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2:53 PM

GB - Chester - Race 5

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Soft (Soft in places)
24.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TWO COMMANDERS was well served by the return to this trip and looked one to keep on side when doubling his tally at Musselburgh 18 days ago. A 3 lb rise certainly doesn't look insurmountable and he's fancied to follow up from a handy draw. Karl Burke's French recruit Scutari and Dublin Bay are a couple of the chief dangers.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Two Commanders silk

Progressive son of Mohaather who resumed progress after 6 weeks off when landing 10-runner handicap at Musselburgh over this trip 18 days ago (The Resdev Scholar back in fourth). 3 lb rise for that success looks fair and lot to like from handy draw with prospect of more to come.

1st Pick
8

Two Commanders

Jockey: Oisin James Orr

Trainer: Edward Bethell

J: Oisin James Orr

T: Edward Bethell

100---23%7/2

Analysis

Progressive son of Mohaather who resumed progress after 6 weeks off when landing 10-runner handicap at Musselburgh over this trip 18 days ago (The Resdev Scholar back in fourth). 3 lb rise for that success looks fair and lot to like from handy draw with prospect of more to come.

6
Scutari silk

From a fine Juddmonte family. Showed improved form to get off the mark on all-weather at Deauville (6.5f) in early-January before being sold out of the H-F. Devin yard for 62,000 gns. Likely more to come from this handicap debutant considering his excellent new yard for all his draw could be tricky.

2nd Pick
6

Scutari

Jockey: Shane Gray

Trainer: K. R. Burke

J: Shane Gray

T: K. R. Burke

98---17%5/1

Analysis

From a fine Juddmonte family. Showed improved form to get off the mark on all-weather at Deauville (6.5f) in early-January before being sold out of the H-F. Devin yard for 62,000 gns. Likely more to come from this handicap debutant considering his excellent new yard for all his draw could be tricky.

3
Dublin Bay (Ire) silk

Improved model on all-weather/refitted with cheekpieces this year, dominant when adding to his tally at Wolverhampton (7f) in May. Ran a cracker after 3 months off/from much-inflated mark when third at Southwell (7f) 2 weeks ago and not out of the question we've yet to see all he has to offer.

3rd Pick
3

Dublin Bay (Ire)

Jockey: Libby Swallow

Trainer: Ollie Sangster

J: Libby Swallow

T: Ollie Sangster

97---12%

Scratched

Analysis

Improved model on all-weather/refitted with cheekpieces this year, dominant when adding to his tally at Wolverhampton (7f) in May. Ran a cracker after 3 months off/from much-inflated mark when third at Southwell (7f) 2 weeks ago and not out of the question we've yet to see all he has to offer.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.