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12:15 noon

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 9

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8.2f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
261.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TURIN CHAMPIONS (9) earns top billing after winning a C4 at this track last start, scoring by a head from Luck Is Back while carrying 132lbs. He rises in grade, but the weight relief is important and his record at this venue is already sound, with a win and a placing from two starts. PRESTIGE GOOD (2) is the main danger after resuming with a third at this track and distance, beaten just over a length at generous odds, and his one win and four placings from seven starts over this course and trip read strongly. MASTER LUCKY (11) has to rebound from an eighth at Sha Tin, but his previous fourth as favourite, beaten just under a length, gives him a genuine platform in this. DAZZLING FIT (1) was plain on paper when ninth last start, yet his previous second at this venue and a proven 1 m profile keep him firmly in contention.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Turin Champions silk

Won a Class 4 at this track last start, beating Luck Is Back by a head after travelling comfortably and responding when asked. He rises in grade, but drops sharply from 132lbs to 117lbs and is now third-up with race fitness on his side. Third-up and well placed to make the rise.

1st Pick
9

Turin Champions

Jockey: Harry Bentley

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Harry Bentley

T: David A Hayes

100---5%19/1

Analysis

Won a Class 4 at this track last start, beating Luck Is Back by a head after travelling comfortably and responding when asked. He rises in grade, but drops sharply from 132lbs to 117lbs and is now third-up with race fitness on his side. Third-up and well placed to make the rise.

2
Prestige Good silk

Resumed with a solid third at this track and distance, beaten just over a length by Audacious Pursuit at generous odds. He had earlier stuck on well over 1 ¼m at Sha Tin, so the fitness base is there, and his one win and four placings from seven starts at this course and trip are a major positive. The 7lbs claim keeps him right in the race.

2nd Pick
2

Prestige Good

Jockey: Nichola Yuen

Trainer: P F Yiu

J: Nichola Yuen

T: P F Yiu

128---17%5/1

Analysis

Resumed with a solid third at this track and distance, beaten just over a length by Audacious Pursuit at generous odds. He had earlier stuck on well over 1 ¼m at Sha Tin, so the fitness base is there, and his one win and four placings from seven starts at this course and trip are a major positive. The 7lbs claim keeps him right in the race.

11
Master Lucky silk

Led and faded when eighth at Sha Tin last start, beaten four and a half lengths, so there was no obvious excuse for that result. His previous fourth behind Aerovolanic was much better, beaten just under a length as favourite after over-racing. Capable of a sharp rebound.

3rd Pick
11

Master Lucky

Jockey: Alex Badel

Trainer: John Size

J: Alex Badel

T: John Size

99---10%10/1

Analysis

Led and faded when eighth at Sha Tin last start, beaten four and a half lengths, so there was no obvious excuse for that result. His previous fourth behind Aerovolanic was much better, beaten just under a length as favourite after over-racing. Capable of a sharp rebound.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

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Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.