Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

WORLD HERO (2) sets the standard after going under by a nose at this track last start, and his record with Harry Bentley gives him a strong platform to convert that near miss. May need some luck early from the gate, but if the breaks come he can get the job done. TIN FOOK (6) is the clear danger off a solid first-up second at Sha Tin as a well-supported favourite. Back to 6f now may be a query, but he rates highly off the fresh effort and is a second-up winner in the past. SAME TO YOU (12) arrives in similar form after being beaten a head at this track and has enough track-and-distance substance to press again despite the wide alley. DRAGON FOUR SEAS (1) has the strongest course-and-distance record of the quartet, with four wins from ten at this setup, and his fifth to Elegant Life last start was close enough to give him a genuine winning case.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Went within a nose of winning at this track last start, taking over late before being headed close home by New Power. The start prior at Sha Tin had more merit than sixth reads after he raced wide throughout and was still beaten only just over three lengths at long odds. Peaks third-up as the one to beat. 1st Pick 2 World Hero Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: David A Hayes J: Harry Bentley T: David A Hayes	124	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Went within a nose of winning at this track last start, taking over late before being headed close home by New Power. The start prior at Sha Tin had more merit than sixth reads after he raced wide throughout and was still beaten only just over three lengths at long odds. Peaks third-up as the one to beat.
6	Resumed with a strong second at Sha Tin over 7f, beaten just under two lengths by Storm Mirror after starting a well-supported favourite. That was a clear return to form after he was well beaten on the Sha Tin Aw start prior. Clear winning chance. 2nd Pick 6 Tin Fook Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: P F Yiu J: Brenton Avdulla T: P F Yiu	114	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Resumed with a strong second at Sha Tin over 7f, beaten just under two lengths by Storm Mirror after starting a well-supported favourite. That was a clear return to form after he was well beaten on the Sha Tin Aw start prior. Clear winning chance.
12	Went very close at this track last start, beaten a head by Elegant Life after improving alongside the winner in the straight, though he did start a well-supported favourite. His Sha Tin run prior was also better than ninth suggests, beaten only two lengths. Strong chance again. 3rd Pick 12 Same To You Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Alex Badel T: Mark Newnham	108	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Went very close at this track last start, beaten a head by Elegant Life after improving alongside the winner in the straight, though he did start a well-supported favourite. His Sha Tin run prior was also better than ninth suggests, beaten only two lengths. Strong chance again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.