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4:00 PM

GB - FFos Las - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
23.8f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Soft (Heavy in places)
24.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FORTUNATE MAN got back on the up when successful at Aintree on his reappearance and, having had possible excuses both outings since, he can take advantage of this return to class 3 company. Alfie's Princess ran below form last time but is worth another chance given the impression she made on her first 2 chase starts, with Face d'Music also in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Fortunate Man (Ire) silk

As good as ever when landing same Aintree race for the second year running on return, beating a subsequent winner. Hasn't kicked on in 2 subsequent outings, though possibly found the test too much in the Eider (33f, good to soft) last time. Major player back down in grade.

1st Pick
3

Fortunate Man (Ire)

Jockey: Jonjo O'neill Jr.

Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

J: Jonjo O'neill Jr.

T: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

99---23%

Scratched

Analysis

As good as ever when landing same Aintree race for the second year running on return, beating a subsequent winner. Hasn't kicked on in 2 subsequent outings, though possibly found the test too much in the Eider (33f, good to soft) last time. Major player back down in grade.

5
Alfie's Princess (Ire) silk

Point/hurdles winner who was successful on her second chase start, returning from a 15-month absence when scoring comfortably in handicap at Wincanton (2½m) on Boxing Day. Below form at Windsor 3 weeks later, but she could bounce back given her previous promise.

2nd Pick
5

Alfie's Princess (Ire)

Jockey: Dylan Johnston

Trainer: Sam Thomas

J: Dylan Johnston

T: Sam Thomas

99---15%6/1

Analysis

Point/hurdles winner who was successful on her second chase start, returning from a 15-month absence when scoring comfortably in handicap at Wincanton (2½m) on Boxing Day. Below form at Windsor 3 weeks later, but she could bounce back given her previous promise.

9
Face D'music (Ire) silk

Capitalised on a falling mark over hurdles at Chepstow (3m) last month and ran well returned to chasing when denied late on at this course (19f, heavy) 15 days ago. Up in grade but he enters calculations in his current form.

3rd Pick
9

Face D'music (Ire)

Jockey: Shane Quinlan

Trainer: Katy Price

J: Shane Quinlan

T: Katy Price

100---20%4/1

Analysis

Capitalised on a falling mark over hurdles at Chepstow (3m) last month and ran well returned to chasing when denied late on at this course (19f, heavy) 15 days ago. Up in grade but he enters calculations in his current form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.