Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

YIELDING

149.2K

VIEW

Verdict

GOOD LUCK HAPPY (4) disappointed two back but bolted in at the trials before a 1L defeat at this track and trip a fortnight ago,. He was strong from the front there and the form has already been franked. Chung sticks with him and as he's likely to be up front from the draw again, he'll be hard to hold out. SUPERB KING (3) missed narrowly last start when leading throughout and is still on the cusp of a maiden win. he can track Good Luck Happy across from the draw and be prominent throughout for Hugh Bowman. Should give himself every chance. KING OBERON (6) was beaten 0.8L at this track and trip 28 days ago, bouncing back from a disappointing effort last start. Purton sticks with him today and he'll be right in the finish again if he can run to recent form. LOOKING BRIGHT (2) has trialled well since his recent effort and can put his best foot forward.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second-up. First-up after four months tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 12 at this track on June 24 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Danica's Choice carrying 128lbs at $11. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at this track on January 14 over 6f, 4 len behind Lucky Planet carrying 128lbs at $4.10. Fitter and worth following up. 1st Pick 4 Good Luck Happy Jockey: Angus Chung Trainer: A S Cruz J: Angus Chung T: A S Cruz	105	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 12 at this track on June 24 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Danica's Choice carrying 128lbs at $11. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at this track on January 14 over 6f, 4 len behind Lucky Planet carrying 128lbs at $4.10. Fitter and worth following up.
3	Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 12 at this track on June 10 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Live Wire carrying 134lbs at $2.40. The run before that led but faded 2nd of 12 at this track on May 20 over 6f, 1.5 len behind The Heir carrying 133lbs at $3.70. He should be in this for a long way. 2nd Pick 3 Superb King Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: K W Lui J: Hugh Bowman T: K W Lui	111	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 12 at this track on June 10 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Live Wire carrying 134lbs at $2.40. The run before that led but faded 2nd of 12 at this track on May 20 over 6f, 1.5 len behind The Heir carrying 133lbs at $3.70. He should be in this for a long way.
6	At the latest run came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on June 10 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Holmes A Court with 127lbs at $8. The race before that 7th of 12 at this track on May 13 over 6f, 7 len behind Nebraskan carrying 129lbs at $27. Making headway. Major player. 3rd Pick 6 King Oberon Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: D Whyte J: Zac Purton T: D Whyte	146	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis At the latest run came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on June 10 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Holmes A Court with 127lbs at $8. The race before that 7th of 12 at this track on May 13 over 6f, 7 len behind Nebraskan carrying 129lbs at $27. Making headway. Major player.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.