Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

112.6K

VIEW

Verdict

RUN RUN TIMING (3) hasn't won for a while but is knocking on the door, missing by 0.8L last time out. A winner has already come out of his latest effort and he looks well placed third-up from an inside barrier. Rates highly and looks the one to beat. ORIENTAL SURPRISE (6) just missed by 0.3L over 5f last start and steps up to 6f again today. That doesn't look an issue from the barrier as he can land in a midfield position from the draw. Has placed at the trip previously and can build on his latest effort. LEGEND STAR (5) drops back to 6f today and returns to The Valley. J-Mac hops in the saddle this time and the inside draw can see him settle much closer than recent efforts. Expecting an improved run. SONIC BOOM (11) is better than he showed last time out and can bounce back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on October 22 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Talents Supremo carrying 132lbs at $2.10. Second run from a spell made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track on November 2 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Ragnarr with 132lbs at $4.70. Hard to beat. 1st Pick 3 Run Run Timing Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: P F Yiu J: Vincent Ho T: P F Yiu	110	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on October 22 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Talents Supremo carrying 132lbs at $2.10. Second run from a spell made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track on November 2 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Ragnarr with 132lbs at $4.70. Hard to beat.
6	Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on November 5 over 5f, neck behind Speedy Smartie with 128lbs at $5.90. The run before that 6th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Notthesillyone carrying 129lbs at $9.40. Tough to beat. 2nd Pick 6 Oriental Surprise Jockey: Lyle Hewitson Trainer: David A Hayes J: Lyle Hewitson T: David A Hayes	110	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on November 5 over 5f, neck behind Speedy Smartie with 128lbs at $5.90. The run before that 6th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Notthesillyone carrying 129lbs at $9.40. Tough to beat.
5	Last start 5th of 13 at Sha Tin on November 9 over 7f, 4 len behind Ka Ying Power with 132lbs at $31. The run before that 9th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 6f, 5 len behind Notthesillyone carrying 133lbs at $8.40. Sure to be in the thick of things again. 3rd Pick 5 Legend Star Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Danny Shum J: James Mcdonald T: Danny Shum	120	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Last start 5th of 13 at Sha Tin on November 9 over 7f, 4 len behind Ka Ying Power with 132lbs at $31. The run before that 9th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 6f, 5 len behind Notthesillyone carrying 133lbs at $8.40. Sure to be in the thick of things again.

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