Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.6K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

AUDACIOUS PURSUIT (1) has flashed home from the back his past couple, missing by 1L when the race favourite over this course and distance last time out. The wide draw will see him back in the run again, but he'll be coming home with a wet sail. VOLCANIC SPARK (8) finished off strongly here last time out when behind a dominant winner. He's been back to the trials since where he was given an easy time of it and he rates well on his recent form. Wouldn't surprise to see him end his winning drought. SUPREME MASTERMIND (2) creates plenty of interest here as he drops back to Class 5 today with McDonald booked. Wouldn't surprise to see him turn his form right around in this easier race. AMAZING GAZE (3) is not to be discounted with Purton remaining in the saddle and a return to Sha Tin looking to suit much better.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on February 14 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Serangoon carrying 130lbs at $2.60. The run before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 2.5 len behind China Win with 134lbs at $4. Progressing well. Sure to go close. 1st Pick 1 Audacious Pursuit Jockey: E C W Wong Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: E C W Wong T: Caspar Fownes	129	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on February 14 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Serangoon carrying 130lbs at $2.60. The run before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 2.5 len behind China Win with 134lbs at $4. Progressing well. Sure to go close.
8	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 49 day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 3 len behind China Win carrying 123lbs at $4.70. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on January 1 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Yiu Cheung Victory carrying 121lbs at $8.10. Finds a suitable race and looks one of the key runners. 2nd Pick 8 Volcanic Spark Jockey: Richard Kingscote Trainer: P F Yiu J: Richard Kingscote T: P F Yiu	97	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 49 day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 14 at this track on January 11 over 1m, 3 len behind China Win carrying 123lbs at $4.70. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on January 1 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Yiu Cheung Victory carrying 121lbs at $8.10. Finds a suitable race and looks one of the key runners.
2	At the latest run 12th of 14 at this track on February 8 over 1m, 4 len behind Flow Water Flow carrying 115lbs at $72. The start before that 8th of 14 at this track on January 18 over 1m, 4 len behind Patch Of Cosmo carrying 119lbs at $21. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 3rd Pick 2 Supreme Mastermind Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: David A Hayes J: James Mcdonald T: David A Hayes	102	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis At the latest run 12th of 14 at this track on February 8 over 1m, 4 len behind Flow Water Flow carrying 115lbs at $72. The start before that 8th of 14 at this track on January 18 over 1m, 4 len behind Patch Of Cosmo carrying 119lbs at $21. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.