NZ - Ellerslie - Race 6

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

7.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

LYDIARD PARK (3) has a big private reputation and ran his best race yet when finishing a brave third at Waverley 7 weeks ago. He is obviously a slow-maturing type, but he will make the grade, and if he starts from his wide gate, then he is the one to beat. HELL ISLAND (2) went a huge race here 9 days ago when travelling wide from a tough gate here 9 days ago. He gets a big swing in his draw this time and is good enough to take this out. CHAMPAGNE WISHES (10) finished fourth over 2 months ago, and she has been third at a poly track trial at Cambridge since then. A wide gate is no help, but with the aid of a 4lbs claim, she is still capable of a top 4 finish. PAPER ROMANCE (5) has been through a few trainers, and he makes his debut for the Aimee Black stable, who produced him to win a recent Avondale trial. His a rising 6YO who should be ready to run a big race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Having second run back today. Not raced for 49 days. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Waverley on March 18 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Trafalgar carrying 127lbs at $2.20. At only start last preparation 8th of 10 at Ruakaka on January 6 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Andahar with 126lbs at $2.20. Further improvement in store. 1st Pick 3 Lydiard Park Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: George Rooke T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	112	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Having second run back today. Not raced for 49 days. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Waverley on March 18 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Trafalgar carrying 127lbs at $2.20. At only start last preparation 8th of 10 at Ruakaka on January 6 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Andahar with 126lbs at $2.20. Further improvement in store.
2	Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 15 at this track on April 27 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Wee Nessy with 127lbs at $46.30. The run before that 4th in a small field at Matamata on April 15 over 7f, on a wet track, 8 len behind Incredible Patch with 128lbs at $5.60. Certainly worth another chance. 2nd Pick 2 Hell Island Jockey: Corentin Berge Trainer: Chris Wood J: Corentin Berge T: Chris Wood	186	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 15 at this track on April 27 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Wee Nessy with 127lbs at $46.30. The run before that 4th in a small field at Matamata on April 15 over 7f, on a wet track, 8 len behind Incredible Patch with 128lbs at $5.60. Certainly worth another chance.
10	Third-up today. Resumes off a 62 day letup. First-up 3rd of 7 at Tauranga on February 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind New Recruit carrying 119lbs at $3.80. Second-up 4th of 9 at Tauherenikau on March 5 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Richemont carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Certainly worth another chance. 3rd Pick 10 Champagne Wishes Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Steven Ramsay & Julia Ritchie J: Hayley Hassman T: Steven Ramsay & Julia Ritchie	90	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Third-up today. Resumes off a 62 day letup. First-up 3rd of 7 at Tauranga on February 5 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind New Recruit carrying 119lbs at $3.80. Second-up 4th of 9 at Tauherenikau on March 5 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Richemont carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Certainly worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.