Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

239.3K

VIEW

Verdict

LOYAL BRIGHT (5) showed plenty of ability in Queensland prior to being sold to HK. He's acclimatised well, winning his last three trials, including the latest by 3L. The horse who finished second in his latest trial has since come out and won. Can pick up from where he left off in AUS. CHEAHA (1) got a long way back and rattled home over this track and trip to be 1.5L off the winner last time out. Purton now hops in the saddle and he's open to plenty of improvement. Likely to get back in the run again, but can finish off strongly. ALSONSO (10) wasn't beaten far last start down the Sha Tin straight and now gets the Blinkers on as he comes to The Valley. Draws ideally to be close to the speed and he rates highly on his recent efforts. MY DAY MY WAY (12) will be fitter for three trials coming into this and was placed first-up in a similar race when fresh last campaign. Can be in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of seven months. Finished off last preparation won by 1.5 len Toowoomba 3yo Bm62 April 17 over 6 ½f defeating Brooklyn Daisy with 128lbs at $1.30. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 5.5 len win. Toowoomba 3yo Hcp March 28 over 5 ½f on heavy track defeating Shows A Sign carrying 117lbs at $2.30. Can kick off with a win. 1st Pick 5 Loyal Bright Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: F C Lor J: Derek Leung T: F C Lor	47	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of seven months. Finished off last preparation won by 1.5 len Toowoomba 3yo Bm62 April 17 over 6 ½f defeating Brooklyn Daisy with 128lbs at $1.30. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 5.5 len win. Toowoomba 3yo Hcp March 28 over 5 ½f on heavy track defeating Shows A Sign carrying 117lbs at $2.30. Can kick off with a win.
1	Second-up. First-up after eight months 5th of 12 at this track on November 5 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Regal Gem carrying 129lbs at $53. Previously second-up 5th of 8 at Matamata on December 20 over 7f, 3 len behind First Five with 127lbs at $1.90. He has drawn poorly but is capable of testing this field. 2nd Pick 1 Cheaha Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: A S Cruz J: Zac Purton T: A S Cruz	121	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months 5th of 12 at this track on November 5 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Regal Gem carrying 129lbs at $53. Previously second-up 5th of 8 at Matamata on December 20 over 7f, 3 len behind First Five with 127lbs at $1.90. He has drawn poorly but is capable of testing this field.
10	Most recently 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on October 26 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Alpha Strike with 122lbs at $5.50. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Sha Tin on October 12 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Matters Most carrying 121lbs at $13. Thereabouts last start and looks a definite winning hope. 3rd Pick 10 Alsonso Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Alex Badel T: Mark Newnham	114	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on October 26 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Alpha Strike with 122lbs at $5.50. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Sha Tin on October 12 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Matters Most carrying 121lbs at $13. Thereabouts last start and looks a definite winning hope.

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