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6:15 PM

GB - Newcastle - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7.1f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard
8.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Not nearly as competitive as the numbers suggest and SHERLOCK is fancied to build on his promising recent second here and finally get off the mark. No Nay Nevermind appeals as the one to chase him home on the back of a good C&D second last time out, ahead of Pebble Dash and Nimble Nasher.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Sherlock (Ire) silk

Still to win but he shaped well when second of 8 in handicap at this course (8f) 10 days ago, looking likely winner last 1f but caught late on. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Expected to be bang there off the same mark.

1st Pick
4

Sherlock (Ire)

Jockey: Josephine Gordon

Trainer: Kevin Ryan

J: Josephine Gordon

T: Kevin Ryan

100---17%5/1

Analysis

Still to win but he shaped well when second of 8 in handicap at this course (8f) 10 days ago, looking likely winner last 1f but caught late on. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Expected to be bang there off the same mark.

9
No Nay Nevermind (Ire) silk

14/1 and visored for 1st time, good second of 13 in handicap at this C&D 22 days ago. Ought to be thereabouts with headgear again fitted.

2nd Pick
9

No Nay Nevermind (Ire)

Jockey: Mohammed Lyes Tabti

Trainer: Iain Jardine

J: Mohammed Lyes Tabti

T: Iain Jardine

95---23%7/2

Analysis

14/1 and visored for 1st time, good second of 13 in handicap at this C&D 22 days ago. Ought to be thereabouts with headgear again fitted.

7
Pebble Dash (Ire) silk

16/1, creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at this C&D 31 days ago. One for the shortlist.

3rd Pick
7

Pebble Dash (Ire)

Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson

Trainer: Gary Harrison

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Gary Harrison

91---10%10/1

Analysis

16/1, creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at this C&D 31 days ago. One for the shortlist.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.