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10:40 AM

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
112.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SPICY SPANGLE (2) drops back in grade today following a 5.5L defeat at Sha Tin most recently. He's trialled well since his latest effort and Leung remains with the gelding. Draws nicely to find the front and he'll be hard to run down from the front. ISLAND BREEZES (1) has flown home his past couple after getting well back in the run, missing in a photo finish most recently. His latest trial since that run was just fair, but he's knocking on the door of a maiden win and he's sure to be flying late once again. HAPPY BOYS (3) got a long way back last start over 6f and closed off strongly when beaten 1.8L. Back to this track and trip is a query, but he rates highly on his recent form and is not to be discounted. CONCORDE STAR (5) just missed over 6f last start and comes back to 5f today. He's improved this time in work and can make his presence felt once again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Spicy Spangle silk

Comes off a 39 day let-up. Most recently faded in the straight 9th of 14 at Sha Tin on December 20 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Turquoise Velocity carrying 119lbs at $15. The race before that led to the turn then faded second last of 12 at this track on November 26 over 6f, 5 len behind Everstar with 119lbs at $15. Well placed in this line-up and can improve.

1st Pick
2

Spicy Spangle

Jockey: Derek Leung

Trainer: W K Mo

J: Derek Leung

T: W K Mo

83---23%7/2

Analysis

Comes off a 39 day let-up. Most recently faded in the straight 9th of 14 at Sha Tin on December 20 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Turquoise Velocity carrying 119lbs at $15. The race before that led to the turn then faded second last of 12 at this track on November 26 over 6f, 5 len behind Everstar with 119lbs at $15. Well placed in this line-up and can improve.

1
Island Breezes silk

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on December 17 over 5f, nose behind Macanese Master carrying 134lbs at $10. The start before that 4th of 12 at this track on December 3 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Golden Friendship carrying 134lbs at $15. Assisted by the inside draw and looks tough to hold out again.

2nd Pick
1

Island Breezes

Jockey: Luke Ferraris

Trainer: Pierre Ng

J: Luke Ferraris

T: Pierre Ng

131---17%5/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on December 17 over 5f, nose behind Macanese Master carrying 134lbs at $10. The start before that 4th of 12 at this track on December 3 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Golden Friendship carrying 134lbs at $15. Assisted by the inside draw and looks tough to hold out again.

3
Happy Boys silk

Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 12 at this track on January 14 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Blazing Beam with 133lbs at $6.70. The run before that 3rd of 12 at this track on December 23 over 6f, 2 len behind Concorde Star carrying 133lbs at $15. Sure to prove tough to beat.

3rd Pick
3

Happy Boys

Jockey: Dylan Browne Mcmonagle

Trainer: Mark Newnham

J: Dylan Browne Mcmonagle

T: Mark Newnham

110---8%12/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 12 at this track on January 14 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Blazing Beam with 133lbs at $6.70. The run before that 3rd of 12 at this track on December 23 over 6f, 2 len behind Concorde Star carrying 133lbs at $15. Sure to prove tough to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

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