Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

111.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

FALCON HUNTER (1) has put together the most convincing recent form, with seconds at Sha Tin and this track, the latest a neck defeat to Verbier when near the top of betting. He remains a maiden, but the 7lbs claim and third-up timing give him a strong chance to convert from the inside barrier. ALWAYS FLUKE (8) is the main danger if the return to 6f sparks him, having been only a length away at this venue two starts back. Coming back from 7f now and his recent trial was sound. Ho getting back aboard adds interest. RUSSET GLOW (2) comes back from C4 company and was only beaten three and a half lengths first-up, so he is better placed despite the wide draw. DASH (11) stayed on well for fourth at Sha Tin over 5f and gets a 7lbs claim, though his maiden record keeps the winning case slightly qualified.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	1st Pick 1 Falcon Hunter Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: James Cummings J: Nichola Yuen T: James Cummings	155	-	-	-	58%	3/4
2	3rd Pick 2 Russet Glow Jockey: Matthew Chadwick Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Matthew Chadwick T: Mark Newnham	68	-	-	-	7%	14/1
3	3 Best Farm Jockey: M Yeung Trainer: Manfred Man J: M Yeung T: Manfred Man	62	-	-	-	4%	29/1
4	4 Marvel And Gold Jockey: James Orman Trainer: C H Yip J: James Orman T: C H Yip	82	-	-	-	7%	14/1
5	5 Beauty Gemini Jockey: Angus Chung Trainer: A S Cruz J: Angus Chung T: A S Cruz	57	-	-	-	6%	17/1
6	6 Noble Fans Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: John Size J: Andrea Atzeni T: John Size	101	-	-	-	9%	11/1
7	7 Young Fighter Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Karis Teetan T: Caspar Fownes	74	-	-	-	5%	20/1
8	2nd Pick 8 Always Fluke Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: W Y So J: Vincent Ho T: W Y So	86	-	-	-	6%	16/1
9	9 Legendary Impact Jockey: Richard Kingscote Trainer: Y S Tsui J: Richard Kingscote T: Y S Tsui	62	-	-	-	3%	42/1
10	10 Smart City Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: P F Yiu J: Alex Badel T: P F Yiu	111	-	-	-	4%	28/1
11	11 Dash Jockey: Britney Wong Trainer: D Whyte J: Britney Wong T: D Whyte	60	-	-	-	5%	23/1
12	12 Von Baer Jockey: Matthew Poon Trainer: Jamie Richards J: Matthew Poon T: Jamie Richards	99	-	-	-	15%	6/1

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.