Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Synthetic

GOOD

112.2K

VIEW

Verdict

ONLY U (6) jumped a $2.90 chance over the 7f at Sha Tin last start and didn't have much luck at all, beaten 3.8L, though he should've finished much closer. Form out of that race has been solid and his ratings prior stack right up. Back to 6f now is the query, but he's ready to fire. NOBLE DELUXE (10) went close over 5f two back before a disappointing performance over 6f on the Turf course here most recently. He gets the pacifiers on today and Atzeni sticks from his latest trial on this surface. Can bounce back to form. EXCEED THE WISH (1) gets onto the All Weather for the first time today. He was beaten 2.3L over this trip at Happy Valley last start but drops back into C5 today. Drawn awkward, but it wouldn't surprise to see a bit turnaround in form. MACANESE MASTER (11) has won a trial here since scoring narrowly at Happy Valley last start. Can go on with the job.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Comes here off a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 14 at Sha Tin on December 20 over 7f, 4 len behind Manythanks Forever with 133lbs at $2.90. The race before that 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on November 9 over 1m, 2 len behind Mr Good Vibes carrying 134lbs at $6.90. Finds a suitable race and is expected to measure up. 1st Pick 6 Only U Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: B Crawford J: Karis Teetan T: B Crawford	101	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Comes here off a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 14 at Sha Tin on December 20 over 7f, 4 len behind Manythanks Forever with 133lbs at $2.90. The race before that 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on November 9 over 1m, 2 len behind Mr Good Vibes carrying 134lbs at $6.90. Finds a suitable race and is expected to measure up.
10	Most recently sat on the speed throughout before fading 10th of 14 at Sha Tin on January 1 over 6f, 5 len behind Riding High with 123lbs at $7.10. The run before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Macanese Master carrying 127lbs at $9.70. Capable of sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 10 Noble Deluxe Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: John Size J: Andrea Atzeni T: John Size	118	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed throughout before fading 10th of 14 at Sha Tin on January 1 over 6f, 5 len behind Riding High with 123lbs at $7.10. The run before that 5th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Macanese Master carrying 127lbs at $9.70. Capable of sharp improvement.
1	Returns from a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Amazing Kid with 118lbs at $15. The race before that 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 19 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Lakeshore Hero carrying 119lbs at $7.30. Has ability and is expected to run well again. 3rd Pick 1 Exceed The Wish Jockey: Lyle Hewitson Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Lyle Hewitson T: Mark Newnham	112	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Returns from a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 17 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Amazing Kid with 118lbs at $15. The race before that 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 19 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Lakeshore Hero carrying 119lbs at $7.30. Has ability and is expected to run well again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.