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4:30 PM

GB - Newcastle - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Sweepstakes
Synthetic
13.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GREAT BALLS O'FIRE found the step up to Group company a bit too much, certainly at this stage of his career but he'd impressed when making a winning debut with a bit to spare at Newmarket in August and is fancied to be seen to much better effect back in calmer waters. Val de Grey and Benbecula may emerge as the chief dangers to Richard Spencer's colt.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Great Balls O'fire silk

Too Darn Hot colt who was strong in the betting and picked up in taking fashion to make a winning debut at Newmarket (6f) in August. Couldn't progress from that immediately pitched in to Group 3 company last month but he rates a major player back in calmer waters under a penalty.

1st Pick
1

Great Balls O'fire

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

Trainer: Richard Spencer

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Richard Spencer

100---48%11/10

Analysis

Too Darn Hot colt who was strong in the betting and picked up in taking fashion to make a winning debut at Newmarket (6f) in August. Couldn't progress from that immediately pitched in to Group 3 company last month but he rates a major player back in calmer waters under a penalty.

8
Val De Grey silk

A six-figure purchase both times he went through the sales ring who was learning on the job and ultimately ran to a fair level when beaten just under 2 lengths into sixth in a C&D maiden 10 days ago. Should be thereabouts again with a repeat.

2nd Pick
8

Val De Grey

Jockey: Oisin James Orr

Trainer: Simon Waugh

J: Oisin James Orr

T: Simon Waugh

94---16%11/2

Analysis

A six-figure purchase both times he went through the sales ring who was learning on the job and ultimately ran to a fair level when beaten just under 2 lengths into sixth in a C&D maiden 10 days ago. Should be thereabouts again with a repeat.

2
Benbecula (Ire) silk

Space Traveller colt who was learning by the finish when fifth on debut at Carlisle (6f) in August but shaped as if still badly in need of the experience (well backed) when fourth of 7 in a Redcar novice (6f) 33 days ago. Appeals as the type to do better as he matures.

3rd Pick
2

Benbecula (Ire)

Jockey: Kevin Stott

Trainer: Kevin Ryan

J: Kevin Stott

T: Kevin Ryan

75---14%13/2

Analysis

Space Traveller colt who was learning by the finish when fifth on debut at Carlisle (6f) in August but shaped as if still badly in need of the experience (well backed) when fourth of 7 in a Redcar novice (6f) 33 days ago. Appeals as the type to do better as he matures.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.