GB - Haydock Park - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Handicap

Turf

Soft (Heavy in places)

11.5K

VIEW

Verdict

LION OF MALI proved tenacious as he made it 3 wins from his 4 starts at Leicester 4 weeks ago, seeing off re-opposing Eduardo Calderon by ½ length in the process. He looks to hold sound claims again from a 2 lb higher mark provided forecast slower ground doesn't pose any fears. The aforementioned rival remains low mileage and is feared, as is recent Wetherby eyecatcher Supreme Clarets. Euphonia scored convincingly at Leicester and completes the shortlist.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Has proved a different model since being gelded, making it 3 wins from his last 4 starts with a tenacious display at Leicester (7f) by ½ length from Eduardo Calderon. Raised just 2 lb for that and big shout again provided he's as effective on this forecast slower surface. 1st Pick 1 Lion Of Mali Jockey: Cieren Fallon Trainer: James Fanshawe J: Cieren Fallon T: James Fanshawe	100	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Has proved a different model since being gelded, making it 3 wins from his last 4 starts with a tenacious display at Leicester (7f) by ½ length from Eduardo Calderon. Raised just 2 lb for that and big shout again provided he's as effective on this forecast slower surface.
2	Promise initially in maidens last year and much improved switched to a handicap/after 6 months off when edged out by Lion of Mali at Leicester (7f) 26 days ago. 1 lb better off with that rival here and feasible to think he could yet have more to offer. 2nd Pick 2 Eduardo Calderon (Ire) Jockey: Kaiya Fraser Trainer: Harry Eustace J: Kaiya Fraser T: Harry Eustace	99	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Promise initially in maidens last year and much improved switched to a handicap/after 6 months off when edged out by Lion of Mali at Leicester (7f) 26 days ago. 1 lb better off with that rival here and feasible to think he could yet have more to offer.
5	Winless at 2 yrs but proved largely consistent and stepped up on his reappearance despite not being seen to anything like best effect when fourth at Wetherby (7f) 25 days ago. Underfoot conditions will hold no fears and he's of interest back in class 5 company. 3rd Pick 5 Supreme Clarets (Ire) Jockey: Shane Gray Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey J: Shane Gray T: Richard & Peter Fahey	98	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Winless at 2 yrs but proved largely consistent and stepped up on his reappearance despite not being seen to anything like best effect when fourth at Wetherby (7f) 25 days ago. Underfoot conditions will hold no fears and he's of interest back in class 5 company.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.