NZ - Ellerslie - Race 8

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

NOTABADBERGS (5) lost his way at the end of his last prep, but meets a fairly modest field for his return. He was third in a quiet trial at Avondale last month, and with form on a wet track, he should go close to winning this. CHICAGO JACK (3) was a beaten favourite at Hawera last start when ridden a lot closer to the pace than he normally is. He is likely to be taken back this time, and he can make amends. Follow your money. BERENHARD (2) was back in the winners' circle 3 starts ago when he was last in this grade. He will find this an easier assignment, and with a better draw this time, he can bounce back into form. TARZADOR (7) has found it hard to win another race, and she will be resuming from a spell with Craig Grylls in the saddle, which is a good lead for a race like this. Follow the market moves.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Resumes after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Tauranga December 12 over 6 ½f, soft track, 4 len behind Unison with 127lbs at $18.30. Previously first up, second of 11 at Ruakaka June 28 over 6f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Chicago Dream carrying 129lbs at $17.70. Everything points to a effective return. 1st Pick 5 Notabadbergs Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Joe Doyle T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	48	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Resumes after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 9 at Tauranga December 12 over 6 ½f, soft track, 4 len behind Unison with 127lbs at $18.30. Previously first up, second of 11 at Ruakaka June 28 over 6f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Chicago Dream carrying 129lbs at $17.70. Everything points to a effective return.
3	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Hawera on April 17 over 7f, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Wuruhi carrying 132lbs at $3.10. Before that ran last of 8 at Wanganui on March 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Exit Left carrying 129lbs at $8.10. Better placed and expected to measure up. 2nd Pick 3 Chicago Jack Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Steven Cole J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Steven Cole	142	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Hawera on April 17 over 7f, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Wuruhi carrying 132lbs at $3.10. Before that ran last of 8 at Wanganui on March 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Exit Left carrying 129lbs at $8.10. Better placed and expected to measure up.
2	Last start raced on the pace before fading 11th of 17 at this track on April 18 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Super Fly with 126lbs at $47.80. Before that 8th of 12 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Play It Again Sam carrying 126lbs at $7.10. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 3rd Pick 2 Berenhard Jockey: Tayla Mitchell Trainer: Denise Jeffcoat J: Tayla Mitchell T: Denise Jeffcoat	128	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start raced on the pace before fading 11th of 17 at this track on April 18 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Super Fly with 126lbs at $47.80. Before that 8th of 12 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Play It Again Sam carrying 126lbs at $7.10. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.