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Resulted

GB - Aintree - Race 4

Thoroughbred
5 Runners
25f
Handicap Chase
Turf
48.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MONBEG GENIUS ran well in some of the top staying handicaps last season and should appreciate this drop in class running in a veterans event for the first time. Hold Your Fort is building a solid record in races of this nature so is second choice.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Monbeg Genius (Ire) silk

Fifth in Welsh National and Irish National last season. Also third of 23 in Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival. Returns with yard in good form and any rain would increase his chance.

1st Pick
1

Monbeg Genius (Ire)

Jockey: Jonjo O'neill Jr.

Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

J: Jonjo O'neill Jr.

T: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

100---24%

Analysis

Fifth in Welsh National and Irish National last season. Also third of 23 in Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival. Returns with yard in good form and any rain would increase his chance.

3
Hold Your Fort (Ire) silk

Likeable sort who jumped well in front when resuming winning ways at Uttoxeter in July. Not so fluent back from a break when second at Ffos Las 11 days ago but still ran up to his best.

2nd Pick
3

Hold Your Fort (Ire)

Jockey: Shane Fenelon

Trainer: Debra Hamer

J: Shane Fenelon

T: Debra Hamer

98---29%

Analysis

Likeable sort who jumped well in front when resuming winning ways at Uttoxeter in July. Not so fluent back from a break when second at Ffos Las 11 days ago but still ran up to his best.

4
Kitty's Light silk

Scottish National/bet 365 Gold Cup hero in 2022/23. Also an excellent fifth in the 2024 Grand National. Struggled badly in the 2024/25 season but left the impression he would have gone close but for an untimely error at Fakenham in May after 16 months off. Market should reveal expectations.

3rd Pick
4

Kitty's Light

Jockey: Jack Tudor

Trainer: Christian Williams

J: Jack Tudor

T: Christian Williams

95---19%

Analysis

Scottish National/bet 365 Gold Cup hero in 2022/23. Also an excellent fifth in the 2024 Grand National. Struggled badly in the 2024/25 season but left the impression he would have gone close but for an untimely error at Fakenham in May after 16 months off. Market should reveal expectations.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.