His Class 4 run prior was sound enough when seventh, and Zac Purton taking the ride is a clear positive. Purton goes on and his recent form gives him the strongest winning case.

5
Kingly Demeanor silk

Has returned in good order, running second to Golden Fortune at Happy Valley before a close fourth at this track, beaten only half a length. He is a proven track-and-distance winner with two wins from nine attempts here over 1m, and the 7lbs claim is useful. Proven at this track and trip, with a 7lbs claim adding to the case.

2nd Pick
5

Kingly Demeanor

Jockey: Nichola Yuen

Trainer: A S Cruz

J: Nichola Yuen

T: A S Cruz

112---25%3/1

Analysis

Has returned in good order, running second to Golden Fortune at Happy Valley before a close fourth at this track, beaten only half a length. He is a proven track-and-distance winner with two wins from nine attempts here over 1m, and the 7lbs claim is useful. Proven at this track and trip, with a 7lbs claim adding to the case.

3
Golden Fortune silk

Won strongly at Happy Valley two back, beating Kingly Demeanor by a length and a half when near the top of betting, then was far from disgraced when seventh at this track, beaten just under two lengths. He is proven at the trip with one win and one place from four attempts, and the winning rider returns. Last-start seventh was still close enough.

3rd Pick
3

Golden Fortune

Jockey: Brenton Avdulla

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Brenton Avdulla

T: Manfred Man

105---9%11/1

Analysis

Won strongly at Happy Valley two back, beating Kingly Demeanor by a length and a half when near the top of betting, then was far from disgraced when seventh at this track, beaten just under two lengths. He is proven at the trip with one win and one place from four attempts, and the winning rider returns. Last-start seventh was still close enough.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.