Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

GEORGIAN SIGMA (2) sets the standard after a win over Iron Security at this track and a sound second to Super Sixty, beaten just under two lengths. Importantly this time, he finally draws a barrier and won't have to work as hard early. Should lob into a lovely position and can get back to winning ways. RUBY THRIVE (3) is the main danger on recent Sha Tin form, having beaten Precision Mind two starts ago before a fourth to Supreme Voyager when beaten just under a length. DRAGON SKY FORCE (6) is lightly raced but brings upside after being held up then running on late for fourth behind Let's Have Fun, with barrier 1 giving him a good chance to take the next step. GHORGAN (10) is the more complicated winning hope: his last-start tenth as favourite was plain, but the prior third at Sha Tin was beaten only a neck and the weight relief gives him scope to rebound sharply.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Has put together the most reliable recent form in the race, winning over this track and trip from Iron Security before running second to Super Sixty last start, beaten just under two lengths. He has one win and three places from four starts at this track and distance, and the Angus Chung pairing is two from two for top-two finishes. Perfect track-and-trip record for the placings makes him the one they have to beat. 1st Pick 2 Georgian Sigma Jockey: Angus Chung Trainer: A S Cruz J: Angus Chung T: A S Cruz	105	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Has put together the most reliable recent form in the race, winning over this track and trip from Iron Security before running second to Super Sixty last start, beaten just under two lengths. He has one win and three places from four starts at this track and distance, and the Angus Chung pairing is two from two for top-two finishes. Perfect track-and-trip record for the placings makes him the one they have to beat.
3	Kept his form ticking over when fourth to Supreme Voyager at Sha Tin last start, beaten just under a length after racing on speed and holding his ground. That followed a favourite's win over Precision Mind at Sha Tin, so the winning form is recent and credible. Distance record is solid and he rates a major danger. 2nd Pick 3 Ruby Thrive Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Manfred Man J: Vincent Ho T: Manfred Man	108	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Kept his form ticking over when fourth to Supreme Voyager at Sha Tin last start, beaten just under a length after racing on speed and holding his ground. That followed a favourite's win over Precision Mind at Sha Tin, so the winning form is recent and credible. Distance record is solid and he rates a major danger.
6	Caught the eye second-up at Sha Tin when fourth to Let's Have Fun over 6f, beaten a length and a half after being held up early in the straight and running on late. His debut fourth behind Lahore also had merit at long odds, so there is upside in just two starts. The 5f is the query, but the upside is clear. 3rd Pick 6 Dragon Sky Force Jockey: Matthew Poon Trainer: P F Yiu J: Matthew Poon T: P F Yiu	85	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Caught the eye second-up at Sha Tin when fourth to Let's Have Fun over 6f, beaten a length and a half after being held up early in the straight and running on late. His debut fourth behind Lahore also had merit at long odds, so there is upside in just two starts. The 5f is the query, but the upside is clear.

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