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3:18 AM

NZ - Ellerslie - Race 7

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
8f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
157.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CIRCUS DANCER (2) won her debut at New Plymouth, and then stepped up to Stakes company and scored a tough win by a head at Whanganui when paying a big price. She has trialled in a clockwise direction, and the hat-trick beckons. LOLLAPALOOZA (1) was so brave in defeat when finishing runner-up in the G1 1000 Guineas at Riccarton nearly 7 weeks ago. She has had a quiet trial since then and should go close to taking this out. FLEETING STAR (9) capped off some solid form with a well-deserved win here just over 2 weeks ago. The extra furlong is ideal, and she has the scope to go on with the job now. DANCE THE NIGHT (7) lifted late to score by a nose at Pukekohe over this trip nearly 3 weeks ago. This is tougher, and she is now looking for more ground, but she is good enough to figure in the top 3 again. STELLA MA BELLA (10) was an easy maiden winner in a lesser field as the favourite at Te Aroha 19 days ago. She will relish the extra 1f, and Craig Grylls sticks with her. Include.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Lollapalooza silk
2nd Pick
1

Lollapalooza

Jockey: Vinnie Colgan

Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

J: Vinnie Colgan

T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

62---17%5/1
2
Circus Dancer silk
1st Pick
2

Circus Dancer

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Cody Cole

J: Samantha Collett

T: Cody Cole

81---20%4/1
3
Pulsatilla silk
3

Pulsatilla

Jockey: Warren Kennedy

Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy

J: Warren Kennedy

T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy

64---10%9/1
4
Tellum silk
4

Tellum

Jockey: Joe Doyle

Trainer: Debbie Sweeney

J: Joe Doyle

T: Debbie Sweeney

72---8%12/1
5
Oratia Beauty silk
5

Oratia Beauty

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Kylie Hoskin

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Kylie Hoskin

51---7%15/1
6
Circus Trix silk
6

Circus Trix

Jockey: Rory Hutchings

Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote

J: Rory Hutchings

T: Ben & Ryan Foote

52---7%15/1
7
Dance The Night silk
7

Dance The Night

Jockey: Matthew Cameron

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Matthew Cameron

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

99---14%13/2
8
Fairy Dream silk
8

Fairy Dream

Jockey: Michael Dee

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Michael Dee

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

84---10%9/1
9
Fleeting Star silk
3rd Pick
9

Fleeting Star

Jockey: Opie Bosson

Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

J: Opie Bosson

T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

72---15%6/1
10
Stella Ma Bella silk
10

Stella Ma Bella

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

105---13%7/1
11
Savvy Donna silk
11

Savvy Donna

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: R K Fleming

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: R K Fleming

58---5%20/1

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.