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6:15 PM

GB - Newcastle - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5f
Handicap
Synthetic
9.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WINTER CROWN won over 6f at this track after a stable switch and could benefit from dropping to a well-run 5f. He gets the vote in favour of Dandy Dinmont, who brings consistent form, including a C&D second 18 days ago, with first-time cheekpieces potentially sharpening him further. Lovat Scout returns to his preferred trip where he scored at Southwell last month.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Winter Crown silk

Won 6f handicap at Newcastle after yard change, then 4th at Wolverhampton (7f) and 10th at Southwell (6f) after poor start. Return to this track in his favour and likely to be running on back over 5f.

1st Pick
8

Winter Crown

Jockey: Billy Garritty

Trainer: Liam Bailey

J: Billy Garritty

T: Liam Bailey

99---12%8/1

Analysis

Won 6f handicap at Newcastle after yard change, then 4th at Wolverhampton (7f) and 10th at Southwell (6f) after poor start. Return to this track in his favour and likely to be running on back over 5f.

7
Dandy Dinmont (Ire) silk

Has been running well with 8 in-frame efforts from 10 starts this season. Ran well when second of 9 in handicap at this course and distance (5/2) 18 days ago, hampered at the start but sticking to his task. First-time cheekpieces today may help maintain recent consistent form.

2nd Pick
7

Dandy Dinmont (Ire)

Jockey: Faye Mcmanoman

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler

J: Faye Mcmanoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

100---20%4/1

Analysis

Has been running well with 8 in-frame efforts from 10 starts this season. Ran well when second of 9 in handicap at this course and distance (5/2) 18 days ago, hampered at the start but sticking to his task. First-time cheekpieces today may help maintain recent consistent form.

4
Lovat Scout silk

Won a 5f handicap at Southwell 32 days ago before finishing eighth of 12 in 6f handicap here 4 days later, failing to settle. Stiff test over the minimum trip should suit.

3rd Pick
4

Lovat Scout

Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin

Trainer: K. R. Burke

J: Pierre-Louis Jamin

T: K. R. Burke

97---10%9/1

Analysis

Won a 5f handicap at Southwell 32 days ago before finishing eighth of 12 in 6f handicap here 4 days later, failing to settle. Stiff test over the minimum trip should suit.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).