Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SAMARKAND (1) led them up last start over this course and distance and was only caught late in the piece, going under in a photo finish 17 days ago. The inside barrier is a bonus today as he should be able to find the front without doing a whole lot of work. Can land the knockout blow this time around. ABSOLUTE AWAKENED (8) missed by 3L over this course and distance last time out after sitting handy in the run. He was keen through the middle stages there but he looks as though he'll be better for that effort. Needs some luck from the barrier but he can put himself in the finish once again. MATSU VICTOR (5) gets the visors on for the first time today after a 2.3L defeat last time out. Needs some luck from the barrier, but he's building nicely this time in work and is not to be discounted. CALIFORNIA MOXIE (4) is better than he's shown his past couple and now gets Bowman in the saddle. Include.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Racing well recently. At the latest run rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 12 at this track on November 2 over 1 m, nose behind Fantastic Fun with 133lbs at $6.50. The start before that led but faded 3rd of 12 at this track on October 15 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Celtic Times carrying 134lbs at $4.20. In form and will be hard to beat. 1st Pick 1 Samarkand Jockey: Lyle Hewitson Trainer: David A Hayes J: Lyle Hewitson T: David A Hayes	175	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 12 at this track on November 2 over 1 m, nose behind Fantastic Fun with 133lbs at $6.50. The start before that led but faded 3rd of 12 at this track on October 15 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Celtic Times carrying 134lbs at $4.20. In form and will be hard to beat.
8	At the latest run made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on November 5 over 1 m, 3 len behind Corleone with 129lbs at $12. Before that didn't finish the race at Sha Tin October 26 over 1m. Ready to open his account this time. 2nd Pick 8 Absolute Awakened Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: F C Lor J: Alex Badel T: F C Lor	65	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on November 5 over 1 m, 3 len behind Corleone with 129lbs at $12. Before that didn't finish the race at Sha Tin October 26 over 1m. Ready to open his account this time.
5	Third-up today. First-up second last of 14 at Sha Tin on October 12 over 1m, 12 len behind Bull Attitude carrying 130lbs at $30. Second-up raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at this track on November 2 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Fantastic Fun with 128lbs at $10. Likely improver who looks hard to beat. 3rd Pick 5 Matsu Victor Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: K W Lui J: Vincent Ho T: K W Lui	86	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up second last of 14 at Sha Tin on October 12 over 1m, 12 len behind Bull Attitude carrying 130lbs at $30. Second-up raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at this track on November 2 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Fantastic Fun with 128lbs at $10. Likely improver who looks hard to beat.

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