Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

112.4K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

DRACO (8) finished third at Happy Valley two runs back, and then had plenty of excuses last time over 1 m at Happy Valley, finishing 4 lengths back in eighth. Well placed this time, and there is no reason he cannot find winning ways. Follow your money. GANGNAM STAR (10) doesn't win very often but ran a strong race last time out over 1m at this track, finishing third and beaten a neck. He has trialed up strongly since that run and finds a suitable race here. Goes close. JOLLY JUMPER (2) can bounce back at any time in this grade. This is his third run since returning to Class 5, and he has had no luck lately. His lead-in trial was full of merit and, in a contest lacking early speed on paper, he has the scope to take them all the way. HARRY'S HERO (13) has been out of the winner's list for a long time, last start finishing fifth at Happy Valley over 1 m. Each way claims in this even race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Comes here off a 36-day let-up. Most recently 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 26 over 1 m, 4 len behind Yiu Cheung Victory carrying 127lbs at $2.40. The run before that 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on November 12 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind Lucky Blessing with 127lbs at $3.30. Great chance to atone. 1st Pick 8 Draco Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: B Crawford J: Luke Ferraris T: B Crawford	133	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Comes here off a 36-day let-up. Most recently 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 26 over 1 m, 4 len behind Yiu Cheung Victory carrying 127lbs at $2.40. The run before that 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on November 12 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind Lucky Blessing with 127lbs at $3.30. Great chance to atone.
10	Comes off a 53 day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at this track on November 9 over 1m, neck behind Mr Good Vibes with 117lbs at $11. The run before that 7th of 14 at this track on October 4 over 7f, 3 len behind Decrelot carrying 119lbs at $33. Will be charging home late. 2nd Pick 10 Gangnam Star Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Karis Teetan T: Pierre Ng	59	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Comes off a 53 day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at this track on November 9 over 1m, neck behind Mr Good Vibes with 117lbs at $11. The run before that 7th of 14 at this track on October 4 over 7f, 3 len behind Decrelot carrying 119lbs at $33. Will be charging home late.
2	Comes off a 32 day let-up. Last start second last of 14 at this track on November 30 over 7f, 9 len behind Young Horizon carrying 128lbs at $49. Before that raced on the pace before fading 11th of 14 at this track on November 15 over 1m, 7 len behind On The Lash with 128lbs at $30. A form reversal is expected. 3rd Pick 2 Jolly Jumper Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: W K Mo J: Brenton Avdulla T: W K Mo	81	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Comes off a 32 day let-up. Last start second last of 14 at this track on November 30 over 7f, 9 len behind Young Horizon carrying 128lbs at $49. Before that raced on the pace before fading 11th of 14 at this track on November 15 over 1m, 7 len behind On The Lash with 128lbs at $30. A form reversal is expected.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.