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1:41 PM

IE - Fairyhouse - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
24.3f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Heavy
11.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DUFFYS HODEY has proven himself a fairly useful hurdler since his sole start over fences last year and he could well have more to offer as a chaser. He's narrowly preferred to The Little Yank who went close from this sort of mark earlier in the year, while chase debutant Hitthehayson shapes as though he'll appreciate this longer trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Duffys Hodey (Ire) silk

Course winner was well-backed when pulled up on chase debut in January 2024. Progressive over hurdles last season, winning 3 times up to 2½m and just outstayed by an improver when second at Punchestown (23f) in February. Looks interesting back over fences.

1st Pick
7

Duffys Hodey (Ire)

Jockey: Mr C. J. Shine

Trainer: P. J. Rothwell, Ireland

J: Mr C. J. Shine

T: P. J. Rothwell, Ireland

96---23%7/2

Analysis

Course winner was well-backed when pulled up on chase debut in January 2024. Progressive over hurdles last season, winning 3 times up to 2½m and just outstayed by an improver when second at Punchestown (23f) in February. Looks interesting back over fences.

2
The Little Yank (Ire) silk

Has gone close from this sort of mark over fences and has been in good form over hurdles of late, creditable fifth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Navan (20.2f, heavy, 25/1) 4 days ago. Can go well off a quick turnaround and makes appeal back up in distance on return to chasing.

2nd Pick
2

The Little Yank (Ire)

Jockey: Miss Olive Nicholls

Trainer: John Patrick Ryan, Ireland

J: Miss Olive Nicholls

T: John Patrick Ryan, Ireland

100---17%5/1

Analysis

Has gone close from this sort of mark over fences and has been in good form over hurdles of late, creditable fifth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Navan (20.2f, heavy, 25/1) 4 days ago. Can go well off a quick turnaround and makes appeal back up in distance on return to chasing.

3
Hitthehayson (Ire) silk

Much improved for a stable switch opening his account at Roscommon (20.2f) in September prior to following up at Downpatrick (21.8f). Not ideally positioned on the inside rail on softer ground when fourth at Wexford last time but he could get back on track upped in trip on chase debut.

3rd Pick
3

Hitthehayson (Ire)

Jockey: Mr Alan O'sullivan

Trainer: Ian Patrick Donoghue, Ireland

J: Mr Alan O'sullivan

T: Ian Patrick Donoghue, Ireland

96---17%5/1

Analysis

Much improved for a stable switch opening his account at Roscommon (20.2f) in September prior to following up at Downpatrick (21.8f). Not ideally positioned on the inside rail on softer ground when fourth at Wexford last time but he could get back on track upped in trip on chase debut.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.