GB - Newcastle - Race 7

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Handicap

Synthetic

Standard

9.5K

VIEW

Verdict

WINTER CROWN won over 6f at this track after a stable switch and could benefit from dropping to a well-run 5f. He gets the vote in favour of Dandy Dinmont, who brings consistent form, including a C&D second 18 days ago, with first-time cheekpieces potentially sharpening him further. Lovat Scout returns to his preferred trip where he scored at Southwell last month.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Won 6f handicap at Newcastle after yard change, then 4th at Wolverhampton (7f) and 10th at Southwell (6f) after poor start. Return to this track in his favour and likely to be running on back over 5f. 1st Pick 8 Winter Crown Jockey: Billy Garritty Trainer: Liam Bailey J: Billy Garritty T: Liam Bailey	99	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Won 6f handicap at Newcastle after yard change, then 4th at Wolverhampton (7f) and 10th at Southwell (6f) after poor start. Return to this track in his favour and likely to be running on back over 5f.
7	Has been running well with 8 in-frame efforts from 10 starts this season. Ran well when second of 9 in handicap at this course and distance (5/2) 18 days ago, hampered at the start but sticking to his task. First-time cheekpieces today may help maintain recent consistent form. 2nd Pick 7 Dandy Dinmont (Ire) Jockey: Faye Mcmanoman Trainer: Nigel Tinkler J: Faye Mcmanoman T: Nigel Tinkler	100	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Has been running well with 8 in-frame efforts from 10 starts this season. Ran well when second of 9 in handicap at this course and distance (5/2) 18 days ago, hampered at the start but sticking to his task. First-time cheekpieces today may help maintain recent consistent form.
4	Won a 5f handicap at Southwell 32 days ago before finishing eighth of 12 in 6f handicap here 4 days later, failing to settle. Stiff test over the minimum trip should suit. 3rd Pick 4 Lovat Scout Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin Trainer: K. R. Burke J: Pierre-Louis Jamin T: K. R. Burke	97	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Won a 5f handicap at Southwell 32 days ago before finishing eighth of 12 in 6f handicap here 4 days later, failing to settle. Stiff test over the minimum trip should suit.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.