Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

111.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

GOOD FORTUNE (5) is the one to beat after a decisive win first-up, beating So My Folks by just under 3L after finishing off very strongly. The rise in weight is worth noting, but his recent trial suggests he hasn't gone backwards. Can repeat the dose. SUNNY Q (1) is the main danger, having run second two back before starting favourite behind Good Fortune last start. He got a long way back there and can settle much closer this time around. Can turn the tables. NOBLE FANS (6) won over this track and trip two starts ago and was only 2.5L away when first-up at Happy Valley. Back to the scene of the crime here and he can return to winning form. YEE CHEONG RAIDER (12) remains winless but has placed often enough to be respected, and his fifth behind Good Fortune last start was solid enough to give him a genuine chance at the weights.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second-up. First-up after two months ran on from midfield and won by 2.75 len at this track on September 6 over 6f defeating So My Folks carrying 112lbs at $5.70. Previously second-up 7th of 14 at this track on September 14 2025 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Jubilant Winner carrying 131lbs at $10. Returned with a bang and his recent trial suggests he can keep the ball rolling. 1st Pick 5 Good Fortune Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Nichola Yuen T: Pierre Ng	163	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months ran on from midfield and won by 2.75 len at this track on September 6 over 6f defeating So My Folks carrying 112lbs at $5.70. Previously second-up 7th of 14 at this track on September 14 2025 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Jubilant Winner carrying 131lbs at $10. Returned with a bang and his recent trial suggests he can keep the ball rolling.
1	Second-up. First-up after two months 6th of 14 at this track on September 6 over 6f, 5 len behind Good Fortune with 134lbs at $2.30. Previously second-up favourite, won by a nose at this track on October 1 over 6f defeating Do Your Part carrying 118lbs at $8.80. Rates highly and should improve sharply with a better draw this time. 2nd Pick 1 Sunny Q Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: W Y So J: Andrea Atzeni T: W Y So	98	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 6th of 14 at this track on September 6 over 6f, 5 len behind Good Fortune with 134lbs at $2.30. Previously second-up favourite, won by a nose at this track on October 1 over 6f defeating Do Your Part carrying 118lbs at $8.80. Rates highly and should improve sharply with a better draw this time.
6	Second-up. First-up after two months 7th of 12 at Happy Valley on September 9 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Team Happy carrying 130lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran second last of 12 at this track on February 14 over 6f, 6 len behind Gor Gor with 120lbs at $19. Nice trial coming in and he can improve quickly with Purton on board. 3rd Pick 6 Noble Fans Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: John Size J: Zac Purton T: John Size	112	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 7th of 12 at Happy Valley on September 9 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Team Happy carrying 130lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran second last of 12 at this track on February 14 over 6f, 6 len behind Gor Gor with 120lbs at $19. Nice trial coming in and he can improve quickly with Purton on board.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.