Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

111.6K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

AUTUMN VIBES (1) turned in a better performance last start after jumping favourite first-up at this track and trip. Still looking for his maiden victory, but he's third-up now and building nicely for the new stable. Can get over the top of them late in the race. ALWAYS FLUKE (3) was sound on the wet deck at this track and trip a fortnight ago. It's been a while between drinks, but he's knocking on the door and rates highly on his last start. Can go one better. HEROIC MASTER (2) was only 2l off the winner last start who has since run well again at Happy Valley. Back to Sha Tin today where he's placed 5/8 and the inside draw should see him get every chance. WINNING DIAMOND (9) can't be left out of calculations with Bowman on board from a good draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today. Resuming 8th of 14 at this track on May 3 over 6f, 4 len behind Triumphant Warrior with 134lbs at $2.50. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on June 3 over 6f, nose behind Majestic Delight with 133lbs at $5.30. Sure to prove hard to hold out. 1st Pick 1 Autumn Vibes Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: B Crawford J: Karis Teetan T: B Crawford	108	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 8th of 14 at this track on May 3 over 6f, 4 len behind Triumphant Warrior with 134lbs at $2.50. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Happy Valley on June 3 over 6f, nose behind Majestic Delight with 133lbs at $5.30. Sure to prove hard to hold out.
3	Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track on June 13 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Country Dancer with 129lbs at $5.90. The race before that 6th of 12 at this track on May 17 over 6f, 5 len behind Enjoy Golf carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Leading prospect. 2nd Pick 3 Always Fluke Jockey: James Orman Trainer: W Y So J: James Orman T: W Y So	125	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track on June 13 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Country Dancer with 129lbs at $5.90. The race before that 6th of 12 at this track on May 17 over 6f, 5 len behind Enjoy Golf carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Leading prospect.
2	Most recently 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on June 3 over 6f, 2 len behind The Heir carrying 117lbs at $20. The race before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on May 20 over 5f, 1.75 len behind King Alloy carrying 134lbs at $7.50. Finds a suitable race and should play a big role. 3rd Pick 2 Heroic Master Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: Y S Tsui J: Alex Badel T: Y S Tsui	106	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Most recently 8th of 12 at Happy Valley on June 3 over 6f, 2 len behind The Heir carrying 117lbs at $20. The race before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Happy Valley on May 20 over 5f, 1.75 len behind King Alloy carrying 134lbs at $7.50. Finds a suitable race and should play a big role.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.