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4:30 PM

IE - Dundalk - Race 7

Thoroughbred
6 Runners
10.7f
Maiden
Synthetic
Standard
12.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DUVESSA has been beaten favourite on both starts this season but should take all the beating in a less competitive maiden than the ones she's previously contested. Forthill will pose the biggest threat if coming on for a relatively low-key return.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Duvessa (Ire) silk

Ridden with an eye on the future on debut/sole start for Mrs J. Harrington but showed improved form over a longer trip when a well-backed second at Roscommon (1½m) on her return. Matched that form when third of 9 in maiden at Down Royal (13f, soft) 22 days ago and she looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
2

Duvessa (Ire)

Jockey: D. B. Mcmonagle

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland

J: D. B. Mcmonagle

T: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland

100---46%6/5

Analysis

Ridden with an eye on the future on debut/sole start for Mrs J. Harrington but showed improved form over a longer trip when a well-backed second at Roscommon (1½m) on her return. Matched that form when third of 9 in maiden at Down Royal (13f, soft) 22 days ago and she looks the one to beat.

3
Forthill (Fr) silk

Showed more than on debut when second in a Killarney maiden in October and ran to a similar level when third in 23-runner contest at the Curragh the following month. Below expectations when tenth of 15 in maiden at Bellewstown (11.4f, soft) on return in April but likely to be closer to form now.

2nd Pick
3

Forthill (Fr)

Jockey: William James Lee

Trainer: P. Twomey, Ireland

J: William James Lee

T: P. Twomey, Ireland

94---34%2/1

Analysis

Showed more than on debut when second in a Killarney maiden in October and ran to a similar level when third in 23-runner contest at the Curragh the following month. Below expectations when tenth of 15 in maiden at Bellewstown (11.4f, soft) on return in April but likely to be closer to form now.

5
Tequila (Fr) silk

Close third on handicap debut at Newmarket last summer when trained by Raphael Freire but ran poorly on 2 outings for Kevin Philippart De Foy. Others more persuasive after another stable switch after 9 months off.

3rd Pick
5

Tequila (Fr)

Jockey: David Egan

Trainer: Robson De Aguiar, Ireland

J: David Egan

T: Robson De Aguiar, Ireland

83---12%8/1

Analysis

Close third on handicap debut at Newmarket last summer when trained by Raphael Freire but ran poorly on 2 outings for Kevin Philippart De Foy. Others more persuasive after another stable switch after 9 months off.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.