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8:00 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.9f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD FIRM
111.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BEAUTY MISSILE (1) has jumped favourite in his past couple, missing by 5L when racing over the mile last time out in a disappointing performance. He's been back to the trials since and the rise back to 1 ?m is a big tick for his chance. Has the speed to roll across and will take beating. GOLDEN FORTUNE (4) is knocking on the door of a maiden win, missing by 1.3L at Happy Valley last time when racing over the 1 ?m journey. Bowman sticks with him today as he comes back to Sha Tin and this looks a suitable race on his recent figures. Can play a leading role. SMILING EMPEROR (10) missed by 2.8L at Happy Valley last time out over 1 m and steps out in distance again today. His record at this track is a query, but he's only had one run at this track and trip. Won't be far away. DRAGON SUNRISE (11) is racing well without winning and finds a suitable race today.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Beauty Missile silk

Gelding back from a spell of three months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation tenth of 14 at this track April 12 over 1m, 5 len behind Bling Bling Genius with 134lbs at $3.80. When resuming last campaign ninth of 14 at this track October 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Strathpeffer carrying 117lbs at $5.70. Should give a great sight.

1st Pick
1

Beauty Missile

Jockey: Alex Badel

Trainer: B Crawford

J: Alex Badel

T: B Crawford

65---6%16/1

Analysis

Gelding back from a spell of three months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation tenth of 14 at this track April 12 over 1m, 5 len behind Bling Bling Genius with 134lbs at $3.80. When resuming last campaign ninth of 14 at this track October 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Strathpeffer carrying 117lbs at $5.70. Should give a great sight.

4
Golden Fortune silk

Form hard to fault. Last start led but faded 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on June 24 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Rosewood Fleetfoot with 129lbs at $22. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on June 7 over 1m, 2 len behind Firefoot with 123lbs at $58. Going well and should be prominent again.

2nd Pick
4

Golden Fortune

Jockey: Hugh Bowman

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Hugh Bowman

T: Manfred Man

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start led but faded 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on June 24 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Rosewood Fleetfoot with 129lbs at $22. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on June 7 over 1m, 2 len behind Firefoot with 123lbs at $58. Going well and should be prominent again.

10
Smiling Emperor silk

At the latest run 4th of 12 at Happy Valley on June 24 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind All Are Mine carrying 122lbs at $8.50. The start before that 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on June 10 over 1m, 4 len behind Kyrus Treasure carrying 122lbs at $26. Tough to beat if near his best.

3rd Pick
10

Smiling Emperor

Jockey: M Yeung

Trainer: K H Ting

J: M Yeung

T: K H Ting

72---9%11/1

Analysis

At the latest run 4th of 12 at Happy Valley on June 24 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind All Are Mine carrying 122lbs at $8.50. The start before that 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on June 10 over 1m, 4 len behind Kyrus Treasure carrying 122lbs at $26. Tough to beat if near his best.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.