NZ - Ellerslie - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

157.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

CIRCUS DANCER (2) won her debut at New Plymouth, and then stepped up to Stakes company and scored a tough win by a head at Whanganui when paying a big price. She has trialled in a clockwise direction, and the hat-trick beckons. LOLLAPALOOZA (1) was so brave in defeat when finishing runner-up in the G1 1000 Guineas at Riccarton nearly 7 weeks ago. She has had a quiet trial since then and should go close to taking this out. FLEETING STAR (9) capped off some solid form with a well-deserved win here just over 2 weeks ago. The extra furlong is ideal, and she has the scope to go on with the job now. DANCE THE NIGHT (7) lifted late to score by a nose at Pukekohe over this trip nearly 3 weeks ago. This is tougher, and she is now looking for more ground, but she is good enough to figure in the top 3 again. STELLA MA BELLA (10) was an easy maiden winner in a lesser field as the favourite at Te Aroha 19 days ago. She will relish the extra 1f, and Craig Grylls sticks with her. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Looking to keep her unbeaten record intact. When well in the market on debut, won by 2.25 len at New Plymouth Raceway October 24 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Rockman with 122lbs at $2.60. Last time out tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck at Wanganui LR O'Learys Fillies Stakes (Trudy Thomson Memorial) November 29 over 6 ¾f in soft going defeating War Princess with 125lbs at $24.80. Tough to beat on latest and can measure up again. 1st Pick 2 Circus Dancer Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Cody Cole J: Samantha Collett T: Cody Cole	81	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Looking to keep her unbeaten record intact. When well in the market on debut, won by 2.25 len at New Plymouth Raceway October 24 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Rockman with 122lbs at $2.60. Last time out tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck at Wanganui LR O'Learys Fillies Stakes (Trudy Thomson Memorial) November 29 over 6 ¾f in soft going defeating War Princess with 125lbs at $24.80. Tough to beat on latest and can measure up again.
1	Comes here off a 48-day let-up. Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park in the G1 New Zealand 1000 Guineas on November 8 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Well Written with 125lbs at $10.30. The run before that 5th of 10 at this track in the G2 Soliloquy Stakes on October 18 over 7f, 7 len behind Well Written with 125lbs at $4.10. Huge chance in this line-up based on last run. 2nd Pick 1 Lollapalooza Jockey: Vinnie Colgan Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall J: Vinnie Colgan T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall	62	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Comes here off a 48-day let-up. Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park in the G1 New Zealand 1000 Guineas on November 8 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Well Written with 125lbs at $10.30. The run before that 5th of 10 at this track in the G2 Soliloquy Stakes on October 18 over 7f, 7 len behind Well Written with 125lbs at $4.10. Huge chance in this line-up based on last run.
9	Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at this track December 11 over 7f in soft going defeating Classic Champagne with 123lbs at $1.70. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on November 26 over 7f, long-neck behind That's Gold carrying 122lbs at $3.20. An inside gate is a big advantage. Huge chance on latest and can go on with it. 3rd Pick 9 Fleeting Star Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall J: Opie Bosson T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall	72	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at this track December 11 over 7f in soft going defeating Classic Champagne with 123lbs at $1.70. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on November 26 over 7f, long-neck behind That's Gold carrying 122lbs at $3.20. An inside gate is a big advantage. Huge chance on latest and can go on with it.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.