Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

YIELDING

111.6K

VIEW

Verdict

ALWAYS MY FOLKS (2) won well two back at this track and trip before jumping favourite over 6f last start and missing by 0.5L. Back to the scene of the crime now suits and he has enough early speed to work across from the wide alley. Can bounce back to winning ways. SPICY SPANGLE (10) led them up here 49 days ago but couldn't hold on when missing out by 1.8L at his most recent outing. That form has worked out well with two winners from 5 subsequent runners since. He's a speedy customer who will give a bold sight. COUNTRY DANCER (1) comes to Happy Valley after a couple of strong runs at Sha Tin most recently. He'll need a touch of luck from the barrier, but his recent form stacks right up and he can make his presence felt. SOLAR RIVER (5) never fired over further last start and this presents as a different scenario all together. Can improve on recent form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 12 at this track on June 3 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Majestic Delight carrying 133lbs at $4.20. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at this track April 15 over 5f defeating Macanese Master carrying 128lbs at $4.90. Will take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 2 Always My Folks Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: Danny Shum J: Hugh Bowman T: Danny Shum	131	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 12 at this track on June 3 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Majestic Delight carrying 133lbs at $4.20. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at this track April 15 over 5f defeating Macanese Master carrying 128lbs at $4.90. Will take plenty of beating.
10	Returns from a 49-day let-up. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 12 at this track on May 20 over 5f, 1.75 len behind King Alloy carrying 128lbs at $4.80. The start before that did the work up front then tired 6th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on May 6 over 6f, 4 len behind Robot Knight carrying 130lbs at $9.10. Bold showing expected. 2nd Pick 10 Spicy Spangle Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: W K Mo J: Vincent Ho T: W K Mo	83	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Returns from a 49-day let-up. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 12 at this track on May 20 over 5f, 1.75 len behind King Alloy carrying 128lbs at $4.80. The start before that did the work up front then tired 6th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on May 6 over 6f, 4 len behind Robot Knight carrying 130lbs at $9.10. Bold showing expected.
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on June 27 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Verbier with 134lbs at $11. The run before that won by 0.5 len at Sha Tin June 13 over 6f defeating Always Fluke with 125lbs at $8.90. Key runner. 3rd Pick 1 Country Dancer Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: John Size J: Andrea Atzeni T: John Size	130	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on June 27 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Verbier with 134lbs at $11. The run before that won by 0.5 len at Sha Tin June 13 over 6f defeating Always Fluke with 125lbs at $8.90. Key runner.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.