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1:45 PM

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 7

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5f
Restricted
Turf
YIELDING
237.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BUNTA BABY (3) flew home from the rear but just missed over this track and trip a fortnight ago, going under in a close photo finish. He rates highly on the back of that effort and Purton now takes the ride. Likely to be well back in the run again, but if he runs up to his last start effort, then he'll be hard to fend off. ROBOT LUCKY STAR (11) finished off from the rear of the field with a good run, ending up 1.3L off the winner in the same race as Bunta Baby. A better draw today can see him closer in the run for Chung and his effort here two back when favourite stacks up. Can make his presence felt. CANDLELIGHT DINNER (1) has won a trial since finishing 1L off the winner at this track and trip last time out. He's building toward another win and is racing in good order without winning. Sure to be in the finish once again. ETERNAL FORTUNE (2) is ticking along nicely at the trials and can feature first-up from an inside barrier.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Bunta Baby silk

Second run back. First-up after two months 3rd of 12 at this track on June 24 over 5f, nose behind Sky Cap with 125lbs at $9.60. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Sha Tin on October 12 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Oldtown with 117lbs at $20. Sure to run well.

1st Pick
3

Bunta Baby

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Zac Purton

T: Manfred Man

158---12%8/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after two months 3rd of 12 at this track on June 24 over 5f, nose behind Sky Cap with 125lbs at $9.60. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Sha Tin on October 12 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Oldtown with 117lbs at $20. Sure to run well.

11
Robot Lucky Star silk

Most recently 5th of 12 at this track on June 24 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Sky Cap carrying 116lbs at $5.40. The run before that 4th of 12 at this track on May 27 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Son Pak Fu with 117lbs at $2.90. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
11

Robot Lucky Star

Jockey: Angus Chung

Trainer: Mark Newnham

J: Angus Chung

T: Mark Newnham

117---29%5/2

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 12 at this track on June 24 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Sky Cap carrying 116lbs at $5.40. The run before that 4th of 12 at this track on May 27 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Son Pak Fu with 117lbs at $2.90. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.

1
Candlelight Dinner silk

Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on May 27 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Superb Capitalist carrying 133lbs at $5. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at this track on April 29 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Bottomuptogether with 115lbs at $7.20. Making headway. Major player.

3rd Pick
1

Candlelight Dinner

Jockey: Jerry Chau

Trainer: Y S Tsui

J: Jerry Chau

T: Y S Tsui

119---15%6/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on May 27 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Superb Capitalist carrying 133lbs at $5. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at this track on April 29 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Bottomuptogether with 115lbs at $7.20. Making headway. Major player.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.