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4:30 AM

Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
111.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SUNNY Q (4) settled last at this track and trip at the end of last campaign, flying late to be 2L off the winner. Purton hops back on board and his recent trial was solid at Conghua. Can go one better on resumption. VERBIER (6) won well two back before failing as an odds-on pop before the break on a soggy deck. He has the speed to work across from out wide, with Wong sticking from the latest trial. Will take plenty of catching. RISING ELITE (5) comes back in grade today but was solid in his latest hitout when hitting the line nicely. Back to a C5 is a big tick for him and he can put his best foot forward. FOREVER FANCY (2) is another dropping in grade to begin this season and has to be included from an inside barrier and with Ho on board.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Sunny Q silk

Resumes. Finished off last preparation second of 14 at this track June 27 over 6f, 2 len behind Verbier carrying 134lbs at $5.70. Previously first up, sixth of 14 at this track September 14 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Same To You with 122lbs at $6.40. Can resume on a winning note.

1st Pick
4

Sunny Q

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: W Y So

J: Zac Purton

T: W Y So

98---39%8/5

Analysis

Resumes. Finished off last preparation second of 14 at this track June 27 over 6f, 2 len behind Verbier carrying 134lbs at $5.70. Previously first up, sixth of 14 at this track September 14 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Same To You with 122lbs at $6.40. Can resume on a winning note.

6
Verbier silk

Resuming after nine weeks in the paddock. Finished off last preparation third of 12 at this track July 4 over 6f, a neck behind Noble Fans carrying 132lbs at $1.80. First up last campaign second last of 14 at this track September 14 over 7f, 8 len behind Fight Time with 127lbs at $6.60. Ended last season in good order and can resume with a bang.

2nd Pick
6

Verbier

Jockey: E C W Wong

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: E C W Wong

T: Caspar Fownes

142---7%15/1

Analysis

Resuming after nine weeks in the paddock. Finished off last preparation third of 12 at this track July 4 over 6f, a neck behind Noble Fans carrying 132lbs at $1.80. First up last campaign second last of 14 at this track September 14 over 7f, 8 len behind Fight Time with 127lbs at $6.60. Ended last season in good order and can resume with a bang.

5
Rising Elite silk

Comes off a 56 day let-up. Last start 5th of 14 at this track on July 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Prestige Always carrying 116lbs at $18. The race before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on June 10 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Holmes A Court carrying 117lbs at $9.30. Won't be far away.

3rd Pick
5

Rising Elite

Jockey: Karis Teetan

Trainer: W K Mo

J: Karis Teetan

T: W K Mo

74---10%9/1

Analysis

Comes off a 56 day let-up. Last start 5th of 14 at this track on July 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Prestige Always carrying 116lbs at $18. The race before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on June 10 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Holmes A Court carrying 117lbs at $9.30. Won't be far away.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.