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6:40 PM

GB - Fontwell Park - Race 5

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
17.8f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Good (Good to Soft in places)
8.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GRAIN TRADE still looks on a competitive mark despite being raised 4 lb for his final-fence departure at Market Rasen last time and he looks the one to beat provided he jumps cleanly enough here. Model Approach was right back to form when winning over hurdles last time and is interesting quickly switched back to fences. Chase newcomer Saint Polo completes the 1-2-3.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Grain Trade silk

Strong-travelling sort scored on second chase outing at Market Rasen (19f) in October and had the race at his mercy when falling here next time. Would've doubled his tally over fences if not for unseating after the last back at Market Rasen (17f) last month but sets the standard if jumping holds up.

1st Pick
2

Grain Trade

Jockey: Gavin Sheehan

Trainer: Billy Aprahamian

J: Gavin Sheehan

T: Billy Aprahamian

100---31%9/4

Analysis

Strong-travelling sort scored on second chase outing at Market Rasen (19f) in October and had the race at his mercy when falling here next time. Would've doubled his tally over fences if not for unseating after the last back at Market Rasen (17f) last month but sets the standard if jumping holds up.

3
Model Approach (Ire) silk

Dual juvenile hurdle winner FOR Adrian Keatley. Dropped a long way in the weights for this yard prior to landing a 12-runner handicap hurdle at Ffos Las (2m) last week. Visor worn there is retained and he's potentially interesting having a third start over fences (has Flat pedigree) from same mark.

2nd Pick
3

Model Approach (Ire)

Jockey: Conor Ring

Trainer: Mrs C. Williams

J: Conor Ring

T: Mrs C. Williams

60---34%2/1

Analysis

Dual juvenile hurdle winner FOR Adrian Keatley. Dropped a long way in the weights for this yard prior to landing a 12-runner handicap hurdle at Ffos Las (2m) last week. Visor worn there is retained and he's potentially interesting having a third start over fences (has Flat pedigree) from same mark.

1
Saint Polo (Fr) silk

Gambled on and left previous hurdles efforts behind when lengths second on 2½m Sedgefield handicap debut last month. Backed that up with a sound third of 5 at Taunton (3m) and he's respected sent chasing (has pointing background).

3rd Pick
1

Saint Polo (Fr)

Jockey: I. J. Power

Trainer: Jennie Candlish

J: I. J. Power

T: Jennie Candlish

99---10%9/1

Analysis

Gambled on and left previous hurdles efforts behind when lengths second on 2½m Sedgefield handicap debut last month. Backed that up with a sound third of 5 at Taunton (3m) and he's respected sent chasing (has pointing background).

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

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Bobble/Stumble

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