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3:45 PM

GB - Newcastle - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard
8.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PAPA DON'T PREACH went within a head of opening his seasonal account at Yarmouth last month so, provided he can put a lesser 6f effort behind him since, Kevin & Lauren Frost's charge gets the nod. Let's Go Hugo arrives seeking a hat-trick, so he's feared most returned to handicap company, with the Phil Kirby-trained pair Lady Bouquet and Ellie's de Vega taken to fight out third.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Papa Don't Preach (Ire) silk

Edged out only late on when second of 7 at Yarmouth (5f) last month but followed that with a poor effort at Carlisle (6f, good). Cheekpieces the headgear of choice this time and better showing anticipated returned to the minimum trip.

1st Pick
2

Papa Don't Preach (Ire)

Jockey: Oliver Stammers

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

100---13%7/1

Analysis

Edged out only late on when second of 7 at Yarmouth (5f) last month but followed that with a poor effort at Carlisle (6f, good). Cheekpieces the headgear of choice this time and better showing anticipated returned to the minimum trip.

1
Let's Go Hugo (Ire) silk

More productive on all-weather than turf this year, recording back-to-back wins in classified events at Wolverhampton/Lingfield in recent weeks. Carries 5-lb penalty back in a handicap and should remain competitive.

2nd Pick
1

Let's Go Hugo (Ire)

Jockey: T. Kiely-Marshall

Trainer: Ollie Pears

J: T. Kiely-Marshall

T: Ollie Pears

90---25%3/1

Analysis

More productive on all-weather than turf this year, recording back-to-back wins in classified events at Wolverhampton/Lingfield in recent weeks. Carries 5-lb penalty back in a handicap and should remain competitive.

6
Lady Bouquet silk

Bounced back to form to notch her first success of the season in 10-runner event at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm) 9 days ago. That was a weak race, and a 5-lb penalty will likely make her vulnerable for win purposes.

3rd Pick
6

Lady Bouquet

Jockey: Joanna Mason

Trainer: Philip Kirby

J: Joanna Mason

T: Philip Kirby

99---27%11/4

Analysis

Bounced back to form to notch her first success of the season in 10-runner event at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm) 9 days ago. That was a weak race, and a 5-lb penalty will likely make her vulnerable for win purposes.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.