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Resulted

NZ - Ellerslie - Race 5

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
14.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SWEET TORQUER (4) resumed from a spell, and drove hard to finish second by a nose in a 6-horse field at Avondale 4 weeks ago. She meets a bigger field this time, but the extra 1f will suit her, and her first win should not be too far away. RYBAKINA (2) will be having her first run in a clockwise direction, but she has been placed at Avondale in a trial prior to starting her career. Her last 2 starts have been much improved, and a wet track is not going to be an issue. Stick with her. BONNIE GEM (1) is a long-time maiden who was runner-up in a 4-horse field at Matamata 3 weeks ago when resuming from a spell. She is probably getting ready for the poly track season at Cambridge, but she can still snatch a win here. ANNIE BLING (7) was doing her best work late here just over a month ago, and the extra 1f is the key here. She has a superior draw this time, and she can run into the money for the first time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Sweet Torquer silk

Third race start. First start eased back early on 7th of 9 at Arawa Park on August 13 over 6f, in the wet, 8 len behind Churmatt with 120lbs at $29. Returned from break 2nd in a small field at Avondale on April 8 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.1 len behind Van Damme carrying 119lbs at $13.70. One of the main contenders.

1st Pick
4

Sweet Torquer

Jockey: Tayla Mitchell

Trainer: Samantha Logan

J: Tayla Mitchell

T: Samantha Logan

125---29%

Analysis

Third race start. First start eased back early on 7th of 9 at Arawa Park on August 13 over 6f, in the wet, 8 len behind Churmatt with 120lbs at $29. Returned from break 2nd in a small field at Avondale on April 8 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.1 len behind Van Damme carrying 119lbs at $13.70. One of the main contenders.

2
Rybakina silk

Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Hawera on April 17 over 7f, in the wet, 0.4 len behind Ikan with 122lbs at $3.30. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Waverley on March 18 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Trafalgar with 122lbs at $6.90. Expected to be very competitive.

2nd Pick
2

Rybakina

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

140---25%

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Hawera on April 17 over 7f, in the wet, 0.4 len behind Ikan with 122lbs at $3.30. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Waverley on March 18 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Trafalgar with 122lbs at $6.90. Expected to be very competitive.

1
Bonnie Gem silk

Third-up today. First-up 5th of 10 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 6f, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Tiantai carrying 127lbs at $17.80. Second run from a spell 2nd in a small field at Matamata on April 15 over 6f, on a wet track, 2 len behind She's A Boss carrying 120lbs at $2.40. Capable of a big run.

3rd Pick
1

Bonnie Gem

Jockey: Ashlee Strawbridge

Trainer: Debbie Sweeney

J: Ashlee Strawbridge

T: Debbie Sweeney

63---23%

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 5th of 10 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 6f, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Tiantai carrying 127lbs at $17.80. Second run from a spell 2nd in a small field at Matamata on April 15 over 6f, on a wet track, 2 len behind She's A Boss carrying 120lbs at $2.40. Capable of a big run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.