Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

261.5K

VIEW

Verdict

VIOLET STAR (5) looks ready to take another step forward after breaking through late last campaign. He then drew awkwardly and still battled on strongly into fifth over this course and distance at his most recent run. He is perfectly drawn in the ace, and will be ready to rumble fresh. DO YOUR PART (4) resumes after finishing a close fourth over 7f at Sha Tin and looks capable of making an immediate impact. FORTUNATE SON (10) was below his best when finishing out of the money over 1 ?m here last time, but his stronger form makes him one to watch closely at some top 4 value. SAMARKAND (8) has been given a couple of trials to prepare for his return and having Zac Purton take the ride catches the eye. Keep him safe. GENERAL REDWOOD (12) gets in nicely at the weights and remains relatively unexposed, with 2 wins from 7 starts. He has scope to improve further and can make his presence felt. Include in all combos in an even contest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at this track June 24 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Definitive with 127lbs at $8. Previously first up, fifth of 14 at Sha Tin January 18 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Patch Of Cosmo with 126lbs at $67. Looks very hard to beat. 1st Pick 5 Violet Star Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: D Whyte J: Karis Teetan T: D Whyte	69	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at this track June 24 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Definitive with 127lbs at $8. Previously first up, fifth of 14 at Sha Tin January 18 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Patch Of Cosmo with 126lbs at $67. Looks very hard to beat.
4	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last campaign fourth of 14 at Sha Tin June 27 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Sovereign Fund with 130lbs at $4.20. When resuming last campaign eighth of 11 at this track November 27 2024 over 5f, 6 len behind Healthy Healthy with 121lbs at $23. Can bring the good form from the last campaign to this contest. 2nd Pick 4 Do Your Part Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: K W Lui J: Brenton Avdulla T: K W Lui	71	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last campaign fourth of 14 at Sha Tin June 27 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Sovereign Fund with 130lbs at $4.20. When resuming last campaign eighth of 11 at this track November 27 2024 over 5f, 6 len behind Healthy Healthy with 121lbs at $23. Can bring the good form from the last campaign to this contest.
10	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign tenth of 12 at this track July 8 over 1m, 10 len behind Le Zonda carrying 115lbs at $8.80. When resuming last campaign tenth of 12 at this track Rating 60 October 15 over 1 m, 3 len behind Fantastic Fun with 132lbs at $11. Looks very hard to beat. 3rd Pick 10 Fortunate Son Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: W K Mo J: Vincent Ho T: W K Mo	70	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign tenth of 12 at this track July 8 over 1m, 10 len behind Le Zonda carrying 115lbs at $8.80. When resuming last campaign tenth of 12 at this track Rating 60 October 15 over 1 m, 3 len behind Fantastic Fun with 132lbs at $11. Looks very hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race