GB - Carlisle - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

17f

Maiden Hurdle

Turf

Good to Soft (Good in places)

13.5K

VIEW

Verdict

ROCKING MAN shaped much better than being pulled up suggested in the River Don at Doncaster in January so, back in much calmer waters and dropped back in distance, he's a confident selection to come out on top at the expense of Thorneylands, who should improve on his opening effort over hurdles. Forever Louie and stable-switcher Earnest Belief can fight out third.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Useful in bumpers in 2023/24 and justified support on hurdle debut/reappearance at Chepstow in November. Better than the result when pulled up in River Don Novices' Hurdle 8 weeks ago (faltered badly after jumping 2 out with every chance) so holds obvious claims back in trip/grade under a penalty. 1st Pick 1 Rocking Man (Fr) Jockey: Dylan Johnston Trainer: Sam Thomas J: Dylan Johnston T: Sam Thomas	100	-	-	-	90%
Analysis Useful in bumpers in 2023/24 and justified support on hurdle debut/reappearance at Chepstow in November. Better than the result when pulled up in River Don Novices' Hurdle 8 weeks ago (faltered badly after jumping 2 out with every chance) so holds obvious claims back in trip/grade under a penalty.
7	Pulled clear with a useful prospect on his sole outing in bumpers and again showed promise when sixth of 12 in novice hurdle over C&D (good to soft) last month. Should improve on that effort and fancied to feature. 2nd Pick 7 Thorneylands (Ire) Jockey: Danny Mcmenamin Trainer: Nicky Richards J: Danny Mcmenamin T: Nicky Richards	87	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Pulled clear with a useful prospect on his sole outing in bumpers and again showed promise when sixth of 12 in novice hurdle over C&D (good to soft) last month. Should improve on that effort and fancied to feature.
4	Built on debut promise when second in Musselburgh bumper in December and left hurdling debut form behind when filling that same position over C&D a fortnight ago, rallying run-in having been outpaced 2 out. Probably wants to go back up in trip and a first-time tongue tie goes on. 3rd Pick 4 Forever Louie Jockey: Nathan Moscrop Trainer: Rebecca Menzies J: Nathan Moscrop T: Rebecca Menzies	86	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Built on debut promise when second in Musselburgh bumper in December and left hurdling debut form behind when filling that same position over C&D a fortnight ago, rallying run-in having been outpaced 2 out. Probably wants to go back up in trip and a first-time tongue tie goes on.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.