NZ - Ellerslie - Race 10

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

64.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

MOXIE (1) has been an impressive winner of her last couple of starts at this level and is now at the top of the handicap. She has more to offer, and the hat-trick beckons. SINHAMAN (3) is heading the right way with his form, and tried hard when finishing runner-up by just over a length at Trentham nearly 3 weeks ago. The drop back from 1 5/16m to 7 ½f won't be an issue, and he can run his usual honest race here. FIRST DANCE (4) was beaten by a short head when finishing second behind the top pick last time out. She is better off at the weights this time and can turn the tables. BIG WAVE (2) is a tough gelding who likes to put himself in the race early on. He has to overcome a wide gate, but with some luck, he can figure in the top 3 at a decent each-way price. RISE COMPANIONS (7) is racing his way through the grades, and is eyeing up a hat-trick after scoring here in BM65 company nearly 4 weeks ago. Stick with him, especially with 7lbs less to carry.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a head at Pukekohe December 6 over 7f on a soft track defeating First Dance with 125lbs at $3. The start before that favourite, won by 1.5 len at Pukekohe November 22 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Sumosaurus carrying 120lbs at $8.20. In great form and should be right in the thick of things again. 1st Pick 1 Moxie Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Ken Harrison J: Craig Grylls T: Ken Harrison	80	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a head at Pukekohe December 6 over 7f on a soft track defeating First Dance with 125lbs at $3. The start before that favourite, won by 1.5 len at Pukekohe November 22 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Sumosaurus carrying 120lbs at $8.20. In great form and should be right in the thick of things again.
3	Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 17 at Trentham on December 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.3 len behind Crackercol with 126lbs at $3.70. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Queen Zou with 125lbs at $14.40. One of the major hopes. 2nd Pick 3 Sinhaman Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Opie Bosson T: Stephen Marsh	103	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 17 at Trentham on December 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.3 len behind Crackercol with 126lbs at $3.70. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Queen Zou with 125lbs at $14.40. One of the major hopes.
4	Form hard to fault. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on December 6 over 7f, on a slow track, head behind Moxie with 125lbs at $6.40. Before that 2nd in a small field at Pukekohe on November 8 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Smart Love with 123lbs at $4.70. Will take plenty of beating. 3rd Pick 4 First Dance Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Lance Noble J: Warren Kennedy T: Lance Noble	88	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on December 6 over 7f, on a slow track, head behind Moxie with 125lbs at $6.40. Before that 2nd in a small field at Pukekohe on November 8 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Smart Love with 123lbs at $4.70. Will take plenty of beating.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.