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6:30 PM

IE - Dundalk - Race 5

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
12f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PAVILION END hasn't won since scoring on Flat debut over C&D back in January 2025 but Charles O'Brien's 6-y-o has been knocking on the door in recent weeks so gets the nod to double his tally. Nakasero bounced back to his best when finding only Diamond Exchange too strong at Naas last month and that pair can chase home the selection in that order.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Pavilion End silk

Has only a C&D maiden success to his name but arrives in top form, third of 11 at Leopardstown (13f, good) most recently. Surely capable of defying a mark in the mid-70s so one to take seriously.

1st Pick
5

Pavilion End

Jockey: S. Coen

Trainer: Charles O'brien, Ireland

J: S. Coen

T: Charles O'brien, Ireland

100---17%5/1

Analysis

Has only a C&D maiden success to his name but arrives in top form, third of 11 at Leopardstown (13f, good) most recently. Surely capable of defying a mark in the mid-70s so one to take seriously.

3
Nakasero (Ire) silk

Had eased in the weights and having attracted support, bounced back to best when head second of 11 to Diamond Exchange at Naas (11f, good) early last month. Of obvious interest again from the same mark.

2nd Pick
3

Nakasero (Ire)

Jockey: A. S. Grant

Trainer: Henry De Bromhead, Ireland

J: A. S. Grant

T: Henry De Bromhead, Ireland

99---23%7/2

Analysis

Had eased in the weights and having attracted support, bounced back to best when head second of 11 to Diamond Exchange at Naas (11f, good) early last month. Of obvious interest again from the same mark.

1
Diamond Exchange (Ire) silk

Gained a third win of 2026 at Naas early last month. Ran too badly to be true in the midst of an excellent season there (11f, good to firm) since but can bounce back quickly (successful only previous all-weather start here back in January).

3rd Pick
1

Diamond Exchange (Ire)

Jockey: D. S. O'sullivan

Trainer: Mrs J. Harrington, Ireland

J: D. S. O'sullivan

T: Mrs J. Harrington, Ireland

98---14%13/2

Analysis

Gained a third win of 2026 at Naas early last month. Ran too badly to be true in the midst of an excellent season there (11f, good to firm) since but can bounce back quickly (successful only previous all-weather start here back in January).

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.