NZ - Ellerslie - Race 4

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

SALTBURN (3) was back in form when being tried in front for the first time at Arawa Park a fortnight ago. He has promised to win a race in the past, and from the pole position, he can go one better this time. FLEETWOOD (4) was runner-up here fresh last prep, and he will be resuming from a long spell that would have done him the world of good. A good draw will help, and even without a trial, he can figure in the finish, especially if there is any money for him. NEFFU (11) has been freshened, and he could be one to spice up your exotic bets. ALTIPLANO (2) has been freshened up since his only start this year produced an eighth at Te Aroha in February. He has trialled up well recently, and with the aid of a 7lbs claim, he can give this a shake. TOP RICH (7) just battled on debut in the spring, but his trial form is very good. Stick with him fresh.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 15 at this track on April 27 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Wee Nessy with 122lbs at $11.80. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Matamata on March 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Typhoon Lucy with 123lbs at $5.70. Making headway. Top chance. 1st Pick 1 Night Wolf Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Kylie Hoskin J: Non Runner T: Kylie Hoskin	150	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 15 at this track on April 27 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Wee Nessy with 122lbs at $11.80. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Matamata on March 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Typhoon Lucy with 123lbs at $5.70. Making headway. Top chance.
3	Most recently led but faded 2nd of 10 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Shuffle The Pack carrying 127lbs at $13. The start before that got back early 8th of 10 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 7f, on a wet track, 7 len behind Winwood with 127lbs at $10.20. Expected in the finish. 2nd Pick 3 Saltburn Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Josh King & Maija Vance J: Sam Mcnab T: Josh King & Maija Vance	173	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently led but faded 2nd of 10 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Shuffle The Pack carrying 127lbs at $13. The start before that got back early 8th of 10 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 7f, on a wet track, 7 len behind Winwood with 127lbs at $10.20. Expected in the finish.
12	Dual acceptor. Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at Pukekohe on March 13 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Thumbelina carrying 126lbs at $34.60. Second-up 8th of 13 at this track on April 4 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Utopic Warrior carrying 123lbs at $23.50. Can improve. Can turn things around. 3rd Pick 12 Annie Bling Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Non Runner T: Stephen Marsh	75	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at Pukekohe on March 13 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Thumbelina carrying 126lbs at $34.60. Second-up 8th of 13 at this track on April 4 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Utopic Warrior carrying 123lbs at $23.50. Can improve. Can turn things around.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.