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7:54 PM

GB - Newcastle - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard
8.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GEMINI STAR made a promising start for Julia and Shelley Birkett when runner-up in a big-field Thirsk handicap on her return in May and is weighted to go one better here. Operation Gimcrack is feared most on the back of a narrow reverse at Doncaster, although Mount Ruapehu, Desert Master and Wait For It also need factoring into this very open sprint.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Gemini Star (Ire) silk

On a long losing run for Alice Haynes but she shaped well after 7 months for new yard when second of 17 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good to soft) in May. Weighted to go very well nudged up 2 lb after another break.

1st Pick
4

Gemini Star (Ire)

Jockey: Dylan Hogan

Trainer: Julia & Shelley Birkett

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Julia & Shelley Birkett

100---14%13/2

Analysis

On a long losing run for Alice Haynes but she shaped well after 7 months for new yard when second of 17 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good to soft) in May. Weighted to go very well nudged up 2 lb after another break.

2
Operation Gimcrack (Ire) silk

Course winner in February and back to his best with neck second of 11 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) 19 days ago. Not taken lightly despite 2 lb weights rise.

2nd Pick
2

Operation Gimcrack (Ire)

Jockey: Paul Mulrennan

Trainer: Bryan Smart

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Bryan Smart

96---12%15/2

Analysis

Course winner in February and back to his best with neck second of 11 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) 19 days ago. Not taken lightly despite 2 lb weights rise.

7
Mount Ruapehu (Ire) silk

Won 3 times on all-weather early in 2026. Not so good back on turf since, only eighth of 11 in handicap at Hamilton (5f, good to firm) 19 days ago. This C&D scorer can't be totally dismissed back on an artificial surface here though.

3rd Pick
7

Mount Ruapehu (Ire)

Jockey: Jack Nicholls

Trainer: Iain Jardine

J: Jack Nicholls

T: Iain Jardine

94---5%22/1

Analysis

Won 3 times on all-weather early in 2026. Not so good back on turf since, only eighth of 11 in handicap at Hamilton (5f, good to firm) 19 days ago. This C&D scorer can't be totally dismissed back on an artificial surface here though.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.