NZ - Ellerslie - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

46.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

FOREVERINTIME (5) is a very promising mare who overcame a wide gate to score by a short-head as the favourite at Trentham nearly 3 weeks ago. She cops an extra 7lbs, but is good enough to repeat the dose. DREAM OF THE MOON (2) made progress as a 3-year-old in some very good fields. She resumes with 4 trials under her belt, and from the pole position, she will be very hard to hold out. BEAST OF BURDEN (1) put together some tough runs at Riccarton and has been given time to get over those efforts. He is likely to settle off the pace and only needs a genuine tempo to figure in the top 3 here. Each way. HANKEE ALPHA (7) was a very promising 3-year-old who resumed with a fast finishing third as the favourite here over 5 ½f nearly 4 weeks ago. She can have the last say in this. BRITANNIA GOLD (4) got in the final stride when scoring by a nose at Te Rapa nearly 2 weeks ago over this trip. She has form on this course, and is a top 4 chance again. Stick with her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second-up. First-up after seven months favourite, won by a head at Trentham December 6 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Pete's Pride carrying 119lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up favourite, won by 2 len at Cranbourne Cl1 March 28 over 7f defeating In Her Eyes with 128lbs at $7. Still has scope for improvement and is among the better hopes. 1st Pick 5 Foreverintime Jockey: Vinnie Colgan Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Vinnie Colgan T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	122	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months favourite, won by a head at Trentham December 6 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Pete's Pride carrying 119lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up favourite, won by 2 len at Cranbourne Cl1 March 28 over 7f defeating In Her Eyes with 128lbs at $7. Still has scope for improvement and is among the better hopes.
2	Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign eighth of 16 at Riccarton Park in the LR Warstep Stakes April 26 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Loose Sally with 125lbs at $4.80. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.0 len Riccarton Park March 5 over 6f on heavy track defeating Avitus with 129lbs at $1.80. Expected to feature. 2nd Pick 2 Dream Of The Moon Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Opie Bosson T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	120	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign eighth of 16 at Riccarton Park in the LR Warstep Stakes April 26 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Loose Sally with 125lbs at $4.80. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.0 len Riccarton Park March 5 over 6f on heavy track defeating Avitus with 129lbs at $1.80. Expected to feature.
1	Comes here off a 41-day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 11 at Riccarton Park in the LR Steward's Stakes on November 15 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Inflamed carrying 117lbs at $13.50. Before that got back early 5th of 9 at Riccarton Park in the LR Pegasus Hcp on November 8 over 5f, 5 len behind Platinum Attack with 117lbs at $12.90. In the right race to turn things around. 3rd Pick 1 Beast Of Burden Jockey: Tayla Mitchell Trainer: Chad Ormsby J: Tayla Mitchell T: Chad Ormsby	67	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Comes here off a 41-day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 11 at Riccarton Park in the LR Steward's Stakes on November 15 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Inflamed carrying 117lbs at $13.50. Before that got back early 5th of 9 at Riccarton Park in the LR Pegasus Hcp on November 8 over 5f, 5 len behind Platinum Attack with 117lbs at $12.90. In the right race to turn things around.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.