IE - Limerick - Race 1

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

17.7f

Handicap Chase

Turf

Good to Yielding

11.5K

VIEW

Verdict

BIG ISLAND may well have won but for falling late on at Tramore on his final outing last summer, so he could be ready to open his account racing off the same mark here. He gets the vote ahead of chase-debutante Ellies Rock, who has shown improved form over hurdles this year, while L'Amiral Fromentin is another to consider back up in trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Still looking for a breakthrough win over fences, but was ahead and yet to be asked for effort when falling 2 out in handicap at Tramore (2¾m) when last seen in August. Major player as he returns off the same mark. 1st Pick 3 Big Island (Ire) Jockey: D. E. Mullins Trainer: W. J. Lanigan, Ireland J: D. E. Mullins T: W. J. Lanigan, Ireland	96	-	-	-	9%	Scratched
Analysis Still looking for a breakthrough win over fences, but was ahead and yet to be asked for effort when falling 2 out in handicap at Tramore (2¾m) when last seen in August. Major player as he returns off the same mark.
11	Resumed progress when justifying support in 16-runner handicap hurdle at Clonmel in April. Wasn't in the same form when fifth of 16 at Tramore (2½m) 17 days later, but she's worth another chance to build on her Clonmel effort as she goes over fences. 2nd Pick 11 Ellies Rock (Ire) Jockey: J. P. Shinnick Trainer: Terence O'brien, Ireland J: J. P. Shinnick T: Terence O'brien, Ireland	98	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Resumed progress when justifying support in 16-runner handicap hurdle at Clonmel in April. Wasn't in the same form when fifth of 16 at Tramore (2½m) 17 days later, but she's worth another chance to build on her Clonmel effort as she goes over fences.
6	After a poor run tried over hurdles, showed improved form quickly back chasing when third in a Tramore handicap in April. Did enough to confirm that effort when sixth of 12 over 2m at Wexford last time, shaping as if a return to further should suit. Enters calculations. 3rd Pick 6 L'amiral Fromentin (Fr) Jockey: Tiernan Power Roche Trainer: P. J. Rothwell, Ireland J: Tiernan Power Roche T: P. J. Rothwell, Ireland	97	-	-	-	12%
Analysis After a poor run tried over hurdles, showed improved form quickly back chasing when third in a Tramore handicap in April. Did enough to confirm that effort when sixth of 12 over 2m at Wexford last time, shaping as if a return to further should suit. Enters calculations.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.