IE - Dundalk - Race 5

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

Standard

17.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Plenty of dead wood in this maiden and MARCESCENCE is selected to make it third time lucky having shaped promisingly when placed in a couple of Navan maidens. This step up to 7f looks a good move and she can get the better of Sonic Sabiha, who was suspended under the non-triers rule at Listowel in September but has run well here on both subsequent outings. Direct Action and Jade Fox can fight out minor honours.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Ran at least as well as on debut when third of 21 in maiden at Navan (6f, good to soft) 5 weeks ago. Step up in trip a positive move and she could prove tough to beat. 1st Pick 11 Marcescence (Ire) Jockey: J. Kearney Trainer: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland J: J. Kearney T: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland	100	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Ran at least as well as on debut when third of 21 in maiden at Navan (6f, good to soft) 5 weeks ago. Step up in trip a positive move and she could prove tough to beat.
14	Starting to look exposed after 5 starts, fifth of 14 in maiden over C&D a fortnight ago. No surprise to see her in the mix here. 2nd Pick 14 Sonic Sabiha (Ire) Jockey: Rebecca Parsons Trainer: David Marnane, Ireland J: Rebecca Parsons T: David Marnane, Ireland	99	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Starting to look exposed after 5 starts, fifth of 14 in maiden over C&D a fortnight ago. No surprise to see her in the mix here.
6	Showed a bit more than on debut when fourth of 14 in maiden at Navan (6f, soft) 3 weeks ago, running on. Step up to 7f looks a good move. 3rd Pick 6 Direct Action Jockey: C. T. Keane Trainer: Derek Mccormack, Ireland J: C. T. Keane T: Derek Mccormack, Ireland	83	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Showed a bit more than on debut when fourth of 14 in maiden at Navan (6f, soft) 3 weeks ago, running on. Step up to 7f looks a good move.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.