GB - Doncaster - Race 7

Thoroughbred

23 Runners

11.9f

Handicap

Turf

Good to Soft (Soft in places)

101.0K

VIEW

Verdict

The exciting ALFRED WINCHAM had so much in hand at York that even a 13 lb hike doesn't look enough to stop him. 2024 winner Lord Melbourne looks to have been targeted at this again and is feared most on the back of an encouraging run at York last month. Castle Cove has been absent since winning this last year but his good record fresh means it would come as no surprise were he to go well again. The reliable Say What You See should also have a say, while Nobody Knows is the unexposed one.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Won Down Royal bumper on sole run for Anthony McCann and has made a very bright start to his Flat career for new connections, looking a smart prospect when bolting up in 1¾m handicap at York (soft) 4 weeks ago. Raised 13 lb but that success was so impressive that he could still be ahead of his mark. 1st Pick 13 Alfred Wincham (Ire) Jockey: Oisin James Orr Trainer: Patrick Neville J: Oisin James Orr T: Patrick Neville	100	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Won Down Royal bumper on sole run for Anthony McCann and has made a very bright start to his Flat career for new connections, looking a smart prospect when bolting up in 1¾m handicap at York (soft) 4 weeks ago. Raised 13 lb but that success was so impressive that he could still be ahead of his mark.
5	Won this on heavy 2 years ago. Creditable sixth to Castle Cove 12 months ago. Warmed up for this year's renewal with a good third of 18 at York (10.3f, soft) 4 weeks ago. Looks primed for another big run in this race. 2nd Pick 5 Lord Melbourne (Ire) Jockey: Harry Vigors Trainer: Ralph Beckett J: Harry Vigors T: Ralph Beckett	98	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Won this on heavy 2 years ago. Creditable sixth to Castle Cove 12 months ago. Warmed up for this year's renewal with a good third of 18 at York (10.3f, soft) 4 weeks ago. Looks primed for another big run in this race.
2	Produced a smart effort to run out an easy winner of this race on heavy ground 12 months ago. Hasn't been seen since but a good record fresh (won on debut in 2024 and on 2025 reappearance) provides hope that he can make a bold bid to defend his crown. 3rd Pick 2 Castle Cove (Ire) Jockey: Cieren Fallon Trainer: William Haggas J: Cieren Fallon T: William Haggas	97	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Produced a smart effort to run out an easy winner of this race on heavy ground 12 months ago. Hasn't been seen since but a good record fresh (won on debut in 2024 and on 2025 reappearance) provides hope that he can make a bold bid to defend his crown.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.