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1:28 AM

NZ - Gore - Race 4

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
11.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MELO (9) finished a gutsy third fresh up at Wingatui and then had excuses when being a beaten favourite here 4 weeks ago. She has a good draw and can make amends. On top for us, so follow your money. FAWKE LIGHTNING (6) failed to fire from a wide draw on his home track at Timaru just over a month ago. She treks South with the inform Stewart stable, and with a recent trial win under her belt, she can bounce straight back into the money, despite copping another tricky gate. MARIA PILAR (5) is heading the right way with her form and does appear to have some upside. She was only beaten by a head last time out at Cromwell, and she can go one better, even from her wide draw. RISK MITIGATION (8) may have found the step up to 7f a touch too far at this stage of her career and only battled over the final stages at Cromwell 3 weeks ago. She is worth another chance with the return to 6f. JUST BRENT (16) did nothing on debut here 4 weeks ago, but has had a positive jockey chance. Include.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Melo silk

Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 14 at Wingatui on November 4 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Red Invader with 117lbs at $8.60. Last start second last of 12 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind So Brassy with 119lbs at $4.40. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

1st Pick
9

Melo

Jockey: Triston Moodley

Trainer: Robert Dennis

J: Triston Moodley

T: Robert Dennis

78---10%10/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 14 at Wingatui on November 4 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Red Invader with 117lbs at $8.60. Last start second last of 12 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind So Brassy with 119lbs at $4.40. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

6
Fawke Lightning silk

Returns from a 32-day let-up. Most recently 10th of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on November 19 over 6f, 6 len behind Blushing carrying 127lbs at $7.40. The start before that 2nd of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Wyworry carrying 125lbs at $16.50. Not a great draw again but able to play a big role.

2nd Pick
6

Fawke Lightning

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Len & Lacy Stewart

J: Non Runner

T: Len & Lacy Stewart

120---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Returns from a 32-day let-up. Most recently 10th of 13 at Phar Lap Racecourse on November 19 over 6f, 6 len behind Blushing carrying 127lbs at $7.40. The start before that 2nd of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Wyworry carrying 125lbs at $16.50. Not a great draw again but able to play a big role.

5
Maria Pilar silk

Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Riverton on November 2 over 7f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Rings Of Satin with 122lbs at $8.20. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Cromwell on November 28 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Lucky Ferrando carrying 125lbs at $8.10. Well placed. Right in the mix again.

3rd Pick
5

Maria Pilar

Jockey: Amber Riddell

Trainer: Kelly Shearing

J: Amber Riddell

T: Kelly Shearing

117---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Riverton on November 2 over 7f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Rings Of Satin with 122lbs at $8.20. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Cromwell on November 28 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Lucky Ferrando carrying 125lbs at $8.10. Well placed. Right in the mix again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

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A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

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A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.