Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.5K

VIEW

Verdict

NEBRASKAN (10) led them up last start at this track and trip when the race favourite, beaten 0.8L when being caught late in the race. He remains down in the weights and he's turned in a sound trial since that performance. Been a while since he's won, but he's on the cusp and finds a great opportunity now. HEALTHY HEALTHY (1) was only 0.8L off the winner last time out over 5f and should be better suited over this trip now. Visors go on first time today and he has enough speed to offset the sticky gate. Can put his best foot forward once again. WINNING CHAMPION (2) disappointed last time out at Sha Tin and now comes to this track and trip for the first time. J-Mac rides now and his effort two back rates highly in this field. Can be right in the finish. EXCEED THE WISH (7) is likely to get back in the run again but will be finishing off strongly.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Recent form sound. Most recently set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 12 at this track on October 22 over 6f, 0.8 len behind King Oberon carrying 120lbs at $4. The run before that held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at this track on October 8 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Lunar Dash carrying 120lbs at $9.80. Winning chance. 1st Pick 10 Nebraskan Jockey: Richard Kingscote Trainer: John Size J: Richard Kingscote T: John Size	119	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 12 at this track on October 22 over 6f, 0.8 len behind King Oberon carrying 120lbs at $4. The run before that held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at this track on October 8 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Lunar Dash carrying 120lbs at $9.80. Winning chance.
1	At the latest run 2nd of 12 at this track on November 2 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Day Day Victory with 134lbs at $4.40. The start before that led to the turn then faded 5th of 11 at Sha Tin on October 19 over 6f, 2 len behind Patch Of Stars carrying 116lbs at $30. Winning chance. 2nd Pick 1 Healthy Healthy Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Harry Bentley T: Pierre Ng	165	-	-	-	10%
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 12 at this track on November 2 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Day Day Victory with 134lbs at $4.40. The start before that led to the turn then faded 5th of 11 at Sha Tin on October 19 over 6f, 2 len behind Patch Of Stars carrying 116lbs at $30. Winning chance.
2	Third-up today. First-up raced on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Sha Tin on September 21 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Motor with 125lbs at $5.80. Last start 6th of 14 at Sha Tin on October 26 over 6f, 4 len behind Ever Luck with 127lbs at $4.10. Racing well. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 2 Winning Champion Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Danny Shum J: James Mcdonald T: Danny Shum	114	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up raced on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Sha Tin on September 21 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Motor with 125lbs at $5.80. Last start 6th of 14 at Sha Tin on October 26 over 6f, 4 len behind Ever Luck with 127lbs at $4.10. Racing well. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.