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15 Min Till Start

GB - Newcastle - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
5f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard
75.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AIR FORCE ONE showed excellent form at York during the summer and he could be the answer to this competitive contest on just his second AW start back from a break. Badri has been running well for a while now and returns to 5f where he's won twice at this C&D, so he's feared most, though The Caltonian is a Newcastle specialist with 6 course wins, including a useful handicap last time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Air Force One (Ire) silk

Won at York in July and 2 cracking placed efforts in good-quality handicaps soon after at that venue. Sixth of 7 in handicap at Southwell (7/1) 77 days ago, shaped as if needing the run after a break, his effort flattening out on AW debut. Looks the one to beat if back to his York form.

1st Pick
12

Air Force One (Ire)

Jockey: P. J. Mcdonald

Trainer: Geoff Oldroyd

J: P. J. Mcdonald

T: Geoff Oldroyd

100---10%10/1

Analysis

Won at York in July and 2 cracking placed efforts in good-quality handicaps soon after at that venue. Sixth of 7 in handicap at Southwell (7/1) 77 days ago, shaped as if needing the run after a break, his effort flattening out on AW debut. Looks the one to beat if back to his York form.

7
Badri silk

Strong in the betting and another sound effort when second of 7 in 6f course handicap (4/1) 17 days ago, unable to find a way past one that had been marginally better placed. Returns to 5f where he has won twice at this C&D early in his career.

2nd Pick
7

Badri

Jockey: Jason Hart

Trainer: Michael Herrington

J: Jason Hart

T: Michael Herrington

99---15%6/1

Analysis

Strong in the betting and another sound effort when second of 7 in 6f course handicap (4/1) 17 days ago, unable to find a way past one that had been marginally better placed. Returns to 5f where he has won twice at this C&D early in his career.

4
The Caltonian silk

Newcastle specialist with 6 course wins who bounced back to form when successful in higher-grade handicap over 6f at the track (33/1) 21 days ago, having dropped to the mark he defied a year earlier. Up 5 lb and back down in trip, so he has to be taken seriously.

3rd Pick
4

The Caltonian

Jockey: Paul Mulrennan

Trainer: Linda Perratt

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Linda Perratt

97---17%5/1

Analysis

Newcastle specialist with 6 course wins who bounced back to form when successful in higher-grade handicap over 6f at the track (33/1) 21 days ago, having dropped to the mark he defied a year earlier. Up 5 lb and back down in trip, so he has to be taken seriously.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.