NZ - Ellerslie - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

11.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

72.9K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

MOLLIFY (1) is a very progressive mare chasing a hat-trick of wins. She has won her last couple of starts at BM75 level, and despite copping a wide gate, she will relish getting out to 1 ½m, so stick with her. The hat-trick beckons, especially if it is wet. ROCTAVE (2) will be backing up quickly after finishing sixth at Te Rapa last Saturday. Opie Bosson steps into the irons, and she can repeat the dose. HIGH COUNTRY (13) has found it hard to win another race, and was fourth over this trip at Te Rapa 6 days ago. If he backs up, then he is worth including in all combos. MYAKKABELLE (7) was a game fifth in the Waikato Cup over this trip nearly a fortnight ago. That is good form for a race like this. Stick with her. SANTA CATALINA (8) has terrific form here over this trip, and won her last start here by a head. Each-way claims again. SNEAK PEEK (10) tries 1 ½m for the first time after running on late for second at Pukekohe nearly 5 weeks ago over 1 5/16m. She is a top 4 hope again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Tauranga December 12 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Maldini with 126lbs at $2.80. Before that favourite, won by 0.8 len at Pukekohe November 22 over 1 5/16m in soft going defeating Atmospheric carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Strong chance despite going up 4lbs from last start. 1st Pick 1 Mollify Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Lance Noble J: Warren Kennedy T: Lance Noble	105	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Tauranga December 12 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Maldini with 126lbs at $2.80. Before that favourite, won by 0.8 len at Pukekohe November 22 over 1 5/16m in soft going defeating Atmospheric carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Strong chance despite going up 4lbs from last start.
2	At the latest run won by 1.0 len at Te Rapa December 20 over 1 5/16m in soft going defeating One Bold Gigolo with 125lbs at $4.10. The race before that 6th of 13 at Wanganui on November 29 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Uncle Arch with 126lbs at $15.50. Well placed and sure to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 2 Roctave Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Opie Bosson T: Stephen Marsh	173	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis At the latest run won by 1.0 len at Te Rapa December 20 over 1 5/16m in soft going defeating One Bold Gigolo with 125lbs at $4.10. The race before that 6th of 13 at Wanganui on November 29 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Uncle Arch with 126lbs at $15.50. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.
13	Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 12 at Te Rapa on December 20 over 1 ½m, slow going 1.2 len behind Proboy carrying 126lbs at $4.10. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe on December 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going long-neck behind Casemiro with 126lbs at $5.70. Has ability and can run a forward race. 3rd Pick 13 High Country Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Tony Pike J: Samantha Collett T: Tony Pike	106	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 12 at Te Rapa on December 20 over 1 ½m, slow going 1.2 len behind Proboy carrying 126lbs at $4.10. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe on December 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going long-neck behind Casemiro with 126lbs at $5.70. Has ability and can run a forward race.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.