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12:22 midnight

NZ - Ellerslie - Race 2

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
7f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
52.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LOCH IN ORA (4) was put aside after finishing fifth as the favourite in the Kaimai Stakes at Matamata in February. She has won half of her 10 career starts, and if she doesn't need the run, then she is the one to beat in the small field. VEGAS QUEEN (1) ended her last prep as the winner of the Wellington Guineas at Trentham, and then resumed here nearly 4 weeks ago, scoring by a head over 6 ½f. She is on her way to the top and can repeat the dose. HITABELL (2) has been beaten in her last couple of starts in G3 company. She is nicely placed here, and from a superior gate, she can find some top 3 form again. FROSTFAIR (5) failed to fire in the G3 J Swap Sprint at Te Rapa nearly a fortnight ago. She has a good record on this track over the trip and is worth another chance. Each way. SISTA SUGAR (7) beat a lesser field at Pukekohe nearly 5 weeks ago and has trialled nicely since then. Include in all combinations.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Loch In Ora silk

Resuming today after a break of ten months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at Matamata in the LR Kaimai Stks February 15 over 1 ¼m, 3.5 len behind What You Wish For carrying 117lbs at $3.40. First up last campaign seventh of 11 at Hawera October 5 2024 over 7f, 4 len behind Belles Beau with 125lbs at $2.70. Anticipating a bright start to this prep.

1st Pick
4

Loch In Ora

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Allan Sharrock

J: Craig Grylls

T: Allan Sharrock

85---34%2/1

Analysis

Resuming today after a break of ten months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at Matamata in the LR Kaimai Stks February 15 over 1 ¼m, 3.5 len behind What You Wish For carrying 117lbs at $3.40. First up last campaign seventh of 11 at Hawera October 5 2024 over 7f, 4 len behind Belles Beau with 125lbs at $2.70. Anticipating a bright start to this prep.

1
Vegas Queen silk

Second run back. First-up after nine months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a head at this track November 29 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating First Five carrying 119lbs at $8.40. Previously second-up 2nd of 13 at this track in the G3 Almanzor Trpy on January 25 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Ardalio carrying 121lbs at $21.30. Clearly the one to beat again. In the money when second up in the past and can add to that record today.

2nd Pick
1

Vegas Queen

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Kenny Rae

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Kenny Rae

102---20%4/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after nine months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a head at this track November 29 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating First Five carrying 119lbs at $8.40. Previously second-up 2nd of 13 at this track in the G3 Almanzor Trpy on January 25 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Ardalio carrying 121lbs at $21.30. Clearly the one to beat again. In the money when second up in the past and can add to that record today.

2
Hitabell silk

At the latest run raced on the pace before fading 10th of 16 at Te Rapa in the G3 J Swap Sprint (Johnstone Hcp) on December 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind First Five carrying 117lbs at $33.30. The race before that 6th of 12 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Bowl Hcp on November 22 over 5 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Ardalio carrying 117lbs at $10. Has ability and can do much better.

3rd Pick
2

Hitabell

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Non Runner

T: Stephen Marsh

118---17%5/1

Analysis

At the latest run raced on the pace before fading 10th of 16 at Te Rapa in the G3 J Swap Sprint (Johnstone Hcp) on December 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind First Five carrying 117lbs at $33.30. The race before that 6th of 12 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Bowl Hcp on November 22 over 5 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Ardalio carrying 117lbs at $10. Has ability and can do much better.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.