Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

237.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

JUMBO BLESSING (8) is the one to beat after three wins in succession, the latest at this track when he scored by a length in C4 company while carrying 134lbs. He rises in grade, but drops a stack of weight and draws low. Still has plenty of upside and can bring up another win. PRESTIGE ALWAYS (6) resumes from a freshening after winning first-up at this track over 6f and looks the main danger. Back to 5f may be a query, but he has early speed and the claim of Wong comes in handy. GLOWING PRAISES (1) drops out of C2 after a solid third at this venue and has a strong record at the trip, so he must be respected despite the 134lbs impost. ETERNAL FORTUNE (7) worked home evenly for fourth at Sha Tin, beaten a length and a half, and his deep 5f record gives him a genuine place-to-win platform if he holds that form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Returns from a five-week freshening in outstanding form, having won his past three starts and both runs this campaign at this track. He beat Georgian Sigma by a length last start in Class 4 despite carrying 134lbs, and the drop to 122lbs is a major plus. Clear top pick. 1st Pick 8 Jumbo Blessing Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Vincent Ho T: Caspar Fownes	119	-	-	-	46%	6/5
Analysis Returns from a five-week freshening in outstanding form, having won his past three starts and both runs this campaign at this track. He beat Georgian Sigma by a length last start in Class 4 despite carrying 134lbs, and the drop to 122lbs is a major plus. Clear top pick.
6	Returns from a five-week freshening after winning first-up at this track over 6f, where he moved into it strongly and held Daryl Flash by half a length. He had also won a Class 4 at Sha Tin before that, beating Spirited Steed by a neck. New 5f trip is the query, but he is a live danger. 2nd Pick 6 Prestige Always Jockey: Britney Wong Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Britney Wong T: Pierre Ng	98	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week freshening after winning first-up at this track over 6f, where he moved into it strongly and held Daryl Flash by half a length. He had also won a Class 4 at Sha Tin before that, beating Spirited Steed by a neck. New 5f trip is the query, but he is a live danger.
1	Drops out of Class 2 company after a sound third at this track, where he took time to wind up before running on over the final ¾f and was beaten just under two lengths by Bottomuptogether. His sixth to Victor The Winner at Sha Tin prior was also solid enough, beaten two lengths at long odds. Strong 5f record and race fitness make him a major chance despite the weight. 3rd Pick 1 Glowing Praises Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: C W Chang J: Derek Leung T: C W Chang	98	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Drops out of Class 2 company after a sound third at this track, where he took time to wind up before running on over the final ¾f and was beaten just under two lengths by Bottomuptogether. His sixth to Victor The Winner at Sha Tin prior was also solid enough, beaten two lengths at long odds. Strong 5f record and race fitness make him a major chance despite the weight.

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