Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

151.0K

VIEW

Verdict

JUMBO FORTUNE (11) is on the 7-day turnaround after a 2L defeat at this track and trip when running on from midfield. The inside draw can see him in a handy position and his best form stacks up highly in this. Right down in the weights now and can get back to winning ways. ICONICAL (6) got the job done impressively at his first try over this course and distance, running away to win by 1.5L after setting the tempo. He'll need some luck from out wide, but he's trialled nicely since that effort and he can bring up back-to-back wins. IVY LEAGUE (1) is better than he's shown his past couple but can put himself on the speed from gate 6 and make his own luck. Bowman hops in the saddle now and a return to his prior form would see him right in the finish. THESIS (4) disappointed last time out when well back throughout but is better than he showed there. Can bounce back.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track on April 30 over 1 m, 2 len behind The Azure with 121lbs at $9.80. The start before that from last on the turn 6th of 12 at this track on April 9 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Casa Rochester carrying 122lbs at $5.30. Has ability and is expected to run well. 1st Pick 11 Jumbo Fortune Jockey: A Hamelin Trainer: David Eustace J: A Hamelin T: David Eustace	128	-	-	-	50%
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track on April 30 over 1 m, 2 len behind The Azure with 121lbs at $9.80. The start before that from last on the turn 6th of 12 at this track on April 9 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Casa Rochester carrying 122lbs at $5.30. Has ability and is expected to run well.
6	At the latest run won by 1.5 len at this track April 16 over 1 m defeating Owners' Praise with 121lbs at $10. The race before that settled back and ran on when 8th of 14 at Sha Tin on March 23 over 7f, 4 len behind Super Express with 122lbs at $80. Heading the right way and should measure up again. 2nd Pick 6 Iconical Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Jamie Richards J: Zac Purton T: Jamie Richards	165	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run won by 1.5 len at this track April 16 over 1 m defeating Owners' Praise with 121lbs at $10. The race before that settled back and ran on when 8th of 14 at Sha Tin on March 23 over 7f, 4 len behind Super Express with 122lbs at $80. Heading the right way and should measure up again.
1	Last start 4th of 11 at this track on April 9 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Flying Fortress carrying 118lbs at $9.50. The race before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 9th of 11 at this track on April 2 over 1 m, 5.5 len behind Aestheticism with 119lbs at $10. He should be in this for a long way. 3rd Pick 1 Ivy League Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: D Whyte J: Hugh Bowman T: D Whyte	138	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Last start 4th of 11 at this track on April 9 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Flying Fortress carrying 118lbs at $9.50. The race before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 9th of 11 at this track on April 2 over 1 m, 5.5 len behind Aestheticism with 119lbs at $10. He should be in this for a long way.

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