NZ - Ellerslie - Race 2

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

10.9f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

37.0K

VIEW

Verdict

FLY MY WEY (2) in great form around this distance in recent starts. Was handy outer and ranged up and just couldn't quite get home last start at Hastings. Will take beating in this. WOLFGANG (1) is a 10 race winner dropping back from the G1 Livamol Classic last start when he battled late after a midfield run. Led when a sound 4th in the same race as FLY MY WEY the start before. Gets a 4lbs swing from that run here. SON OF SUN (3) got a mile back when fresh over 7 ½f last month and pay to forgive the run. Better record 2nd-up and wasn't far away in G2 & G1 company last season. TRUST IN YOU (7) was outclassed in the G3 Avondale and G2 Auckland Cup's last season. Ran on well when up to 1 5/16m last start and has placed at this track and trip. Should be peaking now.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Hastings on September 26 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 0.1 len behind Monologue carrying 130lbs at $12.10. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track on September 19 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.2 len behind Diamond Jak carrying 123lbs at $5.30. Shapes as one of the key chances. 1st Pick 2 Fly My Wey Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Mark Brosnan J: Michael Mcnab T: Mark Brosnan	133	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Hastings on September 26 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 0.1 len behind Monologue carrying 130lbs at $12.10. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track on September 19 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.2 len behind Diamond Jak carrying 123lbs at $5.30. Shapes as one of the key chances.
1	Most recently 12th of 14 in the G1 Spring Classic at Hastings on October 10 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Waitak with 130lbs at $38.90. Before that 4th of 11 at Hastings on September 26 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.5 len behind Monologue carrying 137lbs at $20.80. Is capable on his day and is not out of it. 2nd Pick 1 Wolfgang Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Peter & Shaun Mckay J: Joe Doyle T: Peter & Shaun Mckay	85	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently 12th of 14 in the G1 Spring Classic at Hastings on October 10 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Waitak with 130lbs at $38.90. Before that 4th of 11 at Hastings on September 26 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.5 len behind Monologue carrying 137lbs at $20.80. Is capable on his day and is not out of it.
3	Second run back. First-up after seven months 10th of 12 at Te Rapa on September 25 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind The Odyssey carrying 119lbs at $41. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 in the G2 Rich Hill Mile (Arc George Adams (Tattersall) Hcp) at this track on January 1 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Queen Zou with 117lbs at $28.40. Plenty of improvement to come. 3rd Pick 3 Son Of Sun Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Chris Wood J: Warren Kennedy T: Chris Wood	128	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months 10th of 12 at Te Rapa on September 25 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind The Odyssey carrying 119lbs at $41. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 in the G2 Rich Hill Mile (Arc George Adams (Tattersall) Hcp) at this track on January 1 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Queen Zou with 117lbs at $28.40. Plenty of improvement to come.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.