NZ - Ellerslie - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.4f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

46.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ORSON STONE (1) put it all together when scoring a comfortable win as a hot favourite at Arawa Park 3 weeks ago. He steps up to a middle distance and can repeat the dose. VENDABELLE (8) posted an overdue maiden win by a neck at Tauranga 2 weeks ago in her first run over a middle distance. She is still on the way up and will go right on with the job now. RELIABLE SQUEEZE (11) has raced her way back into form once she has gotten out to a suitable distance. She is still a maiden, but can still figure in the top 4 here. DEL INQUENT (4) is knocking on the door for his first win after finishing second in a modest field at BM60 level just over 2 weeks ago. Stick with him. Each way all day. PURE BARS (6) was much better when finishing third on a heavy track at New Plymouth just over 3 weeks ago. He tries a middle distance for the first time, and is worth including in all combinations, especially if it is wet.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Arawa Park December 5 over 7 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Los Salsero with 129lbs at $2. The start before that 4th of 10 at Waverley on November 14 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Eizus carrying 129lbs at $3.30. One of the chief contenders. 1st Pick 1 Orson Stone Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Craig Grylls T: Andrew Forsman	131	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Arawa Park December 5 over 7 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Los Salsero with 129lbs at $2. The start before that 4th of 10 at Waverley on November 14 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Eizus carrying 129lbs at $3.30. One of the chief contenders.
8	Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by a long-neck at Tauranga December 12 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Romanin carrying 125lbs at $1.70. The run before that 4th of 15 at Avondale on November 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Protheatrics with 127lbs at $4.60. Capable enough on her day and can make it two on the trot. 2nd Pick 8 Vendabelle Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Ken & Bev Kelso J: Matthew Cameron T: Ken & Bev Kelso	139	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by a long-neck at Tauranga December 12 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Romanin carrying 125lbs at $1.70. The run before that 4th of 15 at Avondale on November 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Protheatrics with 127lbs at $4.60. Capable enough on her day and can make it two on the trot.
11	Form hard to fault. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Honor Mission with 125lbs at $1.90. Before that 2nd of 8 at Te Aroha on November 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Innocent Victim with 119lbs at $2.20. Capable of fighting out the finish again. 3rd Pick 11 Reliable Squeeze Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Peter Lock J: Samantha Collett T: Peter Lock	98	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Honor Mission with 125lbs at $1.90. Before that 2nd of 8 at Te Aroha on November 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Innocent Victim with 119lbs at $2.20. Capable of fighting out the finish again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.