IE - Down Royal - Race 5

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

16f

Listed

Turf

Good (Good to Firm in places)

58.5K

VIEW

Verdict

2025 Queen's Vase hero CARMERS made an encouraging return when fifth in a Navan listed event and can build on it here and open his account for the current campaign. Tennessee Stud wasn't at his best at King Abdulaziz on his reappearance but is fancied to bounce back here and rates the main threat. Dallas Star appeals as the pick of the rest for minor honours.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Smart colt who won Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot in 2025 and signed off with a good fifth in the St Leger at Doncaster. Returned with encouraging fifth in listed race at Navan (1¾m) 34 days ago. Visor on 1st time (replaces blinkers) and bold bid expected on first go over 2m. 1st Pick 1 Carmers (Ire) Jockey: William James Lee Trainer: P. Twomey, Ireland J: William James Lee T: P. Twomey, Ireland	100	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Smart colt who won Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot in 2025 and signed off with a good fifth in the St Leger at Doncaster. Returned with encouraging fifth in listed race at Navan (1¾m) 34 days ago. Visor on 1st time (replaces blinkers) and bold bid expected on first go over 2m.
2	Smart and reliable 15f winner in 2025. Only tenth of 11 in handicap at King Abdulaziz (15f) in February but he's the sort to bounce back. 2nd Pick 2 Tennessee Stud (Ire) Jockey: Declan Mcdonogh Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland J: Declan Mcdonogh T: Joseph Patrick O'brien, Ireland	98	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Smart and reliable 15f winner in 2025. Only tenth of 11 in handicap at King Abdulaziz (15f) in February but he's the sort to bounce back.
3	Useful gelding. Not disgraced when fifth of 6 to Scandinavia in Saval Beg Levmoss Stakes at Leopardstown (1¾m) 14 days ago. Twelve runs since his last win in 2025 however. 3rd Pick 3 Dallas Star (Fr) Jockey: D. W. O'connor Trainer: Robson De Aguiar, Ireland J: D. W. O'connor T: Robson De Aguiar, Ireland	99	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Useful gelding. Not disgraced when fifth of 6 to Scandinavia in Saval Beg Levmoss Stakes at Leopardstown (1¾m) 14 days ago. Twelve runs since his last win in 2025 however.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.