Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.0K

VIEW

Verdict

ACE WAR (11) has missed narrowly over this course and distance his past two starts. He's right on the cusp of another win and he did jump favourite here last time out. Purton remains in the saddle, he draws the inside and the form out of his last start stacks up. Can go one back. SETANTA (12) is likely to get back in the run as per his usual pattern, though he has been flying late in his races. He needs a few things to go his way, but his recent effort show he's right up to it if things go his way. Should be flying late. THE AZURE (2) hasn't been far away in recent performances and comes through the same race as Ace War. Boasts a good record at this track and trip with Guyon hopping on board. Can play a leading role. RAGGA BOMB (5) gets Bowman in the saddle today on the back of a good trial recently. Can bounce back.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Celtic Times with 120lbs at $2.10. The race before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at this track on December 10 over 1 m, nose behind Corleone with 118lbs at $7.30. Tough to beat. 1st Pick 11 Ace War Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: D Whyte J: Zac Purton T: D Whyte	134	-	-	-	40%	3/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Celtic Times with 120lbs at $2.10. The race before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at this track on December 10 over 1 m, nose behind Corleone with 118lbs at $7.30. Tough to beat.
12	Recent form sound. Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on January 14 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind Fortunate Son carrying 120lbs at $10. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at this track on December 23 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Absolute Awakened with 119lbs at $20. Among the leading chances. 2nd Pick 12 Setanta Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Andrea Atzeni T: Mark Newnham	135	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on January 14 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind Fortunate Son carrying 120lbs at $10. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at this track on December 23 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Absolute Awakened with 119lbs at $20. Among the leading chances.
2	At the latest run 5th of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Celtic Times carrying 130lbs at $17. Before that 9th of 12 at this track on December 23 over 1 m, 6 len behind Quantum Patch carrying 133lbs at $12. Has ability and is among the leading hopes. 3rd Pick 2 The Azure Jockey: Maxime Guyon Trainer: F C Lor J: Maxime Guyon T: F C Lor	108	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Celtic Times carrying 130lbs at $17. Before that 9th of 12 at this track on December 23 over 1 m, 6 len behind Quantum Patch carrying 133lbs at $12. Has ability and is among the leading hopes.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.