Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

111.6K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

STAR BROSE (2) gets the nod after going under by just under a length as favourite at this track, when held up early in the straight before closing strongly to be nearest on the line. Purton goes on, and he looks well placed under this scenario. KINGLY DEMEANOR (5) has been close at both runs this campaign, following a Happy Valley second to Golden Fortune with a half-length fourth at this venue, and his two wins at this track and distance make him a genuine danger. GOLDEN FORTUNE (3) has already beaten Kingly Demeanor and Ocean Impact at Happy Valley and was only beaten just under two lengths last start, with one win and one place from four starts at the distance. OCEAN IMPACT (9) returns from a five-week let-up after making ground for fifth at Happy Valley, and his third-up profile gives him enough scope to improve into the winning mix.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Closed off strongly after lacking clear running early in the straight when fifth at this track last start, beaten just under a length as favourite. His Class 4 run prior was sound enough when seventh, and Zac Purton taking the ride is a clear positive. Purton goes on and his recent form gives him the strongest winning case. 1st Pick 2 Star Brose Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David A Hayes J: Zac Purton T: David A Hayes	142	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Closed off strongly after lacking clear running early in the straight when fifth at this track last start, beaten just under a length as favourite. His Class 4 run prior was sound enough when seventh, and Zac Purton taking the ride is a clear positive. Purton goes on and his recent form gives him the strongest winning case.
5	Has returned in good order, running second to Golden Fortune at Happy Valley before a close fourth at this track, beaten only half a length. He is a proven track-and-distance winner with two wins from nine attempts here over 1m, and the 7lbs claim is useful. Proven at this track and trip, with a 7lbs claim adding to the case. 2nd Pick 5 Kingly Demeanor Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: A S Cruz J: Nichola Yuen T: A S Cruz	112	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Has returned in good order, running second to Golden Fortune at Happy Valley before a close fourth at this track, beaten only half a length. He is a proven track-and-distance winner with two wins from nine attempts here over 1m, and the 7lbs claim is useful. Proven at this track and trip, with a 7lbs claim adding to the case.
3	Won strongly at Happy Valley two back, beating Kingly Demeanor by a length and a half when near the top of betting, then was far from disgraced when seventh at this track, beaten just under two lengths. He is proven at the trip with one win and one place from four attempts, and the winning rider returns. Last-start seventh was still close enough. 3rd Pick 3 Golden Fortune Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: Manfred Man J: Brenton Avdulla T: Manfred Man	105	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Won strongly at Happy Valley two back, beating Kingly Demeanor by a length and a half when near the top of betting, then was far from disgraced when seventh at this track, beaten just under two lengths. He is proven at the trip with one win and one place from four attempts, and the winning rider returns. Last-start seventh was still close enough.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.