Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

112.9K

VIEW

Verdict

TRADITION (5) disappointed last start on the All Weather track but was much better here two starts back. Happy to overlook his latest performance and base him on that 1.3L defeat here on April 9. Ticks a few boxes with Bentley hopping back aboard and can end his winning drought. PODIUM (2) has been back to the trials since a 3.5L defeat at Sha Tin 24 days ago. Back to this course and distance where he was narrowly beaten in February in what looks a smart move. Poon was on board that day and he can bounce right back to form. HARRY'S HERO (8) stuck on well here when favourite last week, beaten 0.5L at this track and trip. Drawn wider this time, but he may be able to slot into the running line and he's sure to make his presence felt again. TATTENHAM (6) was good fresh on the All Weather track and is a second-up winner in the past. Worth including from an inside barrier.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	At the latest run 8th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather on April 20 over 1 m, 6 len behind Meepmeep carrying 125lbs at $10. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on April 9 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Verbier with 126lbs at $4. Better placed and expected to go well. 1st Pick 5 Tradition Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: Y S Tsui J: Harry Bentley T: Y S Tsui	102	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather on April 20 over 1 m, 6 len behind Meepmeep carrying 125lbs at $10. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on April 9 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Verbier with 126lbs at $4. Better placed and expected to go well.
2	At the latest run 9th of 12 at Sha Tin on April 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Wind Speeder carrying 133lbs at $9.70. The race before that 6th of 14 at Sha Tin on February 16 over 1m, 3 len behind Gallant Crown carrying 133lbs at $3.10. Draws out again but represents a major threat. 2nd Pick 2 Podium Jockey: Matthew Poon Trainer: David Eustace J: Matthew Poon T: David Eustace	107	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis At the latest run 9th of 12 at Sha Tin on April 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Wind Speeder carrying 133lbs at $9.70. The race before that 6th of 14 at Sha Tin on February 16 over 1m, 3 len behind Gallant Crown carrying 133lbs at $3.10. Draws out again but represents a major threat.
8	At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on April 30 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind California Moxie with 123lbs at $4.20. The run before that 5th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather on April 20 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind Meepmeep with 122lbs at $68. Expected to be very competitive. 3rd Pick 8 Harry's Hero Jockey: Keagan De Melo Trainer: P F Yiu J: Keagan De Melo T: P F Yiu	129	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on April 30 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind California Moxie with 123lbs at $4.20. The run before that 5th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather on April 20 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind Meepmeep with 122lbs at $68. Expected to be very competitive.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.