Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.4K

VIEW

Verdict

RELIABLE DAD (6) has been finishing off strongly from the back of the pack in recent efforts and has been kept up to the mark with a recent trial. Orman sticks from that trial and he comes to this track and trip for the first time. Wouldn't surprise to see him sit closer this time around and he can pick up his maiden win. AMAZING GAZE (4) flew home over this trip at Sha Tin last time out, finishing 1.3L off the winner. he draws better this time around and jumped favourite here two starts ago. He can roll forward from the draw and he can get the job done this time. ACE WAR (3) was far too good over 1 ?m at this course last time out and drops back to 1 ?m today. Purton remains in the saddle with the drop in trip and the rise in weight doesn't look an issue. Can sit handier today and repeat the dose. OCEAN IMPACT (5) is inching closer to a win and returns to his preferred track and trip.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on February 14 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Serangoon carrying 126lbs at $6.40. Before that 4th of 14 at Sha Tin on January 18 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Flow Water Flow with 127lbs at $39. Looks all set to run well again. 1st Pick 6 Reliable Dad Jockey: James Orman Trainer: David Hall J: James Orman T: David Hall	72	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on February 14 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Serangoon carrying 126lbs at $6.40. Before that 4th of 14 at Sha Tin on January 18 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Flow Water Flow with 127lbs at $39. Looks all set to run well again.
4	At the latest run came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on March 1 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Storm Runner carrying 128lbs at $7.10. The start before that 8th of 12 at this track on February 4 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Storm Runner carrying 130lbs at $4. Working up to a win. Sure to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 4 Amazing Gaze Jockey: Lyle Hewitson Trainer: David A Hayes J: Lyle Hewitson T: David A Hayes	96	-	-	-	10%
Analysis At the latest run came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on March 1 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Storm Runner carrying 128lbs at $7.10. The start before that 8th of 12 at this track on February 4 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Storm Runner carrying 130lbs at $4. Working up to a win. Sure to be in the finish.
3	Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 2 len at this track March 4 over 1m defeating Star Brose carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on January 28 over 1 m, 3 len behind Ragga Bomb with 120lbs at $1.80. Hard to go past based on recent performances. 3rd Pick 3 Ace War Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Zac Purton T: Mark Newnham	123	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 2 len at this track March 4 over 1m defeating Star Brose carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on January 28 over 1 m, 3 len behind Ragga Bomb with 120lbs at $1.80. Hard to go past based on recent performances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.