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44 Min Till Start

GB - Newcastle - Race 9

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard
13.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Michael Dods' in-form filly BRAZILIAN BELLE wasn't seen to ideal effect when a close fifth at Haydock last time and rates just the pick at these weights too so is taken to make a winning start on tapeta and thwart Water Of Leith who came in a promising seventh over C&D recently and seems sure to go close. Blue Lakota, Thankuappreciate and Dark Kestrel can also have a say too in this very open handicap.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Brazilian Belle (Ire) silk

Arrives in good form, finishing well having been hampered at the start when fifth of 10 in handicap at Haydock (5f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Expected to be bang there.

1st Pick
9

Brazilian Belle (Ire)

Jockey: Jonny Peate

Trainer: Michael Dods

J: Jonny Peate

T: Michael Dods

100---12%8/1

Analysis

Arrives in good form, finishing well having been hampered at the start when fifth of 10 in handicap at Haydock (5f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Expected to be bang there.

12
Water Of Leith (Ire) silk

C&D winner who very much caught the eye when seventh of 14 to Blue Lakota in handicap at this C&D (9/1) 11 days ago, not knocked about having been short of room over 1f out. Interesting off a 3 lb lower mark.

2nd Pick
12

Water Of Leith (Ire)

Jockey: Lauren Young

Trainer: Jim Goldie

J: Lauren Young

T: Jim Goldie

99---8%12/1

Analysis

C&D winner who very much caught the eye when seventh of 14 to Blue Lakota in handicap at this C&D (9/1) 11 days ago, not knocked about having been short of room over 1f out. Interesting off a 3 lb lower mark.

11
Blue Lakota (Ire) silk

Career best when winning 14-runner handicap (9/2) at this C&D 11 days ago, just holding on. Up 4 lb but must enter calculations.

3rd Pick
11

Blue Lakota (Ire)

Jockey: Jack Callan

Trainer: Kevin Ryan

J: Jack Callan

T: Kevin Ryan

95---20%4/1

Analysis

Career best when winning 14-runner handicap (9/2) at this C&D 11 days ago, just holding on. Up 4 lb but must enter calculations.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.