Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Synthetic

WET FAST

111.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

ORIENTAL SURPRISE (12) is the one to beat after going within a neck at Happy Valley as favourite. His trial leading into the campaign on this surface was superb and he's placed in his only try at this track and trip. Building nicely and he can go one better this time around. DOUBLE BINGO (1) has not landed a blow in two runs back, but he is third-up and on a quick back-up that suits. A much better barrier this time around is a big tick and he can sit much closer this time. Looks well placed back in grade to turn his form around. HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER (14) resumes after honest closing efforts last campaign and gets in light with an apprentice claim, with synthetic placings to support his case. SOARING BRONCO (4) can feature on his best form and he can recapture that now third-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Went within a neck of breaking through at Happy Valley last start, finishing second as favourite after closing off strongly. That followed a third when near the top of an open market, so the current form is clearly the most reliable in this field. Purton stays on, the trip suits, and his consistency makes him the one to beat. 1st Pick 12 Oriental Surprise Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David A Hayes J: Zac Purton T: David A Hayes	158	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Went within a neck of breaking through at Happy Valley last start, finishing second as favourite after closing off strongly. That followed a third when near the top of an open market, so the current form is clearly the most reliable in this field. Purton stays on, the trip suits, and his consistency makes him the one to beat.
1	Comes back quickly after finishing tenth over 7f at Sha Tin, beaten just under five lengths without a clear excuse. His first-up fifth behind Draco had more merit, showing some dash late and beaten only two lengths. Strong chance if he finds his late dash. 2nd Pick 1 Double Bingo Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: P F Yiu J: Nichola Yuen T: P F Yiu	131	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Comes back quickly after finishing tenth over 7f at Sha Tin, beaten just under five lengths without a clear excuse. His first-up fifth behind Draco had more merit, showing some dash late and beaten only two lengths. Strong chance if he finds his late dash.
14	Returns from a lengthy spell after a sequence of fifths that were more honest than the form line first suggests. Last seen beaten two lengths at Sha Tin, and the run before at this venue over 1m was sound enough when he worked home evenly. Maiden tag is a query, but he has strong claims. 3rd Pick 14 Happydearhappydeer Jockey: Britney Wong Trainer: A S Cruz J: Britney Wong T: A S Cruz	80	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after a sequence of fifths that were more honest than the form line first suggests. Last seen beaten two lengths at Sha Tin, and the run before at this venue over 1m was sound enough when he worked home evenly. Maiden tag is a query, but he has strong claims.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.