Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

COUNTRY PRIDE (8) hasn't been far away over this track and trip in his two runs this season. Draws wide again this time which is a query, but he's knocking on the door of a maiden win and now Atzeni hops on board. Has the upside and tactical speed to land the knockout blow. INCREDIBLE MOMENT (4) brings the sharpest fresh run after finishing second at Sha Tin, beaten just under a length despite working three-wide without cover, and barrier 1 gives him every chance to hold that form. SHANGHAI WARRIOR (1) has to rebound from a plain C3 tenth, but his previous sixth was sound and the return to C4 gives him a credible winning path despite the big weight. KING OBERON (11) is the seasoned danger, proven at this track and distance and close enough in two runs this campaign to be competitive with the 7lbs claim.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Brings the most dependable recent profile, having placed in both runs this campaign at this track. He was third to Elegant Life last start, beaten just under two lengths after being caught wide and still challenging at the 1f, and his prior third behind Bits Superstar also had merit after covering ground. Third-up and consistent at 11f, he sets the standard. 1st Pick 8 Country Pride Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: John Size J: Andrea Atzeni T: John Size	78	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Brings the most dependable recent profile, having placed in both runs this campaign at this track. He was third to Elegant Life last start, beaten just under two lengths after being caught wide and still challenging at the 1f, and his prior third behind Bits Superstar also had merit after covering ground. Third-up and consistent at 11f, he sets the standard.
4	Returned with a strong second at Sha Tin, beaten just under a length by Ace Eagle after doing work three-wide without cover and still giving a sight. He had been safely held before that, but the fresh run is the key reference and he has one win and three placings from 14 starts at 6f. Barrier 1 helps him conserve energy and he looks a major winning chance. 2nd Pick 4 Incredible Moment Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Vincent Ho T: Pierre Ng	133	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Returned with a strong second at Sha Tin, beaten just under a length by Ace Eagle after doing work three-wide without cover and still giving a sight. He had been safely held before that, but the fresh run is the key reference and he has one win and three placings from 14 starts at 6f. Barrier 1 helps him conserve energy and he looks a major winning chance.
1	Drops back from Class 3 company after finishing tenth at Sha Tin last start, beaten over 11 lengths behind Megastar Heart when left behind in the straight. His start prior was much more encouraging, running sixth to Bunta Baby and beaten just under three lengths at long odds. His prior Class 3 sixth reads well enough to put him in the winning mix. 3rd Pick 1 Shanghai Warrior Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: Danny Shum J: Derek Leung T: Danny Shum	64	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Drops back from Class 3 company after finishing tenth at Sha Tin last start, beaten over 11 lengths behind Megastar Heart when left behind in the straight. His start prior was much more encouraging, running sixth to Bunta Baby and beaten just under three lengths at long odds. His prior Class 3 sixth reads well enough to put him in the winning mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.