IE - Dundalk - Race 4

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Handicap

Synthetic

Standard

15.0K

VIEW

Verdict

DANCING SAXON makes plenty of appeal on the best of her form in maidens and should be capable of better stepping back up in trip on nursery debut. She's narrowly preferred to expensive Kingman filly You'll Think Of Me who has shaped with plenty of promise to date and is open to improvement back over 7f on handicap bow. Quinta Girl has improved with each run and may progress again switched to a nursery, while Whistling Jamesie won here on Tuesday and merits respect if lining up under a penalty.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Unable to justify support on debut and had experience on her side when third in a strong maiden at Fairyhouse (6f) in July. Couldn't match that form back in a maiden when fourth at this course (6f) last month but much better expected stepping back up to 7f on handicap debut. 1st Pick 4 Dancing Saxon (Ire) Jockey: D. B. Mcmonagle Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland J: D. B. Mcmonagle T: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland	100	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Unable to justify support on debut and had experience on her side when third in a strong maiden at Fairyhouse (6f) in July. Couldn't match that form back in a maiden when fourth at this course (6f) last month but much better expected stepping back up to 7f on handicap debut.
3	500,000 gns Kingman filly was just touched off in a 12-runner maiden at Naas (6f) and ran to a similar level when third behind a subsequent winner over the same C&D on qualifying run. Shapes as though she'll appreciate the return to 7f and makes plenty of appeal on nursery debut. 2nd Pick 3 You'll Think Of Me (Ire) Jockey: P. A. Harnett Trainer: Donnacha Aidan O'brien, Ireland J: P. A. Harnett T: Donnacha Aidan O'brien, Ireland	90	-	-	-	17%
Analysis 500,000 gns Kingman filly was just touched off in a 12-runner maiden at Naas (6f) and ran to a similar level when third behind a subsequent winner over the same C&D on qualifying run. Shapes as though she'll appreciate the return to 7f and makes plenty of appeal on nursery debut.
1	Sioux Nation filly has improved with each run, coming from much further back than the three who finished ahead of her in a 16-runner maiden at Naas (5.9f, soft) 29 days ago. Shapes as though she'll appreciate 7f and merits consideration making nursery debut under a good-value jockey. 3rd Pick 1 Quinta Girl (Ire) Jockey: Nicola Burns Trainer: M. D. O'callaghan, Ireland J: Nicola Burns T: M. D. O'callaghan, Ireland	87	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Sioux Nation filly has improved with each run, coming from much further back than the three who finished ahead of her in a 16-runner maiden at Naas (5.9f, soft) 29 days ago. Shapes as though she'll appreciate 7f and merits consideration making nursery debut under a good-value jockey.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.